A spatiotemporal analysis of COVID-19 transmission in Jakarta, Indonesia for pandemic decision support

With 25% confirmed cases of the country’s total number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on 31 January 2021, Jakarta has the highest confirmed cases of in Indonesia. The city holds a significant role as the centre of government and national economic activity for which pandemic have had a huge impact. Spatiotemporal analysis was employed to identify the current condition of disease transmission and to provide comprehensive information on the COVID-19 outbreak in Jakarta. We applied space-time analysis to visualise the pattern of COVID-19 hotspots in each time series. We also mapped area capacity of the referral hospitals covering the entire area of Jakarta to understand the hospital service range. This research was conducted in 4 stages: i) disease mapping; ii) spatial autocorrelation analysis; iii) space-time pattern analysis; and iv) areal capacity mapping. The analysis resulted in 144 sub-districts categorised as high vulnerability. Autocorrelation studies by Moran’s I identified cluster patterns and the emerging hotspot results indicated successful interventions as the number of hotspots fell in the first period of social restrictions. The results presented should be beneficial for policy makers.

Modelling the Impact of RCEP Agreement on the Economic and Trade Environment of Beijing

As a national economic, political, and cultural center that ranks first in terms of openness to the outside world, the signing of the RCEP agreement has undoubtedly brought a series of opportunities and challenges to Beijing. Based on the analysis of the two main features embodied in the RCEP agreement, this paper precisely analyzes the areas where the RCEP agreement has a key impact on Beijing’s economy and trade and points out the opportunities and challenges brought by the RCEP agreement to Beijing’s economic and trade development.

«Green» Economy and «Green» Investments in Russia

The authors of this scientific paper examine the current situation in the Russian Federation associated with the pollution of water and the atmospheric resources, with the problem of production and consumption waste accumulation, and draw their attention to the imperfection of statistical information, which does not allow for an objective assessment of the environmental situation. The quality of natural resources is not improving despite the statistical decrease in emissions and discharges of pollutants. They concluded an inconsistency of the economic development in the Russian Federation with the principles of sustainability and the “green” economy. It is necessary to intensify investment activities to protect the natural environment, in order to change the situation. At present, the share of the environmental investments in all national economic capital investments is negligible - less than 1%. The sluggish dynamic of investment processes led to insufficient commissioning of the main environmental funds. Recently, the situation has worsened in connection with the sequestration of the national project “Ecology” due to the pandemic problems. The article is devoted to the analyses of the “green” investment processes in Russia. The author’s definition of “green” investment is given.

THE POLICY MODEL OF DIGITAL-BASED MICRO-BUSINESS ASSISTANCE FOR ECONOMIC RECOVERY DURING THE PANDEMIC

Micro-businesses have an essential role in driving an economic revival in Indonesia. However, they are particularly vulnerable during the pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the long-term viability of micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in the financing, production, distribution, and market demand. This paper argues that an assistance policy model for micro-businesses accelerating the economy during a pandemic is needed. It also raises the question of how government policies in developing micro-businesses. The library method, which relied on secondary data, was used to conduct the research. The result suggests that the ideal assistance model policy for MSMEs in accelerating the regional economy is by using platform-based digital technology so that the flexibility of purchasing raw materials to sales can be integrated into one and reach all consumers around the world. Government policies in developing MSMEs in the new normal era include launching the National Economic Recovery Program, as mandated by Government Regulation Number 23 of 2020, implementing stimulus programs for MSMEs such as interest subsidies and restructuring.

