Traveltime and dispersion data, including associated discharge and water-surface elevation data, for the Upper Ohio River, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and West Virginia; October through November 1991

1997 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.B. Wiley
Author(s):  
Ngarap Im Manik

This paper discusses the design of computer programs that is able to discern the characteristics description of water surface elevation data in Manggarai water gate, which variable is the most influential on the water surface elevation model and find a proper flood forecasting model using multivariate autoregressive model. The result of this study is able to assist the water gate officer in delivering early warning, prevention and anticipation of flood countermeasure. The forecast equation model obtained is Yt = 109,.7828 + 0,9291 CHt-6 – 24,484 T t-2 – 0,06245 PM t-2 + 1,4706 KB t-2 in which temperature and water surface elevation is a variable that owns the strongest correlation. This variable owns negative correlation which means that if the temperature falls, the water levels will rise. The coefficient of determination has a value of R2 = 0.4056 and the Durbin Watson statistics for DW = 0.7429.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 666
Author(s):  
Mahkameh Zarekarizi ◽  
K. Joel Roop-Eckart ◽  
Sanjib Sharma ◽  
Klaus Keller

Understanding flood probabilities is essential to making sound decisions about flood-risk management. Many people rely on flood probability maps to inform decisions about purchasing flood insurance, buying or selling real-estate, flood-proofing a house, or managing floodplain development. Current flood probability maps typically use flood zones (for example the 1 in 100 or 1 in 500-year flood zones) to communicate flooding probabilities. However, this choice of communication format can miss important details and lead to biased risk assessments. Here we develop, test, and demonstrate the FLOod Probability Interpolation Tool (FLOPIT). FLOPIT interpolates flood probabilities between water surface elevation to produce continuous flood-probability maps. FLOPIT uses water surface elevation inundation maps for at least two return periods and creates Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP) as well as inundation maps for new return levels. Potential advantages of FLOPIT include being open-source, relatively easy to implement, capable of creating inundation maps from agencies other than FEMA, and applicable to locations where FEMA published flood inundation maps but not flood probability. Using publicly available data from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) flood risk databases as well as state and national datasets, we produce continuous flood-probability maps at three example locations in the United States: Houston (TX), Muncy (PA), and Selinsgrove (PA). We find that the discrete flood zones generally communicate substantially lower flood probabilities than the continuous estimates.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niccolò Ragno ◽  
Marco Redolfi ◽  
Marco Tubino

<p>The morphodynamics of multi-thread fluvial environments like braided and anastomosing rivers is fundamentally driven by the continuous concatenation of channel bifurcations and confluences, which govern the distribution of flow and sediment among the different branches that are reconnecting further downstream. Almost all studies performed to date consider the two processes separately, although they frequently appear as closely interconnected. In this work, we tackle the problem of analyzing the coupled morphodynamics of such bifurcation-confluence systems by studying the equilibrium and stability conditions of a channel loop, where flow splits into two secondary anabranches that rejoin after a prescribed distance. Through the formulation of a novel theoretical model for erodible bed confluences based on the momentum balance on two distinct control volumes, we show that the dominating anabranch (i.e. that carrying more water and sediment) is subject to an increase of the water surface elevation that is proportional to the square of the Froude number. This increase in water surface elevation tends to reduce the slope of the dominating branch, which produces a negative feedback that tends to stabilize the bifurcation-confluence system. A linear analysis of the coupled model reveals that the stabilizing effect of the confluence depends on the ratio between the length of the connecting channels and the average water depth, independently of the channel slope and Froude number. Furthermore, the effect of the confluence is potentially able to stabilize the channel loop in conditions where the classic stabilizing mechanism at the bifurcation (i.e. the topographical effect related to the gravitational pull on the sediment transport) is very weak, as expected when most of the sediment is transported in suspension. The identification of a characteristic length scale that produces a coupling between the confluences and bifurcations opens intriguing possibilities for interpreting the self-adjustment of the planform scale of natural multi-thread rivers.</p>


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 576 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amarnath C R ◽  
Shashidhar Thatikonda

In this study, we present a scenario to evaluate the backwater impacts on upstream of the Polavaram dam during floods. For this purpose, annual peak discharges across the different gauge stations in river stretch considered for flood frequency analysis. Statistical analysis is carried out for discharge data to estimate probable flood discharge values for 1000 and 10,000 years return period along with 0.1 and 0.14 million m3/s discharge. Furthermore, the resulting flood discharge values are converted to water level forecasts using a steady and unsteady flow hydraulic model, such as HEC-RAS. The water surface elevation at Bhadrachalam river stations with and without dam was estimated for 1000 and 10,000 years discharge. Unsteady 2D flow simulations with and without the dam with full closure and partial closure modes of gate operation were analysed. The results showed that with half of the gates as open and all gates closed, water surface elevation of 62.34 m and 72.34 m was obtained at Bhadrachalam for 1000 and 10,000 years. The 2D unsteady flow simulations revealed that at improper gate operations, even with a flow of 0.1 million m3/s, water levels at Bhadrachalam town will be high enough to submerge built-up areas and nearby villages.


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