Travel Demand Modeling and Conformity Determination: Atlanta Regional Commission Case Study

2002 ◽  
Vol 1817 (1) ◽  
pp. 172-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guy Rousseau ◽  
Tracy Clymer
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Traffic Model ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Primary Input ◽  
Land Use Model ◽  
Home Based ◽  
Travel Demand Model

The Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC) regional travel demand model is described as it relates to its link-based emissions postprocessor. In addition to conformity determination, an overview of other elements is given. The transit networks include the walk and highway access links. Trip generation addresses trip production, trip attraction, reconciliation of productions and attractions, and special adjustments made for Hartsfield Atlanta International Airport. Trip distribution includes the application of the composite impedance variable. In the mode choice model, home-based work uses a logit function, whereas nonwork uses information from the home-based work to estimate modal shares. Traffic assignment includes preparation of time-of-day assignments. The model assigns single-occupancy vehicles, high-occupancy vehicles, and trucks by using separate trip tables. The procedures can accept or prohibit each of the three types of vehicles from each highway lane. Feedback between the land use model and the traffic model is accounted for via composite impedances generated by the traffic model and is a primary input to the land use model DRAM/EMPAL. The land use model is based on census tract geography, whereas the travel demand model is based on traffic analysis zones that are subareas within census tracts. The ARC model has extended the state of the practice by using the log sum variable from mode choice as the impedance measure rather than the standard highway time. This change means that the model is sensitive not only to highway travel time but also to highway and transit costs.

scholarly journals What Matters Most in Transportation Demand Model Specifications: A Comparison of Outputs in a Mid-size Network

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Donna Chen ◽  
Kara Kockelman ◽  
Yong Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Travel Demand ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Land Use Patterns ◽  
Transportation Demand ◽  
Step Model ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the impact of travel demand modeling (TDM) disaggregation techniques in the context of medium-sized communities. Specific TDM improvement strategies are evaluated for predictive power and flexibility with case studies based on the Tyler, Texas, network. Results suggest that adding time-of-day disaggregation, particularly in conjunction with multi-class assignment, to a basic TDM framework has the most significant impacts on outputs. Other strategies shown to impact outputs include adding a logit mode choice model and incorporating a congestion feedback loop. For resource-constrained communities, these results show how model output and flexibility vary for different settings and scenarios.BACKGROUND Transportation directly provides for the mobility of people and goods, while influencing land use patterns and economic activity, which in turn affect air quality, social equity, and investment decisions. Driven by the need to forecast future transportation demand and system performance, Manheim (1979) and Florian et al. (1988) introduced a transportation analysis framework for traffic forecasting using aggregated data that provide the basis for what is known as the four-step model: a process involving trip generation, then trip distribution and mode choice, followed by route choice. Aggregating demographic data at the zone level, the four-step model generates trip productions based on socioeconomic data (e.g., household counts by income and size) and trip attractions primarily based on jobs counts. The model then proportionally distributes trips between each origin and destination (OD) zone pair based on competing travel attractions and impedances, under the assumption that OD pairings with higher travel costs draw fewer trips. Trips between each OD pair are split among a variety of transportation modes, allocating trips to private vehicle, transit, or other

Parsimonious Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification for Transportation Systems Planning Applied to California High-Speed Rail

2012 ◽  
Vol 2266 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quentin Noreiga ◽  
Mark McDonald
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Quantification ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Parameter Uncertainties ◽  
Main Mode ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Travel Demand Model

This paper presents a parsimonious travel demand model (PTDM) derived from a proprietary parent travel demand model developed by Cambridge Systematics (CS) for the California high-speed rail system. The purpose of the PTDM is to reduce computational expense for model simulations, optimization and sensitivity analyses, and other repetitive analyses. The PTDM is used to quantify the significance of parameter uncertainties with the use of mean value first-order second moment methods for uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis. The PTDM changes the model resolution of the parent travel demand model from a traffic analysis zone to a county-level analysis. The three-step model contains trip frequency, destination choice, and main mode choice models and is calibrated to match the results of the CS model. The main mode choice model predicts primary mode choice results for car, commercial air, conventional rail, and high-speed rail. The PTDM uses data and models similar to parent models to show how uncertainty in travel demand model predictions can be quantified. This paper does not attempt to assess the reliability of parent model forecasts, and the results should not be used to evaluate uncertainty in the California High-Speed Rail Authority's rider ship and revenue forecasts. However, the uncertainty quantification methodology presented here, when applied to the CS model, can be used to quantify the impact of parameter uncertainty on the forecast results.

scholarly journals Development of mode choice models of a trip maker for Hyderabad metropolitan city

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1.6) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Bollini Prasad ◽  
Kumar Molugaram
Keyword(s):  
Travel Demand ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Motor Vehicles ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Trade Offs ◽  
Modern Cities ◽  
Choice Analysis ◽  
Distribution Mode ◽  
Travel Demand Model

The rapid development of urbanization, population growth and the rapid development of economy resulted in the rapid increase in the total number of motor vehicles in the modern cities of India. Consequently, the importance of forecasting of the travel demand model has been increased in the recent years. Forecasting of the travel demand model involves various stages of trip generation and distribution, mode choice and traffic assignment. Among these stages, the mode choice analysis is a prominent stage as it considers the travelers mode to reach their destination. Further, study of mode choice criteria has become a vital area of research as individual and household socio-demographics exert a strong influence on travel mode choice decisions. There is a huge literature on travel model choice modeling to predict the range of trade-offs of transportation of commuters considering travel time and travel cost. In such literature intercity mode choice behavior has gained significant attention by several authors. In this study an attempt has made in order to calculate the model share of the different modes between the circle to the circle, and it is found that the modal share of 2-wheeler is 70 %, bus is about 23 % and car is about 7% of the total trips.

