scholarly journals Computation of Importance Measures Using Bayesian Networks for the Reliability and Safety of Complex Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-111
Author(s):  
Syed Raza ◽  
Qamar Mahboob ◽  
Awais Khan ◽  
Tauseef Khan ◽  
Jafar Hussain
Keyword(s):  
Complex Systems ◽  
Bayesian Networks

scholarly journals A dynamic Bayesian network approach for prognosis computations on discrete state systems

2017 ◽  
Vol 231 (5) ◽  
pp. 516-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josquin Foulliaron ◽  
Laurent Bouillaut ◽  
Patrice Aknin ◽  
Anne Barros
Keyword(s):  
Complex Systems ◽  
Bayesian Networks ◽  
Bayesian Network ◽  
Multicomponent System ◽  
Dynamic Bayesian Network ◽  
Dynamic Bayesian Networks ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Predictive Maintenance ◽  
Discrete State ◽  
Virtual Maintenance

The maintenance optimization of complex systems is a key question. One important objective is to be able to anticipate future maintenance actions required to optimize the logistic and future investments. That is why, over the past few years, the predictive maintenance approaches have been an expanding area of research. They rely on the concept of prognosis. Many papers have shown how dynamic Bayesian networks can be relevant to represent multicomponent complex systems and carry out reliability studies. The diagnosis and maintenance group from French institute of science and technology for transport, development and networks (IFSTTAR) developed a model (VirMaLab: Virtual Maintenance Laboratory) based on dynamic Bayesian networks in order to model a multicomponent system with its degradation dynamic and its diagnosis and maintenance processes. Its main purpose is to model a maintenance policy to be able to optimize the maintenance parameters due to the use of dynamic Bayesian networks. A discrete state-space system is considered, periodically observable through a diagnosis process. Such systems are common in railway or road infrastructure fields. This article presents a prognosis algorithm whose purpose is to compute the remaining useful life of the system and update this estimation each time a new diagnosis is available. Then, a representation of this algorithm is given as a dynamic Bayesian network in order to be next integrated into the Virtual Maintenance Laboratory model to include the set of predictive maintenance policies. Inference computation questions on the considered dynamic Bayesian networks will be discussed. Finally, an application on simulated data will be presented.

scholarly journals Quantum Probabilistic Models Using Feynman Diagram Rules for Better Understanding the Information Diffusion Dynamics in Online Social Networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (10) ◽  
pp. 13730-13731
Author(s):  
Ece C. Mutlu
Keyword(s):  
Social Networks ◽  
Social Learning ◽  
Complex Systems ◽  
Bayesian Networks ◽  
Online Social Networks ◽  
Information Diffusion ◽  
Probabilistic Models ◽  
Human Interaction ◽  
Multi Agent Systems ◽  
Diffusion Dynamics

This doctoral consortium presents an overview of my anticipated PhD dissertation which focuses on employing quantum Bayesian networks for social learning. The project, mainly, aims to expand the use of current quantum probabilistic models in human decision-making from two agents to multi-agent systems. First, I cultivate the classical Bayesian networks which are used to understand information diffusion through human interaction on online social networks (OSNs) by taking into account the relevance of multitude of social, psychological, behavioral and cognitive factors influencing the process of information transmission. Since quantum like models require quantum probability amplitudes, the complexity will be exponentially increased with increasing uncertainty in the complex system. Therefore, the research will be followed by a study on optimization of heuristics. Here, I suggest to use an belief entropy based heuristic approach. This research is an interdisciplinary research which is related with the branches of complex systems, quantum physics, network science, information theory, cognitive science and mathematics. Therefore, findings can contribute significantly to the areas related mainly with social learning behavior of people, and also to the aforementioned branches of complex systems. In addition, understanding the interactions in complex systems might be more viable via the findings of this research since probabilistic approaches are not only used for predictive purposes but also for explanatory aims.

scholarly journals Reliability Evaluation Methodology of Complex Systems Based on Dynamic Object-Oriented Bayesian Networks

IEEE Access ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 11289-11300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaobing Yuan ◽  
Baoping Cai ◽  
Yunpeng Ma ◽  
Junyan Zhang ◽  
Kabwe Mulenga ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Complex Systems ◽  
Bayesian Networks ◽  
Object Oriented ◽  
Reliability Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Methodology ◽  
Dynamic Object
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