Hybridisation of Feature Selection and Classification Techniques in Credit Risk Assessment Modelling

Author(s):  
Sapiah Sakri ◽  
Jaizah Othman ◽  
Noreha Halid

In recent years, the use of artificial intelligence techniques to manage credit risk has represented an improvement over conventional methods. Furthermore, small improvements to credit scoring systems and default forecasting can support huge profits. Accordingly, banks and financial institutions have a high interest in any changes. The literature shows that the use of feature selection techniques can reduce the dimensionality problems in most credit risk datasets, and, thus, improve the performance of the credit risk model. Many other works also indicated that various classification approaches would also affect the performance of the credit risk assessment modelling. In this research, based on the new proposed framework, we investigated the effect of various filter-based feature selection techniques with various classification approaches, namely, single and ensemble classifiers, on three credit datasets (German, Australian, and Japanese credit risk datasets) with the aim of improving the performance of the credit risk model. All single and ensemble classifier-based models were evaluated using four of the most used performance metrics for assessing financial stress models. From the comparison analysis between, with, and without applying the feature selection and across the three credit datasets, the Random-Forest + Information-Gain model achieved a better trade-off in improving the model’s accuracy rate with the value of 96% for the Australian credit dataset. This model also obtained the lowest Type I error with the value of 4% for the German credit dataset, the lowest Type II error with the value of 2% for the German credit dataset and the highest value of G-mean of 95% for the Australian credit dataset. The results clearly indicate that the Random-Forest + Information-Gain model is an excellent predictor for the credit risk cases.

2018 ◽  
Vol 05 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850041
Author(s):  
Suguru Yamanaka

This paper proposes advanced credit risk assessment and lending operations using purchase order information from borrower firms. Purchase order information from a borrower firm is useful for financial institutions to evaluate the actual business conditions of the firm. This paper shows the application of purchase order information to lending operations and credit risk assessment, and reveals its effectiveness. First, we propose a “purchase order based” credit risk model for real-time credit risk monitoring of firms. Financial institutions can monitor the actual business conditions of borrower firms by evaluating the firm’s asset value using purchase order information. A combination of traditional firm monitoring using financial statements and high-frequency monitoring using purchase order information enables financial institutions to assess the business conditions of borrower firms more precisely and efficiently. Then, with high-frequency data, financial institutions can give borrower firms appropriate support if necessary on a timely basis. Second, we illustrate purchase order financing, which is the lending method backed by purchase order information from borrowers. With purchase order financing, firms that consistently receive purchase orders from credit-worthy firms can borrow money under more favorable lending terms than the usual lending terms based on the financial statements of the borrower firm.


Analysis of credit scoring is an effective credit risk assessment technique, which is one of the major research fields in the banking sector. Machine learning has a variety of applications in the banking sector and it has been widely used for data analysis. Modern techniques such as machine learning have provided a self-regulating process to analyze the data using classification techniques. The classification method is a supervised learning process in which the computer learns from the input data provided and makes use of this information to classify the new dataset. This research paper presents a comparison of various machine learning techniques used to evaluate the credit risk. A credit transaction that needs to be accepted or rejected is trained and implemented on the dataset using different machine learning algorithms. The techniques are implemented on the German credit dataset taken from UCI repository which has 1000 instances and 21 attributes, depending on which the transactions are either accepted or rejected. This paper compares algorithms such as Support Vector Network, Neural Network, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, Random Forest, and Classification and Regression Trees (CART) algorithm and the results obtained show that Random Forest algorithm was able to predict credit risk with higher accuracy


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jalil Nourmohammadi-Khiarak ◽  
Mohammad-Reza Feizi-Derakhshi ◽  
Fatemeh Razeghi ◽  
Samaneh Mazaheri ◽  
Yashar Zamani-Harghalani ◽  
...  

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