Integrating a traffic router and microsimulator into a land use and travel demand model

2012 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 737-751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Austin Troy ◽  
Dale Azaria ◽  
Brian Voigt ◽  
Adel Sadek
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Travel Demand Model

Estimation of a Long-Distance Travel Demand Model using Trip Surveys, Location-Based Big Data, and Trip Planning Services

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (47) ◽  
pp. 103-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Llorca ◽  
Joseph Molloy ◽  
Joanna Ji ◽  
Rolf Moeckel
Keyword(s):  
Travel Demand ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Trip Planning ◽  
Combining Data ◽  
Distance Travel ◽  
Long Distance Travel ◽  
Travel Demand Model

Long-distance trips are less frequent than short-distance urban trips, but contribute significantly to the total distance traveled, and thus to congestion and transport-related emissions. This paper develops a long-distance travel demand model for the province of Ontario, Canada. In this paper, long-distance demand includes non-recurrent overnight trips and daytrips longer than 40 km, as defined by the Travel Survey for Residents in Canada (TSRC). We developed a microscopic discrete choice model including trip generation, destination choice, and mode choice. The model was estimated using travel surveys, which did not provide data about destination attractiveness and modal level of service. Therefore, a data collection method was designed to obtain publicly available data from the location-based social network Foursquare and from the online trip planning service Rome2rio. In the first case, Foursquare data characterized land uses and predominant activities of the destination alternatives, by the number of user check-ins at different venue types (i.e., ski areas, outdoor or medical activities, etc.). In the second case, the use of Rome2rio data described the modal alternatives for each observed trip. Combining data from travel surveys, Foursquare, and Rome2rio, coefficients of the model were estimated econometrically. It was found that the Foursquare data on number of check-ins at destinations was statistically significant, especially for leisure trips, and improved the goodness of fit compared with models that only used population and employment. Additionally, Rome2rio mode-specific variables were found to be significant for mode choice selection, making the resulting model sensitive to changes in travel time, transit fares, or service frequencies.

scholarly journals Self-Regulating Demand and Supply Equilibrium in Joint Simulation of Travel Demand and a Ride-Pooling Service

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812199714
Author(s):  
Gabriel Wilkes ◽  
Roman Engelhardt ◽  
Lars Briem ◽  
Florian Dandl ◽  
Peter Vortisch ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Choice Model ◽  
Mode Choice ◽  
Attractive Alternative ◽  
Full Potential ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Modeling Framework ◽  
Demand And Supply

This paper presents the coupling of a state-of-the-art ride-pooling fleet simulation package with the mobiTopp travel demand modeling framework. The coupling of both models enables a detailed agent- and activity-based demand model, in which travelers have the option to use ride-pooling based on real-time offers of an optimized ride-pooling operation. On the one hand, this approach allows the application of detailed mode-choice models based on agent-level attributes coming from mobiTopp functionalities. On the other hand, existing state-of-the-art ride-pooling optimization can be applied to utilize the full potential of ride-pooling. The introduced interface allows mode choice based on real-time fleet information and thereby does not require multiple iterations per simulated day to achieve a balance of ride-pooling demand and supply. The introduced methodology is applied to a case study of an example model where in total approximately 70,000 trips are performed. Simulations with a simplified mode-choice model with varying fleet size (0–150 vehicles), fares, and further fleet operators’ settings show that (i) ride-pooling can be a very attractive alternative to existing modes and (ii) the fare model can affect the mode shifts to ride-pooling. Depending on the scenario, the mode share of ride-pooling is between 7.6% and 16.8% and the average distance-weighed occupancy of the ride-pooling fleet varies between 0.75 and 1.17.

Model Calibration and Forecasts of Air Travel Demand with Categorized Household Socioeconomic Attributes

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (6) ◽  
pp. 363-371
Author(s):  
Jungin Kim ◽  
Ikki Kim ◽  
Jaeyeob Shim ◽  
Hansol Yoo ◽  
Sangjun Park
Keyword(s):  
Travel Behavior ◽  
Household Income ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Behavioral Model ◽  
Income Group ◽  
Air Travel ◽  
Jeju Island ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Air Travel Demand ◽  
Travel Demand Model

The objectives of this study were to (1) construct an air demand model based on household data and (2) forecast future air demand to explain the relationship between air demand and individual travel behavior. To this end, domestic passenger air travel demand at Jeju Island in South Korea was examined. A multiple regression model with numerous explanatory variables was established by examining categorized household socioeconomic data that affected air demand. The air travel demand model was calibrated for 2009–2015 based on the annual average number of visits to Jeju Island by households in certain income groups. The explanatory variable was set using a dummy variable for each household income group and the proportion of airfare to GDP per capita. Higher household income meant more frequent visits to Jeju Island, which was well-represented in the model. However, the value of the coefficient for the highest income was lower than the value for the second-highest income group. This suggested that the highest income group preferred overseas travel destinations to domestic ones. The future air demand for Jeju airport was predicted as 26,587,407 passengers in 2026, with a subsequent gradual increase to approximately 33,000,000 passengers by 2045 in this study. This study proposed an air travel demand model incorporating household socioeconomic attributes to reflect individual travel behavior, which contrasts with previous studies that used aggregate data. By constructing an air travel model that incorporated socioeconomic factors as a behavioral model, more accurate and consistent projections could be obtained.

A Complex Network Methodology for Travel Demand Model Evaluation and Validation

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 1051-1073 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meead Saberi ◽  
Taha H. Rashidi ◽  
Milad Ghasri ◽  
Kenneth Ewe
Keyword(s):  
Complex Network ◽  
Model Evaluation ◽  
Travel Demand ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Travel Demand Model
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document