scholarly journals A Multivariate Model to Predict Chronic Heart Failure after Acute ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction: Preliminary Study

Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1925
Author(s):  
Valentin Elievich Oleynikov ◽  
Elena Vladimirovna Averyanova ◽  
Anastasia Aleksandrovna Oreshkina ◽  
Nadezhda Valerievna Burko ◽  
Yulia Andreevna Barmenkova ◽  
...  

A multivariate model for predicting the risk of decompensated chronic heart failure (CHF) within 48 weeks after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has been developed and tested. Methods. The study included 173 patients with acute STEMI aged 51.4 (95% confidence interval (CI): 42–61) years. Two-dimensional (2D) speckle-tracking echocardiography (STE) has been performed on the 7th–9th days, and at the 12th, 24th, and 48th weeks after the index event with the analysis of volumetric parameters and values for global longitudinal strain (GLS), global circumferential strain (GCS), and global radial strain (GRS). A 24-h ECG monitoring (24 h ECG) of the electrocardiogram (ECG) to assess heart rate turbulence (HRT) has been performed on the 7th–9th days of STEMI. The study involved two stages of implementation. At the first stage, a multivariate model to assess the risk of CHF progression within 48 weeks after STEMI has been built on the basis of examination and follow-up data for 113 patients (group M). At the second stage, the performance of the model has been assessed based on a 48-week follow-up of 60 patients (group T). Results. A multivariate regression model for CHF progression in STEMI patients has been created based on the results of the first stage. It included the following parameters: HRT, left ventricular (LV) end-systolic dimension (ESD), and GLS. The contribution of each factor for the relative risk (RR) of decompensated CHF has been found: 3.92 (95% CI: 1.66–9.25) (p = 0.0018) for HRT; 1.04 (95% CI: 1.015–1.07) (p = 0.0027) for ESD; 0.9 (95% CI: 0.815–0.98) (p = 0.028) for GLS. The diagnostic efficiency of the proposed model has been evaluated at the second stage. It appeared to have a high specificity of 83.3%, a sensitivity of 95.8%, and a diagnostic accuracy of 93.3%. Conclusion. The developed model for predicting CHF progression within 48 weeks after STEMI has a high diagnostic efficiency and can be used in early stages of myocardial infarction to stratify the risk of patients.

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Timoteo ◽  
L Moura Branco ◽  
A Galrinho ◽  
T Mano ◽  
P Rio ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain has demonstrated incremental prognostic value over LV ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with ST-segment-elevation acute myocardial infarction. However, LV global longitudinal strain (GLS) does not take into consideration the effect of afterload. Myocardial work (MW) by speckle-tracking echocardiography integrates blood pressure measurements (afterload) with LV GLS and it has been recently demonstrated that Global Work Efficiency (GWE) is associated with long-term all-cause mortality. It remains to be demonstrated if MW indices are associated with hard cardiovascular endpoints. The present study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of global LV MW obtained from pressure-strain loops with echocardiography in patients with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction. Methods A total of 100 consecutive ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction patients (mean age, 61±12 years; 75% men) that survived to discharge were retrospectively analysed. LVEF, GLS and all LVMW indices were measured by transthoracic echocardiography before discharge (4.6±2.0 days after admission). All patients had at least a two-year follow-up (mean follow-up of 833±172 days). Outcomes: all-cause mortality, major acute cardiovascular events (a composite of cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, unplanned cardiovascular admission) and heart failure hospitalization. Results In the two-year follow-up, 6 patients died, there were 17 patients with MACE, and 3 patients were hospitalized with heart failure. We confirmed that for all-cause mortality, GWE showed higher discrimination, compared to GLS (Table 1), with a cut-off of 83% (log-rank <0,001). For MACE, the performance of all methods is suboptimal, with an AUC <0.65 for all variables, except for GLS. For heart failure admission, performance is slightly better, but GLS is still the better parameter to predict this event. Conclusions LVGWE is a better predictor of all-cause mortality compared to GLS, but MW indices failed to demonstrate a prognostic impact in long-term cardiovascular events. Prospective studies are warranted to confirm this finding. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Table 1


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Audrey A. Y. Zhang ◽  
Nicholas W. S. Chew ◽  
Cheng Han Ng ◽  
Kailun Phua ◽  
Yin Nwe Aye ◽  
...  

