Foundations of Natural Gas Price Formation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergei Komlev
Author(s):  
Xiling Zhao ◽  
Xiaoyin Wang ◽  
Tao Sun

Distributed peak-shaving heat pump technology is to use a heat pump to adjust the heat on the secondary network in a substation, with features of low initial investment, flexible adjustment, and high operating cost. The paper takes an example for the system that uses two 9F class gas turbines (back pressure steam) as the basic heat source and a distributed heat pump in the substation as the peak-shaving heat source. The peak-shaving ratio is defined as the ratio of the designed peak-shaving heat load and the designed total heat load. The economic annual cost is taken as a goal, and the optimal peak-shaving ratio of the system is investigated. The influence of natural gas price, electricity price, and transportation distance are also analyzed. It can provide the reference for the optimized design and operation of the system.


Author(s):  
Tianxiang Li ◽  
Xiaosong Han ◽  
Aoqing Wang ◽  
Hui Li ◽  
Guosheng Liu ◽  
...  

In this paper, we build a deep learning network to predict the trends of natural gas prices. Given a time series, for each day, the gas price trend is classified as “up” and “down” according to the price compared to the last day. Meanwhile, we collect news articles as experimental materials from some natural gas related websites. Every article was then embedded into vectors by word2vec, weighted with its sentiment score, and labeled with corresponding day’s price trend. A CNN and LSTM fused network was then trained to predict price trend by these news vectors. Finally, the model’s predictive accuracy reached 62.3%, which outperformed most of other traditional classifiers.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (21) ◽  
pp. 5681
Author(s):  
Iván Acosta-Pazmiño ◽  
Carlos Rivera-Solorio ◽  
Miguel Gijón-Rivera

This study presents a techno-economic performance evaluation of a hybrid low-concentrating photovoltaic/thermal (LCPV/T) plant, which operates in a student sports and wellness center building situated at a university campus in Mexico. The solar plant comprises 144 LCPV/T collectors based on a hybridized version of a local parabolic trough technology. Dynamic thermal and electrical performance analyses were performed in the TRNSYS simulation studio. The results showed that the solar field could cover up to 72% of the hot water demand of the building during the summer season and 24% during the winter season. The hybrid system could annually save 7185 USD, accounting for heat (natural gas boiler) and electricity generation. However, the payback time was of 19.23 years, which was mainly attributed to a reduced natural gas price in Monterrey, Mexico. A new approach to evaluating the equivalent levelized cost of heat (LCOHeq), is proposed. This results in an LCOHeq of 0.065 USD/kWh, which is nearly equivalent to the LCOH of a natural gas-fired boiler (0.067 USD/kWh). Finally, the hybrid plant could achieve a specific CO2e emission reduction of 77.87 kg CO2e per square meter of the required installation area.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 100521
Author(s):  
Xinlei Yang ◽  
Xiucheng Dong ◽  
Zhaoyang Kong ◽  
Qingzhe Jiang ◽  
Tiedong Wang
Keyword(s):  

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