Correlation Enhanced Machine Learning Approach based Wave Height Prediction

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Ruchi Shrivastava ◽  
Dr. Krishna Teerth Chaturvedi

The prediction of wave height is one of the major problems of coastal engineering and coastal structures. In recent years, advances in the prediction of significant wave height have been considerably developed using flexible calculation techniques. In addition to the traditional prediction of significant wave height, soft computing has explored a new way of predicting significant wave heights. This research was conducted in the direction of forecasting a significant wave height using machine learning approaches. In this paper, a problem of significant wave height prediction problem has been tackled by using wave parameters such as wave spectral density. This prediction of significant wave height helps in wave energy converters as well as in ship navigation system. This research will optimize wave parameters for a fast and efficient wave height prediction. For this Pearson’s, Kendall’s and Spearman’s Correlation Coefficients and Particle Swarm Optimization feature reduction techniques are used. So reduced features are taken into consideration for prediction of wave height using neural network. In this work, performance evaluation metrics such as MSE and RMSE values are decreased and gives better performance of classification that is compared with existing research’s implemented methodology. From the experimental results, it is observed that proposed algorithm gives the better prediction as compared to PSO feature reduction technique. So, it is also concluded that Co-relation enhanced neural network is better as compared to PSO based neural network with increased number of features.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Delong Chen ◽  
Fan Liu ◽  
Zheqi Zhang ◽  
Xiaomin Lu ◽  
Zewen Li

Author(s):  
Maziar Golestani ◽  
Mostafa Zeinoddini

Knowledge of relevant oceanographic parameters is of utmost importance in the rational design of coastal structures and ports. Therefore, an accurate prediction of wave parameters is especially important for safety and economic reasons. Recently, statistical learning methods, such as Support Vector Regression (SVR) have been successfully employed by researchers in problems such as lake water level predictions, and significant wave height prediction. The current study reports potential application of a SVR approach to predict the wave spectra and significant wave height. Also the capability of the model to fill data gaps was tested using different approaches. Concurrent wind and wave records (standard meteorological and spectral density data) from 4 stations in 2003, 2007, 2008 and 2009 were used both for the training the SVR system and its verification. The choice of these four locations facilitated the comparison of model performances in different geographical areas. The SVR model was then used to obtain predictions for the wave spectra and also time series of wave parameters (separately for each station) such as its Hs and Tp from spectra and wind records. New approach was used to predict wave spectra comparing to similar studies. Reasonably well correlation was found between the predicted and measured wave parameters. The SVR model was first trained and tested using various methods for selecting training data. Also different values for SVM parameters (e.g. tolerance of termination criterion, cost, and gamma in kernel function) were tested. The best possible results were obtained using a Unix shell script (in Linux) which automatically implements different values for different input parameters and finds the best regression by calculating statistical scores like correlation of coefficient, RMSE, bias and scatter index. Finally for a better understanding of the results, Quantile-Quantile plots were produced. The results show that SVR can be successfully used for prediction of Hs and wave spectrum out of a series of wind and spectral wave parameters inputs. Also it was noticed that SVR is an efficient tool to be used when data gaps are present in the data.


2004 ◽  
Vol 126 (3) ◽  
pp. 213-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felice Arena ◽  
Silvia Puca

A Multivariate Neural Network (MNN) algorithm is proposed for the reconstruction of significant wave height time series, without any increase of the error of the MNN output with the number of modelled data. The algorithm uses a weighted error function during the learning phase, to improve the modelling of the higher significant wave height. The ability of the MNN to reconstruct sea storms is tested by applying the equivalent triangular storm model. Finally an application to the NOAA buoys moored off California shows a good performance of the MNN algorithm, both during sea storms and calm time periods.


RBRH ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Natália Lemke ◽  
◽  
Lauro Julio Calliari ◽  
José Antônio Scotti Fontoura ◽  
Déborah Fonseca Aguiar

ABSTRACT The wave climate characterization in coastal environments is essentially important to oceanography and coastal engineering professionals regarding coastal protection works. Thus, this study aims to determine the most frequent wave parameters (significant wave height, peak period and peak direction) in Patos Lagoon during the period of operation of a directional waverider buoy (from 01/27/2015 to 06/30/2015). The equipment was moored at approximately 14 km from the São Lourenço do Sul coast at the geographic coordinates of 31º29’06” S and 51º55’07” W, with local depth of six meters, registering significant wave height, peak period and peak direction time series. During the analyzed period, the greatest wave frequencies corresponded to short periods (between 2 and 3.5 seconds) and small values of significant wave heights (up to 0.6 meters), with east peak wave directions. The largest wave occurrences corresponded to east peak wave directions (33.3%); peak wave periods between 2.5 and 3 seconds (25.6%) and between 3 and 3.5 seconds (22.1%); and to significant wave heights of up to 0.3 meters (41.2%) and from 0.3 to 0.6 meters (38%). This research yielded unprecedented findings to Patos Lagoon by describing in detail the most occurring wave parameters during the analyzed period, establishing a consistent basis for several other studies that might still be conducted by the scientific community.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1201 (1) ◽  
pp. 012023
Author(s):  
F A Bjørni ◽  
S Lien ◽  
T Aa Midtgarden ◽  
G Kulia ◽  
A Verma ◽  
...  

Abstract Numerical simulations in coupled aero-hydro-servo-elastic codes are known to be a challenge for design and analysis of offshore wind turbine systems because of the large number of design load cases involved in checking the ultimate and fatigue limit states. To alleviate the simulation burden, machine learning methods can be useful. This article investigates the effect of machine learning methods on predicting the mooring line tension of a spar floating wind turbine. The OC3 Hywind wind turbine with a spar-buoy foundation and three mooring lines is selected and simulated with SIMA. A total of 32 sea states with irregular waves are considered. Artificial neural works with different constructions were applied to reproduce the time history of mooring tensions. The best performing network provides a strong average correlation of 71% and consists of two hidden layers with 35 neurons, using the Bayesian regularisation backpropagation algorithm. Sea states applied in the network training are predicted with greater accuracy than sea states used for validation of the network. The correlation coefficient is primarily higher for sea states with lower significant wave height and peak period. One sea state with a significant wave height of 5 meters and a peak period of 9 seconds has an average extreme value deviation for all mooring lines of 0.46%. Results from the study illustrate the potential of incorporating artificial neural networks in the mooring design process.


Author(s):  
Andreas Sterl ◽  
Sofia Caires

The European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has recently finished ERA-40, a reanalysis covering the period September 1957 to August 2002. One of the products of ERA-40 consists of 6-hourly global fields of wave parameters like significant wave height and wave period. These data have been generated with the Centre’s WAM wave model. From these results the authors have derived climatologies of important wave parameters, including significant wave height, mean wave period, and extreme significant wave heights. Particular emphasis is on the variability of these parameters, both in space and time. Besides for scientists studying climate change, these results are also important for engineers who have to design maritime constructions. This paper describes the ERA-40 data and gives an overview of the results derived. The results are available on a global 1.5° × 1.5° grid. They are accessible from the web-based KNMI/ERA-40 Wave Atlas at http://www.knmi.nl/waveatlas.


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