The COVID-19 and bond spreads

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Esteves ◽  
Nathan Sussman
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Bond Spreads

AbstractFinancial markets reacted with a vengeance to the COVID-19 pandemic. We argue that while the spread of the pandemic is statistically significant in explaining changes to bond spreads, it has little additional explanatory power over variables that capture financial stress. Financial markets reacted as in any international financial crisis by penalizing emerging economies exposing existing vulnerabilities. This finding highlights the need for credible, but flexible, sovereign currencies and the need to build up liquidity reserves.

scholarly journals The Spillover and Transmission of Chinese Financial Markets Risk

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Sha Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
Stress Index ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Us ◽  
Financial Stress Index

After the 2008 financial crisis, the whole world financial markets became more fluctuates, the same to China also. It is necessary to pay great attention to high volatility problem in Chinese market, and also the uncertainty problem, risk accumulation and spillover effect come along with it. This paper calculates stock market return and builds financial stress index to explore the risk spillover effect. Empirical results show that the Chinese financial market have higher volatility than other countries. The Chinese stock market had higher dynamic market co-movement with international financial markets after 2008 financial crisis. What’s more, this article also finds the financial risk spreads between China and US. When the US financial stress index increases, China's financial stress index experiences a larger increase. However, after the change in China's financial stress index, the US financial stress index has no obvious trend of change. So we should pay more attention to periods of Chinese financial market risk and its spillover.

Exchange rate volatility and exports: a panel data analysis

2016 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 203-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flavio Vilela Vieira ◽  
Ronald MacDonald
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Content Type ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Export Volume ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
Financial Crisis Of 2008 ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the role of real effective exchange rate (REER) volatility on export volume and also to address the impact of the international financial crisis of 2008. Design/methodology/approach – The empirical methodology is based on System GMM estimation for a set of 106 countries for the period of 2000-2011. Findings – For the complete sample of countries and for a set of developing/emerging economies, there is evidence that an increase (decrease) in REER volatility reduces (increases) export volume. The results are not robust once the oil export countries are removed from the sample. The estimated coefficients for the financial crisis dummy are positive and statistically significant, indicating that export volume were 0.14 percent higher after the financial crisis of 2008 compared to the previous period (2000-2007). There is also evidence that the export volume is price (REER) and income (trade weighted) inelastic. Research limitations/implications – The empirical results are valid for the complete set of countries and for developing and emerging economies when including the oil export countries, suggesting that countries should reduce exchange rate volatility in order to foster their export volume and that oil export countries have an important role on these results. Practical implications – The paper suggests that policymakers should adopt different policies to minimize exchange rate volatility if they seek to increase export volume. The international financial crisis had a significant impact on export volume in all estimated models regardless of the set of countries used. Originality/value – One of the main novelties of this work is that it deals with possible endogeneity using GMM estimators and addresses the issue of instrument proliferation, which is not a common feature of previous empirical studies on exchange rate volatility and trade flows. Another original aspect of the research is the construction of trade weighted variables for foreign income and REER based on the major 20 export partners for each country used in the panel data estimation. The work also incorporates the years following the international financial crisis of 2008, which is an additional empirical novelty, in order to address the impact of the international financial crisis on the export volume.

The Whys and Wherefores of the Current Financial Blow

2009 ◽  
pp. 40-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Suetin
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Sudden Expansion ◽  
Specific Factors

The article contains a thorough analysis of a variety of causes that have provoked the present financial crisis now spreading globally. Special attention is drawn to specific factors of the crisis origin and sudden expansion. The article emphasizes some peculiar features of the financial crisis progress in emerging economies. Underlined are particularities of concepts of and run through the financial markets adjustments. The author comes to the conclusion about assets overvaluing and extreme cyclical factors susceptibility in the majority of developing countries.

Empirical Research on the Contagion Effect of Financial Crisis

2013 ◽  
Vol 740 ◽  
pp. 364-367
Author(s):  
Yi Xian Chai ◽  
Dan Liu ◽  
Zhi Bo Zhang ◽  
Yan Li Xu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
International Economic Order ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Conditional Heteroskedasticity ◽  
Contagion Effect ◽  
New Approach ◽  
International Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Markets ◽  
The Stability

The international financial crisis has caused broad impact and serious consequences to international economic order and the economic development of every country. Therefore, making modeling research on the effect of crisis contagion between some economic markets in order to take timely measures to prevent the further spread of contagion is of great significance for maintaining a countrys economic security, and the stability of global economic and financial system. To prevent economy from being destroyed by financial crisis contagion, this paper puts forward a new testing approach on the contagion effect of financial crisis. This approach is to test the contagion effect of financial crisis by examining whether the conditional variances of different countries financial markets in crisis period are correlated through Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model. Empirical study shows that, this new approach is effective and practical in testing the contagion effect of financial crisis.

International Financial Crisis: Expectation Transmission and Policy Synchronisation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guofeng Sun ◽  
Wenzhe Li ◽  
Qiong Liu ◽  
Chunyi Zhang ◽  
Jingxuan Song
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
International Financial Crisis

Return Characteristics of Commodities

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dianna Preece
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Negative Correlation ◽  
Institutional Investors ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
Commodity Futures ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Diversified Portfolio

The role of commodities in a diversified portfolio has been the subject of research and debate since the late 1970s. Investors can hold the physical commodity or use derivatives such as futures contracts to access commodity exposure. Institutional investors primarily gain exposure to commodities via futures contracts. Commodity futures returns are comprised of a collateral return, a spot return, and a roll return. Research dating back to the late 1970s suggests that commodities should be included in diversified portfolios because they act as an inflation hedge, are portfolio diversifiers due to negative correlation with stocks and bonds, and potentially offer returns and volatility comparable to equities. Commodity performance has been generally weak in the years following the financial crisis of 2007–2008. Many studies find that correlation of commodity returns with stocks and bonds increases during periods of financial stress.

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