Reliability analysis of complex repairable systems by means of marked point processes

1980 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 154-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Franken ◽  
Arnfried Streller

Starting from the theory of point processes the concept of a process with an embedded marked point process is defined. It is shown that the known formula expressing the relation between the stationary and synchronous version of a regenerative process remains valid without the assumption of independence of cycles. General formulae for stationary availability and interval reliability of complex systems with repair are also obtained. In this way generalizations of Keilson's results for Markovian systems and Ross's results for systems with separately maintained elements are presented. The formulae are applied to a two-unit parallel system with a single repair facility.

1980 ◽  
Vol 17 (01) ◽  
pp. 154-167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Franken ◽  
Arnfried Streller

Starting from the theory of point processes the concept of a process with an embedded marked point process is defined. It is shown that the known formula expressing the relation between the stationary and synchronous version of a regenerative process remains valid without the assumption of independence of cycles. General formulae for stationary availability and interval reliability of complex systems with repair are also obtained. In this way generalizations of Keilson's results for Markovian systems and Ross's results for systems with separately maintained elements are presented. The formulae are applied to a two-unit parallel system with a single repair facility.


1993 ◽  
Vol 30 (02) ◽  
pp. 365-372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Søren Asmussen ◽  
Ger Koole

A Markovian arrival stream is a marked point process generated by the state transitions of a given Markovian environmental process and Poisson arrival rates depending on the environment. It is shown that to a given marked point process there is a sequence of such Markovian arrival streams with the property that as m →∞. Various related corollaries (involving stationarity, convergence of moments and ergodicity) and counterexamples are discussed as well.


2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paola Tardelli

This article considers the asset price movements in a financial market when risky asset prices are modeled by marked point processes. Their dynamics depend on an underlying event arrivals process—a marked point process having common jump times with the risky asset price process. The problem of utility maximization of terminal wealth is dealt with when the underlying event arrivals process is assumed to be unobserved by the market agents using, as the main tool, backward stochastic differential equations. The dual problem is studied. Explicit solutions in a particular case are given.


1993 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 365-372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Søren Asmussen ◽  
Ger Koole

A Markovian arrival stream is a marked point process generated by the state transitions of a given Markovian environmental process and Poisson arrival rates depending on the environment. It is shown that to a given marked point process there is a sequence of such Markovian arrival streams with the property that as m →∞. Various related corollaries (involving stationarity, convergence of moments and ergodicity) and counterexamples are discussed as well.


1997 ◽  
Vol 29 (04) ◽  
pp. 1039-1059
Author(s):  
Vinod Sharma

Recently, Asmussen and Koole (Journal of Applied Probability 30, pp. 365–372) showed that any discrete or continuous time marked point process can be approximated by a sequence of arrival streams modulated by finite state continuous time Markov chains. If the original process is customer (time) stationary then so are the approximating processes. Also, the moments in the stationary case converge. For discrete marked point processes we construct a sequence of discrete processes modulated by discrete time finite state Markov chains. All the above features of approximating sequences of Asmussen and Koole continue to hold. For discrete arrival sequences (to a queue) which are modulated by a countable state Markov chain we form a different sequence of approximating arrival streams by which, unlike in the Asmussen and Koole case, even the stationary moments of waiting times can be approximated. Explicit constructions for the output process of a queue and the total input process of a discrete time Jackson network with these characteristics are obtained.


2015 ◽  
Vol 27 (7) ◽  
pp. 1438-1460 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinyi Deng ◽  
Daniel F. Liu ◽  
Kenneth Kay ◽  
Loren M. Frank ◽  
Uri T. Eden

