scholarly journals PARAMETER ESTIMATION IN NONLINEAR AR–GARCH MODELS

2011 ◽  
Vol 27 (6) ◽  
pp. 1236-1278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mika Meitz ◽  
Pentti Saikkonen
Keyword(s):  
Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Autoregressive Models ◽  
Garch Models ◽  
Martingale Difference ◽  
First Order ◽  
First Results ◽  
Consistency And Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Quasi Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive Models

This paper develops an asymptotic estimation theory for nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a general nonlinear autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a general nonlinear first-order generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH(1,1)) model. We do not require the rescaled errors to be independent, but instead only to form a stationary and ergodic martingale difference sequence. Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the global Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator are established under conditions comparable to those recently used in the corresponding linear case. To the best of our knowledge, this paper provides the first results on consistency and asymptotic normality of the QML estimator in nonlinear autoregressive models with GARCH errors.

QUASI-MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF SEMI-STRONG GARCH MODELS

2009 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 561-570 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Carlos Escanciano
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Garch Models ◽  
Martingale Difference ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Conditional Mean ◽  
Mild Conditions ◽  
Consistency And Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Quasi Maximum Likelihood

This note proves the consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi–maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) of the parameters of a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) model with martingale difference centered squared innovations. The results are obtained under mild conditions and generalize and improve those in Lee and Hansen (1994,Econometric Theory10, 29–52) for the local QMLE in semistrong GARCH(1,1) models. In particular, no restrictions on the conditional mean are imposed. Our proofs closely follow those in Francq and Zakoïan (2004,Bernoulli10, 605–637) for independent and identically distributed innovations.

scholarly journals ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR NONLINEAR QUANTILE REGRESSION UNDER WEAK DEPENDENCE

2015 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 686-713 ◽  
Author(s):  
Walter Oberhofer ◽  
Harry Haupt
Keyword(s):  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Asymptotic Theory ◽  
Asymptotic Properties ◽  
Covariance Estimation ◽  
First Order ◽  
Regression Quantiles ◽  
Quantile Regression Model ◽  
Consistency And Asymptotic Normality

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the nonlinear quantile regression model under general assumptions on the error process, which is allowed to be heterogeneous and mixing. We derive the consistency and asymptotic normality of regression quantiles under mild assumptions. First-order asymptotic theory is completed by a discussion of consistent covariance estimation.

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