scholarly journals Exogenous and Endogenous Growth Models: a Critical Review

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 63-84
Author(s):  
Themba G. Chirwa ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Returns To Scale ◽  
Economic Growth Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Endogenous Growth Models

The main divisions of the theoretical economic growth literature that we study today include exogenous and endogenous growth models that have transitioned through a number of notions and criticisms. Proponents of exogenous growth models argue that technological progress is the key determinant of long‑run economic growth as well as international productivity differences. Within the endogenous growth models, there are two notions that are propagated. The first postulates that capital used for innovative purposes can exhibit increasing returns to scale and thus account for the international productivity differences we observe today. The key determinants include knowledge, human capital, and research and development. The second argues that factors that affect the efficiency of capital, and hence cause capital flight, can also explain international productivity differences. These factors that affect the efficiency of capital include government spending, inflation, real exchange rates, and real interest rates. Our study results reveal that there is still no agreement on the dominant theoretical economic growth model amongst economists that can fully account for international productivity differences. We conclude that the future of theoretical economic growth is far from over and more work needs to be done to develop more practical structural economic growth models.

scholarly journals Incorporating Fuzzy Logic in Harrod’s Economic Growth Model

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (18) ◽  
pp. 2194
Author(s):  
Joan Carles Ferrer-Comalat ◽  
Salvador Linares-Mustarós ◽  
Ricard Rigall-Torrent
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fuzzy Logic ◽  
Growth Model ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Classical Model ◽  
Economic Growth Model ◽  
Fuzzy Logic Theory ◽  
Endogenous Growth Models ◽  
Economic Growth Models ◽  
Equilibrium Growth

This paper suggests the possibility of incorporating the methodology of fuzzy logic theory into Harrod’s economic growth model, a classic model of economic dynamics for studying the growth of a developing economy based on the assumption that an economy with only savings and investment income is in equilibrium when savings are equal to investment. This model was the first precursor to exogenous growth models, which in turn gave rise to endogenous growth models. This article therefore represents a first step towards introducing fuzzy logic into economic growth models. The study concerned considers consumption and savings to depend on income by means of uncertain factors, and investment to depend on the variation of income through the accelerator factor, which we consider uncertain. These conditions are used to determine the equilibrium growth rate of income and investment, as well as the uncertain values for these variables in terms of fuzzy numbers. As a result, the new model is shown to expand the classical model by incorporating uncertainty into its variables.

scholarly journals GENERALIZATIONS OF OPTIMAL GROWTH THEORY: STOCHASTIC MODELS, MATHEMATICS, AND METASYNTHESIS

2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 515-544
Author(s):  
Stephen Spear ◽  
Warren Young
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Optimal Growth ◽  
Growth Theory ◽  
Stochastic Environment ◽  
Significant Progress ◽  
Long Period ◽  
Endogenous Growth Models

In previous papers [Spear and Young (2014, 2015)], we surveyed the origins, evolution, and dissemination of optimal growth, two-sector and turnpike models up to the early 1970s. Regarding subsequent developments in growth theory, a number of prominent observers, such as Fischer (1988), Stern (1991), and McCallum (1996), maintained that after significant progress in the 1950s and 1960s, economic growth theory “received relatively little attention for almost two decades” [Fischer (1988, p. 329)], and that “by the late 1960s early 1970s, research on the theory of growth more or less stopped” [Stern (1991, p. 259)]. Stern went on to say “the latter half of the 1980s saw a rekindling of growth theory, particularly in the work of Romer . . . and Lucas” (1991, p. 259), that is to say, in the form of “endogenous growth” models. McCallum, for his part, wrote (1996, p. 41), “After a long period of quiescence, growth economics has in the last decade (1986–1995) become an extremely active area of research.” Moreover, Brock and Mirman's (1972b) paper was the sole “extension” of Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans to a “stochastic environment” mentioned by McCallum (1996, 49).

scholarly journals DOES BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT HAVE ANY ASSOCIATION WITH ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INTEREST RATES IN PAKISTAN?

2019 ◽  
Vol IV (I) ◽  
pp. 100-107
Author(s):  
Muhammad Yusuf Amin ◽  
Syed Imran Khan ◽  
Noor Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Discount Rates ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Banking Sector Development

The study aims to examine the association between banking sector development, real exchange rates, inflation rates, federal discount rates, economic growth and bank deposits in Pakistan. The study employs Johansen co-integration method and Granger causality test. The empirical results confirm for the existence of a long run relationship between banking sector development and inflation, economic growth and federal discount rates. The results of Granger causality indicate that US interest rates affect the development of the Pakistani banking sector. This confirms the existence of spillover impact.

scholarly journals The analysis of innovation input - output relationships in EU member states

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 93-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arkadiusz Kijek ◽  
Tomasz Kijek
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Growth Models ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Member States ◽  
Eu Member States ◽  
Key Innovation ◽  
Endogenous Growth Models

This article presents some findings of an analysis of innovation input - output relationship in EU member states. The first section of the paper considers the role of innovation in economic growth with particular attention to the new endogenous growth models. In the second part, the dichotomous approach to innovation and its measures is presented. The last section contains the methodology and outcome of research. The results of the study show that R&D expenditures, ICT and human capital are the key innovation inputs that affect such innovation outputs as innovation and patent propensity and new-to-market sales.

