scholarly journals Sensitivity-guided evaluation of the HBV hydrological model parameterization

2012 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 967-990 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. B. Zelelew ◽  
K. Alfredsen
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
River Basin Management ◽  
Low Flow ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Sensitivity Index ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Flow Conditions ◽  
Model Parameterization ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis Method

Applying hydrological models for river basin management depends on the availability of the relevant data information to constrain the model residuals. The estimation of reliable parameter values for parameterized models is not guaranteed. Identification of influential model parameters controlling the model response variations either by main or interaction effects is therefore critical for minimizing model parametric dimensions and limiting prediction uncertainty. In this study, the Sobol variance-based sensitivity analysis method was applied to quantify the importance of the HBV conceptual hydrological model parameterization. The analysis was also supplemented by the generalized sensitivity analysis method to assess relative model parameter sensitivities in cases of negative Sobol sensitivity index computations. The study was applied to simulate runoff responses at twelve catchments varying in size. The result showed that varying up to a minimum of four to six influential model parameters for high flow conditions, and up to a minimum of six influential model parameters for low flow conditions can sufficiently capture the catchments' responses characteristics. To the contrary, varying more than nine out of 15 model parameters will not make substantial model performance changes on any of the case studies.

A Global Sensitivity Analysis Method for Multi-Input Multi-Output System and its Application in Structural Design

2021 ◽  
pp. 2141005
Author(s):  
Qiming Liu ◽  
Nichen Tong ◽  
Xu Han
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Global Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Sensitivity Index ◽  
Response Functions ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Order Function ◽  
Global Sensitivity ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis Method ◽  
Output System ◽  
Input Variables

Commonly, variance-based global sensitivity analysis methods are popular and applicable to quantify the impact of a set of input variables on output response. However, for many engineering practical problems, the output response is not single but multiple, which makes some traditional sensitivity analysis methods difficult or unsuitable. Therefore, a novel global sensitivity analysis method is presented to evaluate the importance of multi-input variables to multi-output responses. First, assume that a multi-input multi-output system (MIMOS) includes [Formula: see text] variables and [Formula: see text] responses. A set of summatory functions [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] are constructed by the addition and subtraction of any two response functions. Naturally, each response function is represented using a set of summatory function. Subsequently, the summatory functions [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] are further decomposed based on the high dimensional model representation (HDMR), respectively. Due to the orthogonality of all the decomposed function sub-terms, the variance and covariance of each response function can be represented using the partial variances of all the decomposed function sub-terms on the corresponding summatory functions, respectively. The total fluctuation of MIMOS is calculated by the sum of the variances and covariances on all the response functions. Further, the fluctuation is represented as the sum of the total partial variances for all the [Formula: see text]-order function sub-terms, and the total partial variance is the sum of [Formula: see text] partial variances for the corresponding [Formula: see text]-order function sub-terms. Then, the function sensitivity index (FSI) [Formula: see text] for s-order function sub-terms is defined by the ratio of the total partial variance and total fluctuation, which includes first-order, second-order, and high-order FSI. The variable sensitivity index [Formula: see text] of variable [Formula: see text] is calculated by the sum of all the FSIs including the contribution of variable [Formula: see text]. Finally, numerical example and engineering application are employed to demonstrate the accuracy and practicality of the presented global sensitivity analysis method for MIMOS.

Reliability sensitivity analysis method for time-dependent problem based on first-passage method

2018 ◽  
Vol 233 (4) ◽  
pp. 787-802
Author(s):  
Wenxuan Wang ◽  
Hangshan Gao ◽  
Changcong Zhou ◽  
Wanghua Xu
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Sensitivity Index ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
First Passage ◽  
Reliability Sensitivity ◽  
Reliability Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis Method ◽  
Global Reliability Sensitivity ◽  
The Impact

The sensitivity index plays a critical role in the design of product and is used to quantify the impact degree of the uncertainty of the input variable to the uncertainty of the interest output. This paper presents a new local reliability sensitivity method and a global reliability sensitivity analysis method of time-dependent reliability problems. Firstly, according to the Poisson's assumption-based first-passage method, the local reliability sensitivity index is directly obtained by calculating the partial derivative of the failure probability to the distribution parameters of input random variable. Then, the moment-independent global reliability sensitivity index of the time-dependent problems is derived based on the concept of moment-independent. Finally, the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are verified with the reference results of Monte Carlo simulation.

Efficient Sensitivity Analysis for Multibody Dynamics Systems Using an Iterative Steps Method With Application in Topology Optimization

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guang Dong ◽  
Zheng-Dong Ma ◽  
Gregory Hulbert ◽  
Noboru Kikuchi ◽  
Sudhakar Arepally ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Topology Optimization ◽  
Multibody Dynamics ◽  
Optimization Problem ◽  
Finite Difference Methods ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Topology Optimization Problem ◽  
Design Variables ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis Method ◽  
Rotational Motions

Efficient and reliable sensitivity analyses are critical for topology optimization, especially for multibody dynamics systems, because of the large number of design variables and the complexities and expense in solving the state equations. This research addresses a general and efficient sensitivity analysis method for topology optimization with design objectives associated with time dependent dynamics responses of multibody dynamics systems that include nonlinear geometric effects associated with large translational and rotational motions. An iterative sensitivity analysis relation is proposed, based on typical finite difference methods for the differential algebraic equations (DAEs). These iterative equations can be simplified for specific cases to obtain more efficient sensitivity analysis methods. Since finite difference methods are general and widely used, the iterative sensitivity analysis is also applicable to various numerical solution approaches. The proposed sensitivity analysis method is demonstrated using a truss structure topology optimization problem with consideration of the dynamic response including large translational and rotational motions. The topology optimization problem of the general truss structure is formulated using the SIMP (Simply Isotropic Material with Penalization) assumption for the design variables associated with each truss member. It is shown that the proposed iterative steps sensitivity analysis method is both reliable and efficient.

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