Model of fish population dynamics with calculation of individual growth rate and hydrological situation scenarios

Author(s):  
V. V. Mikhailov ◽  
A. Yu. Perevaryukha ◽  
Yu. S. Reshetnikov
Parasitology ◽  
2001 ◽  
Vol 123 (3) ◽  
pp. 257-269 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. R. KENNEDY ◽  
P. C. SHEARS ◽  
J. A. SHEARS

Data are presented on 2 full epizootic cycles and the start of a third ofLigula intestinalisin roachRutilus rutilusin a small lake, and the relationships of these cycles to the densities of rudd,Scardinius erythrophthalmus, and Great Crested Grebes,Podiceps cristatus, over 31 years. The parasite was introduced to the lake byP. cristatusin 1973 at a time when the roach population had increased in response to eutrophication to a level at which individual fish growth was stunted and the hithero dominant rudd population had declined in numbers as a consequence of inter-specific competition with roach.Ligulaprevalence peaked at 28% in only 2 years: thereafter parasite-induced host mortality caused a decline in the roach population, releasing fish from stunting and allowing the rudd population to recover. The consequent improved growth of roach individuals and their short life-span reducedLigulatransmission rates and prevalence levels declined to approximately 1% althoughLigulanevertheless persisted for a further 10 years. Following a massive winter-kill of the fish populations in 1984–1985, fish andLigulanumbers declined to barely detectable levels and the parasite disappeared from samples. Rudd recovered first, then roach and interspecific competition again led to a decline in rudd numbers. This increase in roach numbers led to a decrease in roach growth rates, which coincided with the re-colonization of the lake byLigula. This second epizootic ofLigulapeaked within 2 years in 1991–1992, when up to 78% of roach were infected with a maximum abundance of 2.2 parasites and intensity of 21 parasites. Heavy parasite-induced mortality of roach led to a decline in numbers, an improvement in individual growth rate and a reduction ofLigulatransmission rates such that the epizootic died out in 1996. Similar conditions of roach numbers and growth prevailed at the start of a third cycle in 1998. The course of events over the second cycle was so similar to that of the first that it confirms the interpretations of that cycle. Comparison with other localities shows that epizootics ofLigulaalways coincide with rapid increases in roach numbers, for whatever cause, and stunted growth, which together attract piscivorous birds. At the start of a cycleLigulais a major determinant of the population dynamics of the roach, but at the end of the cycle the fish population dynamics determine those of the parasite. The cycles are not regulated and the roach–Ligulasystem is inherently unstable.


2010 ◽  
Vol 84 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 85-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence J. Buckley ◽  
Lauren B. Buckley

10.2307/4862 ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 58 (2) ◽  
pp. 728
Author(s):  
J. M. Elliott ◽  
J. A. Gulland

1981 ◽  
Vol 38 (9) ◽  
pp. 1120-1127 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. W. Doyle ◽  
W. Hunte

The estuarine amphipod Gammarus lawrencianus was subjected to prolonged selection (3 years; 26 generations) for high population growth rates. The demography of the selected population was studied in detail and compared under laboratory conditions with animals derived from a control (wild) population collected in the same area 3 years later. In the lab-adapted population the intrinsic rate of population growth r increased by 72% as the result of changes in age at maturation, survivorship, and fecundity. The variance of these traits decreased and Crow's (1958) index of total selection (variance of fitness/mean fitness squared) is proposed as a quantitative and operational measure of genetic adaptation to a changed environment. Possible limitations on adaptation were investigated by examining the correlations among demographic traits within the lab-adapted population. Some phenotypic correlations were determined directly and others by an indirect technique using information from full siblings. Individual growth rate was negatively correlated both with survival and fecundity. Individual growth rate and age at sexual maturity were also negatively correlated. Negative phenotypic correlations between traits may indicate limitations on long-term adaptation. We conclude that significant evolutionary changes in the demographic traits of this (and presumably other) marine crustacean can occur within a time scale of interest to ecologists and aquaculturalists.Key words: adaptation, amphipod, aquaculture, Crustacea, evolution, Gammarus, genetics, life history, strategy


2005 ◽  
Vol 117 (4) ◽  
pp. 2382-2382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Purnima Ratilal ◽  
Deanelle Symonds ◽  
Nicholas C. Makris ◽  
Redwood Nero

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