Post-event human decision errors: operator action tree/time reliability correlation

Abstract The quality and safety of health care are under increasing scrutiny. Recent studies suggest that medical errors, practice variability, and guideline noncompliance are common, and that cognitive error contributes significantly to delayed or incorrect diagnoses. These observations have increased interest in understanding decision-making psychology. Many nonrational (i.e., not purely based in statistics) cognitive factors influence medical decisions and may lead to error. The most well-studied include heuristics, preferences for certainty, overconfidence, affective (emotional) influences, memory distortions, bias, and social forces such as fairness or blame. Although the extent to which such cognitive processes play a role in anesthesia practice is unknown, anesthesia care frequently requires rapid, complex decisions that are most susceptible to decision errors. This review will examine current theories of human decision behavior, identify effects of nonrational cognitive processes on decision making, describe characteristic anesthesia decisions in this context, and suggest strategies to improve decision making.

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An Application of the HFACS Method to Aviation Accidents in Africa

Aviation Psychology and Applied Human Factors ◽

10.1027/2192-0923/a000093 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 6 (1) ◽

pp. 33-38 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Isaac Munene

Keyword(s):

Human Factors ◽

Physical Environment ◽

Human Factor ◽

Flight Training ◽

African Countries ◽

Causal Factors ◽

Aviation Accidents ◽

Factors Analysis ◽

Adverse Weather ◽

Decision Errors

Abstract. The Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS) methodology was applied to accident reports from three African countries: Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa. In all, 55 of 72 finalized reports for accidents occurring between 2000 and 2014 were analyzed. In most of the accidents, one or more human factors contributed to the accident. Skill-based errors (56.4%), the physical environment (36.4%), and violations (20%) were the most common causal factors in the accidents. Decision errors comprised 18.2%, while perceptual errors and crew resource management accounted for 10.9%. The results were consistent with previous industry observations: Over 70% of aviation accidents have human factor causes. Adverse weather was seen to be a common secondary casual factor. Changes in flight training and risk management methods may alleviate the high number of accidents in Africa.

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Term expectation and uncertainty in human decision behavior

PsycEXTRA Dataset ◽

10.1037/e475872008-001 ◽

1963 ◽

Keyword(s):

Decision Behavior ◽

Human Decision

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Evaluating Human Decision-Making Theories With Monkey Data

PsycEXTRA Dataset ◽

10.1037/e633262013-157 ◽

2013 ◽

Author(s):

Scott D. Brown ◽

Pete Cassey ◽

Andrew Heathcote ◽

Roger Ratcliff

Keyword(s):

Decision Making ◽

Human Decision

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Evidence Supporting Theory of Shannon Capacity in Human Decision-Making

PsycEXTRA Dataset ◽

10.1037/e633262013-272 ◽

2013 ◽

Author(s):

Laurence T. Maloney ◽

James Tee ◽

Hang Zhang

Keyword(s):

Decision Making ◽

Shannon Capacity ◽

Human Decision

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When Do Psychopathic Traits Affect Cooperative Behavior?: An Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma Experimental Study

10.26686/wgtn.12431003 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

M Testori ◽

M Kempf ◽

RB Hoyle ◽

Hedwig Eisenbarth

Keyword(s):

Prisoner's Dilemma ◽

Cooperative Behavior ◽

Prisoner’S Dilemma ◽

Selection Procedure ◽

Psychopathic Traits ◽

Strong Impact ◽

Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma ◽

Human Decision ◽

The Impact ◽

Iterated Prisoner’S Dilemma

© 2019 Hogrefe Publishing. Personality traits have been long recognized to have a strong impact on human decision-making. In this study, a sample of 314 participants took part in an online game to investigate the impact of psychopathic traits on cooperative behavior in an iterated Prisoner's dilemma game. We found that disinhibition decreased the maintenance of cooperation in successive plays, but had no effect on moving toward cooperation after a previous defection or on the overall level of cooperation over rounds. Furthermore, our results underline the crucial importance of a good model selection procedure, showing how a poor choice of statistical model can provide misleading results.

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History among the Junipers: Hosea 14:2–10 as Metahistoriography

Biblische Zeitschrift ◽

10.30965/25890468-06301006 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 63 (1) ◽

pp. 105-116

Author(s):

Mark W. Hamilton

Keyword(s):

Decision Making ◽

Moral Formation ◽

Divine Agency ◽

Human Decision

Abstract The dual endings of Hosea promoted reflection on Israel’s history as the movement from destruction to restoration based on Yhwh’s gracious decision for Israel. It thus clarifies the endings of the prior sections of the book (chs. 3 and 11) by locating Israel’s future in the realm of Yhwh’s activities. The final ending (14:10) balances the theme of divine agency in 14:2–9 with the recognition of human decision-making and moral formation as aspects of history as well. The endings of Hosea thus offer a good example of metahistoriography, a text that uses non-historiographic techniques to speak of the movements of history.

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