Point process filters have been applied successfully to decode neural signals and track neural dynamics. Traditionally these methods assume that multiunit spiking activity has already been correctly spike-sorted. As a result, these methods are not appropriate for situations where sorting cannot be performed with high precision, such as real-time decoding for brain-computer interfaces. Because the unsupervised spike-sorting problem remains unsolved, we took an alternative approach that takes advantage of recent insights into clusterless decoding. Here we present a new point process decoding algorithm that does not require multiunit signals to be sorted into individual units. We use the theory of marked point processes to construct a function that characterizes the relationship between a covariate of interest (in this case, the location of a rat on a track) and features of the spike waveforms. In our example, we use tetrode recordings, and the marks represent a four-dimensional vector of the maximum amplitudes of the spike waveform on each of the four electrodes. In general, the marks may represent any features of the spike waveform. We then use Bayes’s rule to estimate spatial location from hippocampal neural activity. We validate our approach with a simulation study and experimental data recorded in the hippocampus of a rat moving through a linear environment. Our decoding algorithm accurately reconstructs the rat’s position from unsorted multiunit spiking activity. We then compare the quality of our decoding algorithm to that of a traditional spike-sorting and decoding algorithm. Our analyses show that the proposed decoding algorithm performs equivalent to or better than algorithms based on sorted single-unit activity. These results provide a path toward accurate real-time decoding of spiking patterns that could be used to carry out content-specific manipulations of population activity in hippocampus or elsewhere in the brain.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (S306) ◽  
pp. 239-242
Author(s):  
Radu S. Stoica

AbstractThe cosmic web is the intricate network of filaments outlined by the galaxies positions distribution in our Universe. One possible manner to break the complexity of such an elaborate geometrical structure is to assume it made of simple interacting objects. Under this hypothesis, the filamentary network can be considered as the realization of an object or a marked point process. These processes are probabilistic models dealing with configurations of random objects given by random points having random characteristics or marks. Here, the filamentary network is considered as the realization of such a process, with the objects being cylinders that align and connect in order to form the network. The paper presents the use of marked point processes to the detection and the characterization of the galactic filaments.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Long Tao ◽  
Karoline E. Weber ◽  
Kensuke Arai ◽  
Uri T. Eden

AbstractA critical component of any statistical modeling procedure is the ability to assess the goodness-of-fit between a model and observed data. For neural spike train models of individual neurons, many goodness-of-fit measures rely on the time-rescaling theorem to assess the statistical properties of rescaled spike times. Recently, there has been increasing interest in statistical models that describe the simultaneous spiking activity of neuron populations, either in a single brain region or across brain regions. Classically, such models have used spike sorted data to describe relationships between the identified neurons, but more recently clusterless modeling methods have been used to describe population activity using a single model. Here we develop a generalization of the time-rescaling theorem that enables comprehensive goodness-of-fit analysis for either of these classes of population models. We use the theory of marked point processes to model population spiking activity, and show that under the correct model, each spike can be rescaled individually to generate a uniformly distributed set of events in time and the space of spike marks. After rescaling, multiple well-established goodness-of-fit procedures and statistical tests are available. We demonstrate the application of these methods both to simulated data and real population spiking in rat hippocampus.


2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Gerardi ◽  
Paola Tardelli

This article considers the asset price movements in a financial market when risky asset prices are modeled by marked point processes. Their dynamics depend on an underlying event arrivals process, modeled again by a marked point process. Taking into account the presence of catastrophic events, the possibility of common jump times between the risky asset price process and the arrivals process is allowed. By setting and solving a suitable control problem, the characterization of the minimal entropy martingale measure is obtained. In a particular case, a pricing problem is also discussed.


1997 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 1039-1059
Author(s):  
Vinod Sharma

Recently, Asmussen and Koole (Journal of Applied Probability30, pp. 365–372) showed that any discrete or continuous time marked point process can be approximated by a sequence of arrival streams modulated by finite state continuous time Markov chains. If the original process is customer (time) stationary then so are the approximating processes. Also, the moments in the stationary case converge. For discrete marked point processes we construct a sequence of discrete processes modulated by discrete time finite state Markov chains. All the above features of approximating sequences of Asmussen and Koole continue to hold. For discrete arrival sequences (to a queue) which are modulated by a countable state Markov chain we form a different sequence of approximating arrival streams by which, unlike in the Asmussen and Koole case, even the stationary moments of waiting times can be approximated. Explicit constructions for the output process of a queue and the total input process of a discrete time Jackson network with these characteristics are obtained.


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