scholarly journals A Risk Assessment Method for Rockburst Based on Geodynamic Environment

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhijie Zhu ◽  
Hongwei Zhang ◽  
Jun Han ◽  
Youchang Lv

Rockbursts are the sudden release of accumulated energy in surrounding rock of roadway and stope. Current studies on the rockburst mechanism are primarily focused on underground mining space and mining activities, whereas efforts have rarely been focused on regional geological dynamics. Mining activities in areas of energy accumulation under the influence of regional geological dynamics can easily cause mine dynamic disasters such as rockburst. The paper statistically analysed the relationship between geological dynamic environment factors (mining depth, tectonic stress, vertical crust movement, active faults, and the ratio of hard rock on the roof) and rockbursts in China and determined the relationship between various factors and the risk of rockbursts. Using a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method and an analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a risk assessment method for rockburst based on the geological dynamic environment was established. This method was applied to assess the rockburst risk for the Tongxin coal mine in China, and it was evaluated as a weak rockburst risk. The result was consistent with the actual situation. The method provides a new concept for the evaluation and prediction of rockburst in new coal mines or new mining levels.

Author(s):  
Xiang Li ◽  
Weihua Wang ◽  
Weike Jing ◽  
Jin Shi ◽  
Fakun Zhuang

Abstract In recent years, ammonia leakage accidents occur frequently, which causes a great concern in China. Based on traditional risk analysis methods and the equipment characteristics, a risk evaluation method for small ammonia refrigeration units is proposed. The method includes a risk assessment model based on area division, a failure probability assessment method based on expert scoring system, a failure consequence assessment method based on regional population density and consequence mitigation measures, and a HAZOP risk correction method. Based on the proposed method, a risk assessment system of small ammonia refrigeration units is developed. This risk assessment method and system will provide a scientific basis to carry out the cold storage management in China.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-112
Author(s):  
Hayoung Kim ◽  
Dongho Rie

Large spaces, such as warehouses where internal loads are stored, exhibit higher fire loads and faster fire growths than general fires. In addition, the volume of the internal load reduces the space required for the smoke to stay, thereby accelerating the decline in smoke height. To prevent fire hazards in such spaces, it is necessary to evaluate the fire risk during the design stage. However, it is difficult to evaluate various settings because the evaluation method using the existing computational fluid dynamics utilize considerable amount of time. In this study, an algorithm was developed to evaluate the internal loads by using formulas related to the existing fire risk assessment. The developed algorithm is designed to easily calculate the detection time of the detector, smoke fall time, and sprinkler operation time. This algorithm could be used to design an optimized fire protection system in the initial design stage.


2013 ◽  
Vol 438-439 ◽  
pp. 1612-1618
Author(s):  
Yong Jia Song ◽  
Cong Cong Jin ◽  
Xian Cai Zhang ◽  
Jing Li

This paper proposes a new risk assessment model on account of the fuzziness and uncertainty of risk factors in the reservoir after earthquake. The paper adopts methods of information entropy and fuzzy mathematics to assess risk level of the model. After analyzing the statistical data of earthquake-damaged reservoirs, we present comprehensive weight composed of importance and improved entropy weight. Base on comprehensive weight, we can adopt membership function to establish single factor evaluation of the model. Moreover, we combine fuzzy weighting method to assess risk level of a reservoir after earthquake. The result shows that risk level of the reservoir is high-risk. The case study verifies the practicability and rationality of the risk assessment method. Therefore, the method could be applied in the emergency rescue and reinforcement for reservoir after earthquake.


Author(s):  
Yijun Shi ◽  
Guofang Zhai ◽  
Shutian Zhou ◽  
Yuwen Lu ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
...  

Urban disaster risk assessment is the most basic and important part of urban safety development. Conducting disaster prevention and mitigation on the basis of urban disaster risk assessment requires an understanding of the relationship between the city and the natural environment. This enhances the city’s ability to withstand various types of disasters and achieves the development of a safe city. Based on a review of the existing literature, we propose a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for urban multi-disaster risk assessment. The multi-disaster risk assessment method includes the identification and screening of urban disasters, the assessment of individual disaster risk, and integrated urban disaster risks, the division of urban comprehensive disaster risks into several risk levels, and the determination of coping strategies. Taking Guangzhou (China) as an example, we determined the major disaster risks faced by Guangzhou, assessed the risks of individual disasters, and finally obtained the results of the comprehensive disaster risk of Guangzhou. Second, we analyzed the relationship between the disaster risk assessment and urban safety development, and proposed countermeasures and recommendations for the development of different disaster risk levels.


2011 ◽  
Vol 148-149 ◽  
pp. 336-339
Author(s):  
Ying Kui Gu ◽  
Yao Gang Xiong ◽  
Xin Chong Luo

A reliability risk assessment model based on fuzzy FMEA was presented by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Fuzzy matrixes were constructed according to the investigation data, in which occurrence probability ranking, effect severity ranking and detection difficulty ranking are all weighted analyzed. A fuzzy hierarchy analysis method was used to obtain the weight of each influence factor. In the model, the potential fault modes and the reasons can be analyzed and the preventive measures can be taken in prevention stage to avoid finding the problems after the products are put into production and market. It will provide new ideas and new methods to improve the operation security of the engine, to prevent and forecast failure, and to estimate and control the risk.


2020 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 627-640 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi Xianwu ◽  
Qiu Jufei ◽  
Chen Bingrui ◽  
Zhang Xiaojie ◽  
Guo Haoshuang ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Zuzhen Ji ◽  
Dirk Pons ◽  
John Pearse

Successful implementation of Health and Safety (H&S) systems requires an effective mechanism to assess risk. Existing methods focus primarily on measuring the safety aspect; the risk of an accident is determined based on the product of severity of consequence and likelihood of the incident arising. The health component, i.e., chronic harm, is more difficult to assess. Partially, this is due to both consequences and the likelihood of health issues, which may be indeterminate. There is a need to develop a quantitative risk measurement for H&S risk management and with better representation for chronic health issues. The present paper has approached this from a different direction, by adopting a public health perspective of quality of life. We have then changed the risk assessment process to accommodate this. This was then applied to a case study. The case study showed that merely including the chronic harm scales appeared to be sufficient to elicit a more detailed consideration of hazards for chronic harm. This suggests that people are not insensitive to chronic harm hazards, but benefit from having a framework in which to communicate them. A method has been devised to harmonize safety and harm risk assessments. The result was a comprehensive risk assessment method with consideration of safety accidents and chronic health issues. This has the potential to benefit industry by making chronic harm more visible and hence more preventable.


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