Background: Infectious control measures during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to the propensity toward telemedicine. This study examined the impact of telemedicine during the pandemic on the long-term outcomes of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients.Methods: This study included 288 patients admitted 1 year before the pandemic (October 2018–December 2018) and during the pandemic (January 2020–March 2020) eras, and survived their index STEMI admission. The follow-up period was 1 year. One-year primary safety endpoint was all-cause mortality. Secondary safety endpoints were cardiac readmissions for unplanned revascularisation, non-fatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, arrythmia, unstable angina. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was defined as the composite outcome of each individual safety endpoint.Results: Despite unfavorable in-hospital outcomes among patients admitted during the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic era, both groups had similar 1-year all-cause mortality (11.2 vs. 8.5%, respectively, p = 0.454) but higher cardiac-related (14.1 vs. 5.1%, p < 0.001) and heart failure readmissions in the pandemic vs. pre-pandemic groups (7.1 vs. 1.7%, p = 0.037). Follow-up was more frequently conducted via teleconsultations (1.2 vs. 0.2 per patient/year, p = 0.001), with reduction in physical consultations (2.1 vs. 2.6 per patient/year, p = 0.043), during the pandemic vs. pre-pandemic era. Majority achieved guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) during pandemic vs. pre-pandemic era (75.9 vs. 61.6%, p = 0.010). Multivariable Cox regression demonstrated achieving medication target doses (HR 0.387, 95% CI 0.164–0.915, p = 0.031) and GDMT (HR 0.271, 95% CI 0.134–0.548, p < 0.001) were independent predictors of lower 1-year MACE after adjustment.Conclusion: The pandemic has led to the wider application of teleconsultation, with increased adherence to GDMT, enhanced medication target dosing. Achieving GDMT was associated with favorable long-term prognosis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-26
Author(s):  
Hendrawati Hendrawati ◽  
Mohammad Saifur Rohman ◽  
Cholid Tri Tjahjono ◽  
Sasmojo Widito ◽  
Budi Satrijo ◽  
...  

Background : For ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients, reperfusion through primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) must be done to return the coronary arteries' blood flow. However, a large proportion of patients received late PCI. This study aimed to assess the impact of late PCI on the clinical outcomes of STEMI patients. Methods : A retrospective cohort study was conducted in Saiful Anwar General Hospital from January 2017 to April 2018. A total of 192 STEMI patients were divided into three groups: (1) on-time PCI; (2) late PCI; and (3) no PCI. The outcome measured included six months and 12 months of cardiovascular mortality and hospital readmission because of worsening heart failure and recurrent myocardial infarction (MI). Results: At six-month follow-up period, we found that hospital readmission was higher in the no PCI group (9.2% vs. 12.1% vs. 34.8%; p = 0.009). The recurrent MI (0% vs. 0% vs. 7.2%; p = 0.010) and worsening heart failure (6.2% vs. 8.6% vs. 33.3%; p < 0.001) was also higher in the no PCI group. On 12 months follow up period, the mortality (4.6% vs. 13.8% vs. 21.7%; p = 0.015) and hospital readmission (15.4% vs. 20.7% vs. 42%; p = 0.001) rate was higher in no PCI group. Hospital readmission because of worsening heart failure was also higher in no PCI group (9.2% vs. 17.2% vs. 37.7%; p = 0.015). Conclusion: Not performing revascularization was correlated with higher mortality and hospital readmission rate in STEMI patients. Late PCI was associated with better outcomes than not conducting revascularization.


2021 ◽  
Vol 77 (9) ◽  
pp. 1165-1178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salvatore Brugaletta ◽  
Josep Gomez-Lara ◽  
Luis Ortega-Paz ◽  
Victor Jimenez-Diaz ◽  
Marcelo Jimenez ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
L.S.M Kerkmeijer ◽  
G Chao ◽  
R Tijssen ◽  
T Gori ◽  
R.P Kraak ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Bioresorbable vascular scaffolds (BVS) use appears theoretically attractive in patients presenting with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) as acute lesions are generally composed of soft plaques, in which optimal BVS deployment and expansion is easier to achieve. Furthermore, those patients are generally younger and would benefit longer from the promise of vascular restoration therapy. Purpose In this patient level pooled analysis of two clinical trials, we evaluated the clinical outcomes of Absorb BVS versus Xience everolimus-eluting stent (EES) in STEMI patients at 2-year follow-up. Methods We performed an individual patient-level pooled analysis of the AIDA and COMPARE-ABSORB trials in which 3515 patient were randomly assigned to Absorb BVS (n=1772) or Xience EES (n=1743). Clinical outcomes in STEMI patients were analyzed by randomized treatment assignment cumulative through 2 years. The primary efficacy outcomes measure was target lesion failure (cardiac death, target-vessel myocardial infarction or target lesion revascularization), and the primary safety outcome measure was device thrombosis at 2-year follow-up. Results 350 (19.8%) STEMI patients were allocated to Absorb BVS versus 328 (18.8%) to Xience EES. The mean age of patient presenting with STEMI was 60 years old, 76.0% were males and 15.3% had diabetes mellitus. At 2-years target lesion failure occurred in 8.4% of BVS STEMI patients and 6.2% of EES STEMI patients (p=0.253). The 2-year rates of cardiac death (2.6% vs 1.6%, p=0.332), TV-MI (4.7% vs 2.5%) and TLR (6.8% vs 4.1%) were not significantly different. The 2-year incidence of definite device thrombosis was 4.7% in Absorb BVS versus 1.8% in Xience EES (p=0.045). Conclusion In the present patient-level pooled analysis of the AIDA and COMPARE-Absorb trials, BVS was associated with increased rates of device thrombosis in STEMI patients compared to Xience EES. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Abbott


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