On the Convergence of Least Squares Estimator for Nonlinear Autoregressive Models *

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaobo Liu ◽  
Chanying Li
Keyword(s):  
Least Squares ◽  
Least Squares Estimator ◽  
Autoregressive Models ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive Models

scholarly journals PARAMETER ESTIMATION IN NONLINEAR AR–GARCH MODELS

2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 1236-1278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mika Meitz ◽  
Pentti Saikkonen
Keyword(s):  
Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Autoregressive Models ◽  
Garch Models ◽  
Martingale Difference ◽  
First Order ◽  
First Results ◽  
Consistency And Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Quasi Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive Models

This paper develops an asymptotic estimation theory for nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a general nonlinear autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a general nonlinear first-order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH(1,1)) model. We do not require the rescaled errors to be independent, but instead only to form a stationary and ergodic martingale difference sequence. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the global Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator are established under conditions comparable to those recently used in the corresponding linear case. To the best of our knowledge, this paper provides the first results on consistency and asymptotic normality of the QML estimator in nonlinear autoregressive models with GARCH errors.

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