scholarly journals Fiscal Deficit and Its Impact on Economic Growth: Evidence from Bangladesh

Economies ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Hussain ◽  
Mahfuzul Haque
2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (Special Edition) ◽  
pp. i-vii

The Pakistani economy currently stands at a crossroads; while it has stabilized over the last few years, the focus has turned towards restarting economic growth. This is a challenging task because of structural problems faced by the economy as well as the global economic slowdown. While the economy has avoided a major downturn since the IMF’s package in 2013, economic growth has been sporadic due to a variety of causes, including fiscal deficit, and financial vulnerabilities.


Author(s):  
Ravinthirakumaran Navaratnam ◽  
Kasavarajah Mayandy

The impact of fiscal deficit on economic growth is one of the most widely debated issues among economists and policy makers in both developed and developing countries in the recent period. This paper seeks to examine the impact of fiscal deficit on economic growth in selected South Asian countries, namely, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka using time series annual data over the period 1980 to 2014. The paper uses cointegration analysis, error correction modelling and Granger causality test under a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework. The results from this study confirmed that the fiscal deficit has a negative impact on economic growth in the South Asian countries considered in this study except Nepal, which confirmed the positive impact. The results also highlighted that the direction of causality for the SAARC countries is mixed where fiscal deficit causes economic growth for Bangladesh, Nepal and Pakistan, but the reverse is true for India and Sri Lanka.  


Significance The package comprises the national budget and revenue legislation, as well as key domestic and international macroeconomic assumptions and projections. Impacts Even if GDP growth remains poor, fiscal loosening is unlikely. The central bank may lower interest rates further to help boost the economy, but the effect of a monetary push would be relatively minor. Major projects such as the Maya Train may have some regional impact but will have a limited effect on national economic growth. Legislators may increase the expected oil price for 2020 to boost spending in some areas without increasing the fiscal deficit target.


Author(s):  
Nexhat H. Kryeziu ◽  
Egzon Hoxha

The main purpose of this paper is to assess the impact of the deficit on GDP growth for the Eurozone area, using panel data for a period from 1995 to 2015, with a total of 257 observations. In order to conduct the study and come up with results, we have used a multiple linear regression model with the least-squares regression. Consequently, in order to test the data used in the model, we have applied diagnostic tests, such as the Durbin-Watson test to analyze the correlation of serial correlation, as well as the Breusch-Pagan test for heteroskedasticity. The test results prove that there is no heteroskedasticity and at the same time there are strong indications that the model has no relation between serial correlation. The results presented in our study show that the variables, deficit ratio to GDP, is statistically significant with a positive sign and as a result, we have the growth of the deficit ratio with GDP having a positive impact on the economic growth ratio. Keywords: Fiscal deficit, GDP Growth Rate, Correlation, Regression


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