Forward-looking Information and Stock Price Around Earnings Announcement

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
James S. Ang ◽  
Shaojun Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Forward Looking

Stock Price Behavior Associated with Post-1974–75 LIFO Adoptions Announced at Alternative Disclosure Times

1996 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 535-564 ◽  
Author(s):  
Morton Pincus ◽  
Charles E. Wasley
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Earnings Announcements ◽  
Market Response ◽  
Price Behavior ◽  
Positive Information ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Earnings Growth ◽  
Adoption Decision ◽  
Annual Earnings

We examine the behavior of stock prices at the time of post-1974–75 LIFO adoption announcements. We exploit recent theoretical and empirical developments in the LIFO adoption literature in an attempt to resolve some of the mixed findings in Hand (1993). We study LIFO adoptions announced prior to as well as at the time of annual earnings announcements. Previous research has mostly centered on 1974–75 adoptions made at the time of annual earnings announcements. Our study of LIFO adoptions announced prior to annual earnings announcement dates enables us to provide evidence on whether the early announcement of a LIFO adoption is used by firms to signal positive information about earnings growth. Collectively, our results suggest that in explaining the market response to LIFO adoption announcements, extant models of the LIFO adoption decision do not fully capture the richness of differing inflationary environments or of alternative disclosure times.

scholarly journals Measuring The Usefulness Of Information For Investors Inferences: The Case Of Quarterly Earnings Announcements

2010 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Catherine Chiang ◽  
Yaw M. Mensah
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Value Of Information ◽  
Earnings Announcements ◽  
New Method ◽  
Rates Of Return ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Quarterly Earnings ◽  
Other Information

In this paper, we propose a new method for assessing the usefulness of information, its inferential value. In the context of accounting and finance, we define the inferential value of information about a firm as how efficaciously the information enables investors to draw correct inferences regarding its future financial performance. On the basis of this definition, we develop a stylized model to measure the proximity of a firm’s future realized rates of return to the estimated rates of return implied by its current stock price. We then use the new measure to test the hypothesis that quarterly earnings announcements have a higher inferential value than other information arriving during interim (non-earnings announcement) periods. Our empirical findings suggest that investors are able to make more informative inferences about a firm’s future profitability based on quarterly earnings announcement than based on information available during interim periods. However, our findings also suggest that, in general, investors do not correctly anticipate future losses. Finally, we find that earnings announcements are as important in anticipating future profitability for larger firms as they are for smaller firms.

scholarly journals Factor momentum, option-implied volatility scaling, and investor sentiment

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Klaus Grobys ◽  
James W. Kolari ◽  
Jere Rutanen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Post Earnings Announcement Drift

AbstractFactor momentum produces robust average returns that exhibit a similar economic magnitude as stock price momentum. To the extent that the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) factor captures mispricing, winner factors earn profits from being long on underpriced stocks and short on overpriced stocks. Conversely, loser-factors’ negative exposure to the PEAD factor suggests that loser factors capture mispricing by being long on overpriced stocks and short on underpriced stocks. Option-implied volatility scaling increases both the economic magnitude and statistical significance of factor momentum. Factor momentum is not exposed to the same crashes as stock price momentum and therefore could provide a hedge for stock price momentum crash risks. Also, factor momentum mispricing is more pronounced when investor sentiment is high.

Effect of quarterly earnings announcement under different market conditions

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 128-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Santu Das ◽  
Jamini Kanta Pattanayak ◽  
Pramod Pathak
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Earnings Announcements ◽  
Market Condition ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Price Movement ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Quarterly Earnings ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The main purpose of this research study is to investigate the impact of quarterly earnings announcements on stock price movement of the firms constituting the SENSEX under two different market conditions – booming followed by recessionary. Analysis of price effect of quarterly earnings announcements during the five-year period prior to trading suspension, which is also characterized by a booming market condition have been made. Similar analysis during the five-year period following the trading suspension and marked by recessionary market condition has also been carried out side by side. Design/methodology/approach – Event study methodology using daily returns and market model has been used for the purpose of analyzing the quarterly earnings announcement effects on the security prices of the firms. A sign test has also been used along with the event study. Findings – The study reveals that quarterly earnings announcement does not have statistically significant effect on stock returns during the booming as well as the recessionary market conditions. The impact of quarterly earnings announcements on stock price movement of firms constituting the SENSEX has been similar for both periods undertaken in the study. Research limitations/implications – The study has been undertaken using the firms listed in BSE SENSEX. The effect of the quarterly earnings announcement with reference to firms listed in other indices, if covered, may provide different sets of results. Originality/value – The paper identifies the informational value of quarterly earnings announcement of BSE-SENSEX.

