scholarly journals How Can Cities Adapt to a Multi-Disaster Environment? Empirical Research in Guangzhou (China)

Author(s):  
Yijun Shi ◽  
Guofang Zhai ◽  
Shutian Zhou ◽  
Yuwen Lu ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
...  

Urban disaster risk assessment is the most basic and important part of urban safety development. Conducting disaster prevention and mitigation on the basis of urban disaster risk assessment requires an understanding of the relationship between the city and the natural environment. This enhances the city’s ability to withstand various types of disasters and achieves the development of a safe city. Based on a review of the existing literature, we propose a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for urban multi-disaster risk assessment. The multi-disaster risk assessment method includes the identification and screening of urban disasters, the assessment of individual disaster risk, and integrated urban disaster risks, the division of urban comprehensive disaster risks into several risk levels, and the determination of coping strategies. Taking Guangzhou (China) as an example, we determined the major disaster risks faced by Guangzhou, assessed the risks of individual disasters, and finally obtained the results of the comprehensive disaster risk of Guangzhou. Second, we analyzed the relationship between the disaster risk assessment and urban safety development, and proposed countermeasures and recommendations for the development of different disaster risk levels.

2013 ◽  
Vol 726-731 ◽  
pp. 913-916
Author(s):  
Chao Lv ◽  
Hui Li Gong

The snow disaster is one of the main disasters in prairie pastoral areas of China. Once the snow disaster occurs, it will cause the death of a large amount of livestock due to the starvation and freezing weather. Therefore, it is especially important to forecast the risk of the snow disaster scientifically and reasonably. This paper established the snow disaster risk assessment index system firstly, and then established the snow disaster risk assessment model based on multi-layer fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Finally, the massive experiment monitors and the contrast confirmation with the historical case data, showed that this model is practical and feasible, which conducted a useful attempt to further improve snow disaster risk assessment ability in pastoral areas.


2015 ◽  
Vol 738-739 ◽  
pp. 285-288 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ling Yan Kong ◽  
Ying Chun Tao ◽  
Jing Liu ◽  
Ai Hua Wu

In the research of urban disaster risk assessment, data is the most basic element. Accurate, comprehensive, high quality data is essential to ensure the accuracy of disaster analysis and disaster risk classification. The systematic methods of data acquisition, processing and management and analysis need to be studied. In this paper, based on the analysis of characteristics of urban-disasters composite risk assessment data, the risk assessment database is designed. According to processing phase, the database is divided into four sub-databases: gathering database, general database, study area database and history database. The logic design for all the databases are discussed. The updating mechanism is built for the database and continuance updating is realized.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhijie Zhu ◽  
Hongwei Zhang ◽  
Jun Han ◽  
Youchang Lv

Rockbursts are the sudden release of accumulated energy in surrounding rock of roadway and stope. Current studies on the rockburst mechanism are primarily focused on underground mining space and mining activities, whereas efforts have rarely been focused on regional geological dynamics. Mining activities in areas of energy accumulation under the influence of regional geological dynamics can easily cause mine dynamic disasters such as rockburst. The paper statistically analysed the relationship between geological dynamic environment factors (mining depth, tectonic stress, vertical crust movement, active faults, and the ratio of hard rock on the roof) and rockbursts in China and determined the relationship between various factors and the risk of rockbursts. Using a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and an analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a risk assessment method for rockburst based on the geological dynamic environment was established. This method was applied to assess the rockburst risk for the Tongxin coal mine in China, and it was evaluated as a weak rockburst risk. The result was consistent with the actual situation. The method provides a new concept for the evaluation and prediction of rockburst in new coal mines or new mining levels.


Author(s):  
Taowei Chen ◽  
Ling Zhu ◽  
Qiao Xia ◽  
Honglei Deng ◽  
Chen Zhou

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