Economic security of municipality: evaluation and using results in territory administration

The level of economic security of an individual municipality determines the level of regional and national economic security. To be sufficient it should have an effective management system for the municipality as a whole and its economic security in particular. Assessment of the level of economic security and measures to improve it are appointed as mandatory elements, includes. The need to research the approaches to assessing the level of economic security of a municipality, approbation of individual methods on the example of specific municipalities and using the results obtained to develop solutions for the management of the corresponding territory have been stated. There have been analyzed the practical approaches to defining the essence of the economic security of a municipality and assessing its level. A grate disadvantage of Yu.V. Fartygina and A.V. Ivanov’s methods is their focus on the region’s economy. There was applied the methodology of Zh.A. Mingaleva, which revealed the greatest number of advantages: the availability of the information base, taking into account the peculiarities of the economy of the municipality, the use of differentiated threshold values that allow to draw the conclusions. There was evaluated the Spassky municipal district of Primorsky Kray. The assessment was carried out over the period of 2018-2020, which revealed a low level of economic security of the studied municipality and a negative trend of its change. In order to correlate the results of the assessment of the economic security of the Spassky municipal district with the level of Primorsky Kray, a corresponding comparison was made according to the data over 2020, which proved lagging from the regional average values. The threats to the economic security of the Spassky municipal district were formulated and a system of measures was proposed to increase the level of economic security. The studied system takes into account the factors of the competitiveness of the municipality and modern approaches to the management of the municipality in the Russian Federation.

АНАЛІЗ ЕКОНОМІЧНОГО ЗРОСТАННЯ І ЙОГО ДИНАМІКИ В РЕСПУБЛІЦІ БІЛОРУСЬ

At the moment, the model of the economy of the Republic of Belarus is constantly developing, filling with new content as the external conditions and internal factors of the functioning of the national economic system change. The purpose of the study is to analyze the economic growth in the Republic of Belarus based on various methods. The methodological basis of the study was the methods of dialectics, methods and principles of interdisciplinary scientific knowledge of a subject of complex quality, the rules for constructing a paradigm and its terminological support. Research hypothesis. At the moment in the Republic of Belarus a "modern knowledge economy" is being formed, that is, the economic system, the economic order and the economic mechanism are constantly being improved .. Presentation of the main material. The article formulates the main hypotheses of the research, shows the stages of new economic relations, which are being reformed at a faster pace, taking into account the requirements of technical progress. It is substantiated that intensive or extensive types of economic growth do not exist in their pure form. There is always a combination of them with the predominance of one - predominantly intensive or predominantly extensive economic growth. The originality and practical significance lies in the attribution of growth to one type or another, depending on the value of the specific weight of the increase in production obtained due to a qualitative or quantitative change in its factors. Conclusions and prospects for further research. Based on an analysis of the past, an assessment of the existing problems and the results achieved in the present, it is possible to avoid possible risks in the future, and this is precisely what management excellence is about. And the correct perception and analysis of the reasons for the lag contains the potential for growth. Further research on the topic should be focused on clarifying the institutional foundations that can really streamline the limitations of the system for analyzing the economic growth of the state.

To Assess the Activities of Self-Regulatory Organizations of Auditors

In the article, from the standpoint of economic theory, the construction of partial and integral assessments of the activity of the SROA is considered through the assessment of the quality of this activity (and not its effectiveness or efficiency). The expediency of using the method of point estimates and its specific application in the construction of these estimates is shown - both from the standpoint of the national economic approach and from the standpoint of the SROA itself. A table of 18 main activities of the SROA is compiled, based mainly on legislative acts. A number of organizational aspects of the evaluation of the SROA activity are analyzed.

The Role of Social Logistics for the National, Economic and Social Security

Logistics continuously expands its application areas. In modern conditions, there is a need to apply logistics in areas not related to its traditional applications such as military and business spheres, resulting in the identification of a third area with the name social logistics. Social logistics aims to introduce a social (human) factor into the systems and to apply logistic principles and methods in solving the problems of society. Social logistics can be defined as a set of actions that ensure the effective functioning of social systems (such as a set of social phenomena, processes and subjects), applying the principles of logistics. For the purposes of this paper, a number of scientific approaches and methods have been applied, such as system approach, comparative analysis, critical analysis, synthesis and others. Social logistics plays an important role in national security, including economic and social security. The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of social logistics in enhancing national security, including economic and social security.