scholarly journals Covered Interest Parity, Uncovered Interest Parity, and Exchange Rate Dynamics

10.3386/w0984 ◽  
1982 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Eaton ◽  
Stephen Turnovsky

1983 ◽  
Vol 93 (371) ◽  
pp. 555 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Eaton ◽  
Stephen J. Turnovsky


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 124-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosen Valchev

This paper proposes a new explanation for the failure of Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) that rationalizes both the classic UIP puzzle and the evidence that the puzzle reverses direction at longer horizons. In the model, excess currency returns arise as compensation for endogenous fluctuations in bond convenience yield differentials. Due to the interaction of monetary and fiscal policy, the impulse response of the equilibrium convenience yield is nonmonotonic, which generates the reversal of the puzzle. The calibrated model fits exchange rate dynamics very well. I also find direct evidence linking convenience yields to excess currency returns. (JEL E43, E52, F31, F41, H63)









2019 ◽  
Vol 95 ◽  
pp. 317-331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Engel ◽  
Dohyeon Lee ◽  
Chang Liu ◽  
Chenxin Liu ◽  
Steve Pak Yeung Wu


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nils Herger

Following the pioneering work of Irving Fisher, this article assesses the uncovered interest-parity (UIP) condition by comparing Indian interest and exchange rates during the 1869 to 1906 period. The Indian case provides a good example of the UIP condition, since Indian rupee and sterling bonds were simultaneously traded in the London financial market and subject to negligible default risks. Large deviations from the UIP condition arose when India suffered from pervasive levels of uncertainty about the future of its silver-based currency system. Otherwise, a relatively close correlation arises between sterling-to-rupee interest-rate differences and exchange-rate changes.



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