A NOTE ON INFLATION, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND INCOME INEQUALITY

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 138-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Jin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Money Growth ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Negative Growth

This paper develops a monetary endogenous growth model with capital and skill heterogeneity to analyze the relationship among inflation, growth, and income inequality. In the model inflation, growth, and inequality are jointly determined. We show that an increase in the long-run money growth rate raises inflation and reduces growth, but its effect on income inequality depends on the relative importance of the two types of heterogeneity. Inequality shrinks with the rise of inflation when capital heterogeneity dominates and enlarges when skill heterogeneity dominates. Therefore, our model supports a negative (positive) inflation–inequality relationship and a positive (negative) growth–inequality relationship when capital (skill) heterogeneity dominates. In any event, inflation and growth are negatively related.

Relationship between Budget Deficit and Economic Growth: Evidence from Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 10-15
Author(s):  
Desalegn Emana
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run

This study examined the relationship between budget deficit and economic growth in Ethiopia using time series data for the period 1991 to 2019 by applying the ARDL bounds testing approach. The empirical results indicate that budget deficit and economic growth in Ethiopia have a negative relationship in the long run, and have a weak positive association in the short run. In line with this, in the long run, a one percent increase in the budget deficit causes a 1.43 percent decline in the economic growth of the country. This result is consistent with the neoclassical view which says budget deficits are bad for economic growth during stimulating periods. Moreover, in the long run, the variables trade openness and inflation have a positive impact on Ethiopian economic growth, and on the other hand, the economic growth of Ethiopia is negatively affected by the nominal exchange rate in the long run. Apart from this, in the long run, gross capital formation and lending interest rates have no significant impact on the economic growth of the country. Therefore, the study recommends the government should manage its expenditure and mobilize the resources to generate more revenue to address the negative impact of the budget deficit on economic growth.

Money and Household Consumption Expenditure in Developing Asia: Some Panel ARDL Evidence

2021 ◽  
pp. 001946622110624
Author(s):  
Ghanashyama Mahanty ◽  
Himanshu Sekhar Rout ◽  
Swayam Prava Mishra
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Household Consumption ◽  
Asia Pacific ◽  
Consumption Expenditure ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Final Consumption ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The role of money in influencing real economic activities has been a long-standing debate in macroeconomics. As per the Keynesian theory, household consumption expenditure plays a significant role in promoting economic growth. Given the rapid consumption-led growth pattern in the emerging Asia Pacific region, in this article, we attempt to assess the role of money in influencing household consumption expenditure, which propels economic growth. We employ a panel data set from 2005–2018 for 10 emerging Asian economies, covering Bangladesh, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Thailand and Vietnam. Given the region’s heterogeneous nature, we employ a variant of the popular St Louise equation model with autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) panel framework based on pooled mean group (PMG) and dynamic fixed effect (DFE) models developed by Pesaran and Shin to study the underlying relationships. Both PMG and DFE models suggest a strong positive relationship between money and household consumption expenditure both in the long run and short run. After allowing for control variables such as government final consumption expenditure and interest rate, the relationships continue to hold steady. Further, the relationship holds true across both narrow (M1) and broad money (M3) measures. The government final consumption expenditure and interest rates do not have influence on household consumption expenditure in the long run, but they have an influence in the short run. JEL Codes: C23, O16, O47, E51, E31, E21

Growth and returns across countries

2021 ◽  
pp. 78-87
Author(s):  
Jesper Rangvid
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Wide Margin ◽  
The Past ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Long Run Risk

This chapter examines the relation between long-run economic growth and returns across countries. Have countries that have experienced high GDP growth historically also experienced high stock returns? The chapter contains three main messages. First, there is no clear tendency that countries that have grown fast in the past are also countries that have delivered high stock returns in the past. Second, as in the US, stock prices have in many countries followed economic activity in the long run. Third, real interest rates relate to economic growth across countries in the long run.Another conclusion emerging from this chapter is that long-run stock returns exceed long-run rates of economic growth and long-run risk-free rates by a wide margin.

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