Lung Ultrasound to Monitor Disease Severity and Aid Prognostication in COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Retrospective Analysis of Serial Lung Ultrasound Assessments

Background: The aim of this retrospective analysis was to assess if serial lung ultrasound assessments in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, including a novel simplified scoring system, correlate with PaO2:FiO2 ratio, as a marker of disease severity, and patient outcomes. Methods: Patients treated for COVID-19 pneumonia in a tertiary intensive care unit who had a lung ultrasound assessment were included. Standardised assessments of anterior and lateral lung regions were prospectively recorded. A validated lung ultrasound score-of-aeration and a simplified scoring system based on the number of disease-free lung regions were correlated with: PaO2:FiO2 ratio, successful weaning from mechanical ventilation, and status (alive or dead) at discharge. MedCalc© statistical software was used for statistical analysis. Results: 28 patients (109 assessments) were included. Correlation was seen between score-of-aeration and PaO2:FiO2 ratio (r = -0.61, p<0.0001) and between the simplified scoring system and PaO2:FiO2 ratio (r = 0.52 p<0.0001). Achieving a score-of-aeration of ≤9/24 or ≥2 disease-free regions was associated with successful weaning from mechanical ventilation and survival to ICU discharge (accuracy of 94% and 97% respectively). Conclusion: Retrospective analysis from this small cohort of patients demonstrates that scores-of-aeration and a simplified scoring system based on the number of disease-free antero-lateral regions from serial LUS assessments correlate with PaO2:FiO2 ratio as a marker of disease severity in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. In addition, lung ultrasound may help identify patients who will have favourable outcomes.