What expect us in XXI centure: further heating or cooling of climate?

Author(s):  
Vitaliy B. Titov ◽  
Natalya I. Kuzevanova

The natural and anthropogenic factors of global air temperature oscillations are examined and compared. The analysis of solar radiation intensity for the last 300 years was observed, the prediction of solar activity on the period until 2100 year was carried out. Quality estimates of expected global air temperature variations in the current century were received.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergei Smyshlyaev ◽  
Polina Blakitnaya ◽  
Maxim Motsakov ◽  
Vener Galin

<p>The INM RAS – RSHU chemistry-climate model of the lower and middle atmosphere is used to compare the role of natural and anthropogenic factors in the observed and expected variability of stratospheric ozone. Numerical experiments have been carried out on several scenarios of separate and combined effects of solar activity, stratospheric aerosol, sea surface temperature, greenhouse gases, and ozone-depleting substances emissions on ozone for the period from 1979 to 2050. Simulations for the past and present periods are compared to the results of ground-based and satellite observations, as well as MERRA and ERA-Interim re-analysis. Estimation of future ozone changes are based on different scenarios of changes in solar activity and emissions of ozone-depleting substances and greenhouse gases, as well as the possibility of large volcanic aerosol emissions at different periods of time.</p>


2017 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 1925-1937 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiyan Zuo ◽  
Song Yang ◽  
Kang Xu ◽  
Renhe Zhang ◽  
Qiong He ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
P. D. Jones ◽  
S. C. B. Raper ◽  
R. S. Bradley ◽  
H. F. Diaz ◽  
P. M. Kellyo ◽  
...  

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