The stock market’s reaction to accounting information: the cases of Chile and Peru

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 254-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio Melgarejo ◽  
Eduardo Montiel ◽  
Luis Sanz
Keyword(s):  
Latin American ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Small Firms ◽  
Accounting Information ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyze the stock price and volume reactions around firms’ earnings announcement dates in two Latin American stock markets: Chile and Peru. Design/methodology/approach – This study uses multivariate regression analysis to determine the impact of accounting information on stock prices and volume traded around the firms’ earnings announcement dates. Findings – The authors find that quarterly earnings surprises explain stock abnormal returns and abnormal trading volumes around the earnings announcement dates in the Santiago (Chile) and Lima (Peru) stock exchanges. The authors also find that these two effects are driven by small firms. Originality/value – This is one of the first articles to study the price and volume reactions to accounting information in Latin American stock markets.

scholarly journals The Market Sentiment Trend, Investor Inertia, and Post-Earnings Announcement Drift: Evidence from Korea’s Stock Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (18) ◽  
pp. 5137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shin ◽  
Shin ◽  
Kim
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Specific Point ◽  
Market Anomalies ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Market Sentiment ◽  
Earnings Information ◽  
Post Earnings Announcement Drift ◽  
Negative Drift ◽  
Directional Trend

We investigated whether post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) in the Korean stock market is related to investor inertial behavior under a directional trend in market sentiment. Given that investors tend to procrastinate due to their belief in the persistence of the current market’s condition and thus underreact to earnings information, we examined whether this investor inertia influences the drift in stock price following an earnings announcement. Our findings show that when the market sentiment continues to shift upwardly (downwardly) over the pre- and post-earnings announcement period, positive (negative) drift occurs. Note that these results are robust to control for the effect of market sentiment at a specific point in time. We suggest that investors do not fully respond to new earnings information due to investor inertial behavior under the market sentiment with a consistent trend. Overall, our study sheds light on a determinant of PEAD as one of the market anomalies in terms of investors’ cognitive bias by documenting the relation between PEAD and investor inertia.

Does analyst forecast dispersion represent investors’ perceived uncertainty toward earnings?

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 289-312
Author(s):  
Jundong (Jeff) Wang
Keyword(s):  
Negative Correlation ◽  
Private Information ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Earnings Announcements ◽  
Analyst Forecast ◽  
Forecast Dispersion ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Analyst Forecast Dispersion ◽  
Forward Looking

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the association between analyst forecast dispersion and investors’ perceived uncertainty toward earnings. Design/methodology/approach A new measure for investors’ expectations of earnings announcement uncertainty is constructed, using changes in implied volatility of option contracts prior to earnings announcements. Unlike other proxies of uncertainty, this measure isolates the incremental uncertainty regarding the upcoming earnings announcement and is a forward-looking measure. Findings Using this new proxy, this paper finds a significant negative correlation between analyst forecast dispersion and investors’ uncertainty regarding the upcoming earnings announcements. Further tests show that this negative correlation is driven by analysts’ private information acquisition rather than analysts; uncertainty toward upcoming earnings announcements. Additional cross-sectional tests show that this negative relationship is more pronounced in the subsample with lower earnings quality. Social implications This paper helps to further the understanding of the information content of analyst forecast dispersion, particularly the ways in which they gather and produce private information and their incentives for so doing. Originality/value This paper introduces a new market-based and forward-looking proxy of earnings announcement uncertainty that should be useful in future research. This paper also provides original empirical evidence that analysts gather and produce an additional private information to the market when facing noisy signals and that their information reduces investors’ uncertainty toward upcoming earnings announcements.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document