A linear birth and death process under the influence of another process

1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prem S. Puri

Let {X1 (t), X2 (t), t ≧ 0} be a bivariate birth and death (Markov) process taking non-negative integer values, such that the process {X2(t), t ≧ 0} may influence the growth of the process {X1(t), t ≧ 0}, while the process X2 (·) itself grows without any influence whatsoever of the first process. The process X2 (·) is taken to be a simple linear birth and death process with λ2 and µ2 as its birth and death rates respectively. The process X1 (·) is also assumed to be a linear birth and death process but with its birth and death rates depending on X2 (·) in the following manner: λ (t) = λ1 (θ + X2 (t)); µ(t) = µ1 (θ + X2 (t)). Here λ i, µi and θ are all non-negative constants. By studying the process X1 (·), first conditionally given a realization of the process {X2 (t), t ≧ 0} and then by unconditioning it later on by taking expectation over the process {X2 (t), t ≧ 0} we obtain explicit solution for G in closed form. Again, it is shown that a proper limit distribution of X1 (t) always exists as t→∞, except only when both λ1 > µ1 and λ2 > µ2. Also, certain problems concerning moments of the process, regression of X1 (t) on X2 (t); time to extinction, and the duration of the interaction between the two processes, etc., are studied in some detail.

1975 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prem S. Puri

Let {X 1 (t), X 2 (t), t ≧ 0} be a bivariate birth and death (Markov) process taking non-negative integer values, such that the process {X 2(t), t ≧ 0} may influence the growth of the process {X 1(t), t ≧ 0}, while the process X 2 (·) itself grows without any influence whatsoever of the first process. The process X 2 (·) is taken to be a simple linear birth and death process with λ 2 and µ 2 as its birth and death rates respectively. The process X 1 (·) is also assumed to be a linear birth and death process but with its birth and death rates depending on X 2 (·) in the following manner: λ (t) = λ 1 (θ + X 2 (t)); µ(t) = µ 1 (θ + X 2 (t)). Here λ i, µi and θ are all non-negative constants. By studying the process X 1 (·), first conditionally given a realization of the process {X 2 (t), t ≧ 0} and then by unconditioning it later on by taking expectation over the process {X 2 (t), t ≧ 0} we obtain explicit solution for G in closed form. Again, it is shown that a proper limit distribution of X 1 (t) always exists as t→∞, except only when both λ 1 > µ 1 and λ 2 > µ 2. Also, certain problems concerning moments of the process, regression of X 1 (t) on X 2 (t); time to extinction, and the duration of the interaction between the two processes, etc., are studied in some detail.


1986 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 397-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jairo Charris ◽  
Mourad E. H. Ismail

A birth and death process is a stationary Markov process whose states are the nonnegative integers and the transition probabilities(1.1)satisfy(1.2)as t → 0. Here we assume βn > 0, δn + 1 > 0, n = 0, 1, …, but δ0 ≦ 0. Karlin and McGregor [10], [11], [12], showed that each birth and death process gives rise to two sets of orthogonal polynomials. The first is the set of birth and death process polynomials {Qn(x)} generated by


1983 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 305-321 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Grasman ◽  
D. Ludwig

Asymptotic approximations and numerical computations are used to estimate the accuracy of the diffusion approximation for the expected time to extinction for some stochastic processes. The results differ for processes with a continuant transition matrix (e.g. a birth and death process), and those with a noncontinuant transition matrix (e.g. a non-linear branching process). In the latter case, the diffusion equation does not hold near the point of exit. Consequently, high-order corrections do not result in substantial improvement over the diffusion approximation.


1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (01) ◽  
pp. 42-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. J. Brockwell

The distribution of the extinction time for a linear birth and death process subject to catastrophes is determined. The catastrophes occur at a rate proportional to the population size and their magnitudes are random variables having an arbitrary distribution with generating function d(·). The asymptotic behaviour (for large initial population size) of the expected time to extinction is found under the assumption that d(.) has radius of convergence greater than 1. Corresponding results are derived for a related class of diffusion processes interrupted by catastrophes with sizes having an arbitrary distribution function.


1998 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dylan Shi

Consider a series system consisting of n components of k types. Whenever a unit fails, it is replaced immediately by a new one to keep the system working. Under the assumption that all the life lengths of the components are independent and exponentially distributed and that the replacement policies depend only on the present state of the system at each failure, the system may be represented by a birth and death process. The existence of the optimum replacement policies are discussed and the ε-optimal policies axe derived. If the past experience of the system can also be utilized, the process is not a Markov process. The optimum Bayesian policies are derived and the properties of the resulting process axe studied. Also, the stochastic processes are simulated and the probability of absorption, the mean time to absorption and the average proportion of the retrograde motion are approximated.


1968 ◽  
Vol 46 (10) ◽  
pp. S212-S215 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Kobayakawa ◽  
S. Miono

A birth-and-death process taking immigration into account is considered. The complete solution of the equation governing the generalized birth-and-death process when the birth and death rates λ(t)and μ(t) and also the immigration factor ν(t) may be any specified functions of the time t is given. This solution can be applied to the fluctuation problem in electromagnetic showers. The distribution function of the number of particles at given depth t with given initial energy is derived. The results obtained are compared with recent experimental data, and the agreement is much better than in past theoretical works.


1981 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 245-252
Author(s):  
Constantin Ivan

The existence of a weak limit birth-and-death process on the natural integers for the simple birth-and-death process conditional on non-extinction up to time t as t→∞ is proved. Starting from the latter a new weak limiting procedure yields a diffusion Markov process on the positive infinite semi-axis.


1983 ◽  
Vol 20 (02) ◽  
pp. 305-321
Author(s):  
J. Grasman ◽  
D. Ludwig

Asymptotic approximations and numerical computations are used to estimate the accuracy of the diffusion approximation for the expected time to extinction for some stochastic processes. The results differ for processes with a continuant transition matrix (e.g. a birth and death process), and those with a noncontinuant transition matrix (e.g. a non-linear branching process). In the latter case, the diffusion equation does not hold near the point of exit. Consequently, high-order corrections do not result in substantial improvement over the diffusion approximation.


2005 ◽  
Vol 2005 (16) ◽  
pp. 2655-2667
Author(s):  
P. R. Parthasarathy ◽  
Klaus Dietz

Carcinogenesis is a multistage random process involving generic changes and stochastic proliferation and differentiation of normal cells and genetically altered stem cells. In this paper, we present the probability of time to tumour onset for a carcinogenesis model wherein the cells grow according to a birth and death process with density-dependent birth and death rates. This is achieved by transforming the underlying system of difference equations which results in a continued fraction. This continued fraction approach helps us to find the complete solutions. The popular Moolgavkar-Venzon-Knudson (MVK) model assumes constant birth, death, and transition rates.


1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. J. Brockwell

The distribution of the extinction time for a linear birth and death process subject to catastrophes is determined. The catastrophes occur at a rate proportional to the population size and their magnitudes are random variables having an arbitrary distribution with generating function d(·). The asymptotic behaviour (for large initial population size) of the expected time to extinction is found under the assumption that d(.) has radius of convergence greater than 1. Corresponding results are derived for a related class of diffusion processes interrupted by catastrophes with sizes having an arbitrary distribution function.


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