scholarly journals Artificial Intelligence Prediction Model for the Cost and Mortality of Renal Replacement Therapy in Aged and Super-Aged Populations in Taiwan

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 995 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shih-Yi Lin ◽  
Meng-Hsuen Hsieh ◽  
Cheng-Li Lin ◽  
Meng-Ju Hsieh ◽  
Wu-Huei Hsu ◽  
...  

Background: Prognosis of the aged population requiring maintenance dialysis has been reportedly poor. We aimed to develop prediction models for one-year cost and one-year mortality in aged individuals requiring dialysis to assist decision-making for deciding whether aged people should receive dialysis or not. Methods: We used data from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). We identified patients first enrolled in the NHIRD from 2000–2011 for end-stage renal disease (ESRD) who underwent regular dialysis. A total of 48,153 Patients with ESRD aged ≥65 years with complete age and sex information were included in the ESRD cohort. The total medical cost per patient (measured in US dollars) within one year after ESRD diagnosis was our study’s main outcome variable. We were also concerned with mortality as another outcome. In this study, we compared the performance of the random forest prediction model and of the artificial neural network prediction model for predicting patient cost and mortality. Results: In the cost regression model, the random forest model outperforms the artificial neural network according to the mean squared error and mean absolute error. In the mortality classification model, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of both models were significantly better than the null hypothesis area of 0.5, and random forest model outperformed the artificial neural network. Random forest model outperforms the artificial neural network models achieved similar performance in the test set across all data. Conclusions: Applying artificial intelligence modeling could help to provide reliable information about one-year outcomes following dialysis in the aged and super-aged populations; those with cancer, alcohol-related disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), previous hip fracture, osteoporosis, dementia, and previous respiratory failure had higher medical costs and a high mortality rate.

Author(s):  
Rasheed Adekunle Adebayo ◽  
Mehluli Moyo ◽  
Evariste Bosco Gueguim-Kana ◽  
Ignatius Verla Nsahlai

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest models for predicting rumen fill of cattle and sheep were developed. Data on rumen fill were collected from studies that reported body weights, measured rumen fill and stated diets fed to animals. Animal and feed factors that affected rumen fill were identified from each study and used to create a dataset. These factors were used as input variables for predicting the weight of rumen fill. For ANN modelling, a three-layer Levenberg-Marquardt Back Propagation Neural Network was adopted and achieved 96% accuracy in prediction of the weight of rumen fill. The precision of the ANN model’s prediction of rumen fill was higher for cattle (80%) than sheep (56%). On validation, the ANN model achieved 95% accuracy in prediction of the weight of rumen fill. A Random Forest model was trained using a binary tree-based machine-learning algorithm and achieved 87% accuracy in prediction of rumen fill. The Random Forest model achieved 16% (cattle) and 57% (sheep) accuracy in validation of the prediction of rumen fill. In conclusion, the ANN model gave better predictions of rumen fill compared to the Random Forest model and should be used in predicting rumen fill of cattle and sheep.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4A) ◽  
pp. 510-514
Author(s):  
Tay H. Shihab ◽  
Amjed N. Al-Hameedawi ◽  
Ammar M. Hamza

In this paper to make use of complementary potential in the mapping of LULC spatial data is acquired from LandSat 8 OLI sensor images are taken in 2019.  They have been rectified, enhanced and then classified according to Random forest (RF) and artificial neural network (ANN) methods. Optical remote sensing images have been used to get information on the status of LULC classification, and extraction details. The classification of both satellite image types is used to extract features and to analyse LULC of the study area. The results of the classification showed that the artificial neural network method outperforms the random forest method. The required image processing has been made for Optical Remote Sensing Data to be used in LULC mapping, include the geometric correction, Image Enhancements, The overall accuracy when using the ANN methods 0.91 and the kappa accuracy was found 0.89 for the training data set. While the overall accuracy and the kappa accuracy of the test dataset were found 0.89 and 0.87 respectively.


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