ANALISIS PENERAPAN SISTEM PENJADWALAN DENGAN METODE PERT PADA PROYEK KONSTRUKSI (STUDI KASUS: REHABILITASI DAN PENINGKATAN INFRASTRUKSI PASAR TRADISONAL KOTA MALANG)

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Faris Rizal Andardi
Keyword(s):  
Completion Time ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Infrastructure Projects ◽  
Scheduling System ◽  
Project Completion ◽  
Traditional Market ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Market Infrastructure

PERT is a simplified software, to produce the expected project completion probability based on the duration or duration of a particular contract. In developing the PERT method a lot of research was carried out to perfect this method. The purpose of this study is to determine the overall duration of project completion, the magnitude of the project probability that can be completed in less than 170 days and more than 170 days, and the project completion time with the highest probability. Results of Analysis of Implementation of Scheduling System with PERT Method in Rehabilitation and Improvement of Traditional Market Infrastructure Projects in Malang City is the total duration of simulation results obtained 168 days faster than the 172 day plan. The probability of completing the 168 day project is 50%, while the probability of completing the 172 day project is 85.31%. The highest chance of the project being completed is 99.97%, with a duration of 181 days.

Project Completion Time and Cost Prediction Using Change Point Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 04014086 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyed Taha Hossein Mortaji ◽  
Rassoul Noorossana ◽  
Morteza Bagherpour
Keyword(s):  
Change Point ◽  
Completion Time ◽  
Change Point Analysis ◽  
Cost Prediction ◽  
Project Completion ◽  
Point Analysis

Risk Management of Construction Schedule by PERT with Monte Carlo Simulation

2014 ◽  
Vol 548-549 ◽  
pp. 1646-1650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Liu ◽  
Yan Li
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Critical Path ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Control Points ◽  
Schedule Management ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Critical Paths ◽  
Construction Schedule

It has been proved that the construction schedule management was an uncertain problem. Traditional CPM method was a good way to define the total duration and critical paths but can not solve uncertainty. The paper use CPM to define the duration and critical path firstly, then defined the parameters with Delphi and make Monte Carlo simulation. Through simulation results, it is found that the probability to finish the work on time was only 35.3%. The following step is to make sensitivity analysis, through the calculation, the work which has large influence was found and treat as key control points. It is proved that Monte Carlo simulation is useful to solve the problem of construction schedule management.

A Quantity-Based Method to Predict More Accurate Project Completion Time

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (10) ◽  
pp. 2861-2875
Author(s):  
Hsien-Kuan Chang ◽  
Wen-Der Yu ◽  
Tao-Ming Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Completion Time ◽  
Project Completion

Probabilistic network analysis for project completion time∗

1991 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 179-184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chandra S. Putcha ◽  
Sridhar J. K. Rao
Keyword(s):  
Network Analysis ◽  
Completion Time ◽  
Project Completion ◽  
Probabilistic Network

Simulation of Project Completion Time with Burr XII Activity Distribution

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enobong Udoumoh ◽  
Daniel Ebong ◽  
Iberedem Iwok
Keyword(s):  
Completion Time ◽  
Project Completion ◽  
Activity Distribution

The Anatomy of Geotechnical Risk Factors in Transportation Infrastructure Projects

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 20-30
Author(s):  
Amadi Alolote
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Transportation Infrastructure ◽  
Infrastructure Projects ◽  
Selection Algorithm ◽  
Cost Overruns ◽  
Highway Projects ◽  
Contractor Selection ◽  
Project Completion ◽  
Ground Conditions ◽  
Geotechnical Risk

Ground conditions constitute a key risk factor that can ultimately determine the successful performance of construction contracts, with the literature reporting statistics of projects which have significantly exceeded their initial budget due to geotechnical uncertainties. The study explores the nature of geotechnical risk factors in transportation infrastructure projects, which potentially lead to cost overruns. The study provides a kaleidoscopic view of the various routes to managing risks due to the ground, at the preconstruction phases of highway projects, and how a lack thereof, can culminate to determine the trend of high-cost overruns in highway projects. The study findings reveal arguments and widely contested issues in geotechnical practice, which to various degrees, can have a significant financial impact on project completion cost in highway projects. The findings uncover various error traps and gaps in practice such as the lack of deterministic costing methods that better reflect heterogeneous ground conditions; insufficiency of preliminary geotechnical exploration; poor geotechnical risk containment in contracts as well as non-deployment of multi-dimensional geotechnically bespoke contractor selection algorithm. The study submits that these gaps in practice constitute the various trajectories through which geotechnical risk can trigger inefficiency and wastage of financial resources, leading to cost overruns in transportation infrastructure projects.

scholarly journals Analysis of an Anomaly: The Increase in Time Float following Consumption

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianxun Qi ◽  
Zhixiong Su
Keyword(s):  
Completion Time ◽  
Start Time ◽  
Project Completion ◽  
Activity Networks ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Project Plan ◽  
Time Float

One fundamental axiom for project plan and schedule relates to the notion that time float will be reduced following its consumption. However, an anomalous scenario can emerge in which an activity’s time float increases following its consumption. By exploring the associations between time float and paths in activity networks, we (a) reveal the conditions under which the anomaly occurs and (b) summarize laws related to total float. An activity’s total float increases in parallel with its duration prolongation within a given boundary but remains constant or decreases in parallel with a prolongation outside the boundary. Furthermore, whereas a prolongation of an activity’s duration in excess of classic total float does not delay project completion time, a lag of its start time to a degree slightly greater than the total float does. This analysis reveals different types of total float that correspond to different ways of usage. From this, we offer definitions for translation total float and prolongation total float that deviate from traditional conventions regarding the uniqueness of total float.

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