scholarly journals Estimation of Climatologies of Average Monthly Air Temperature over Mongolia Using MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST) Time Series and Machine Learning Techniques

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (21) ◽  
pp. 2588 ◽  
Author(s):  
Otgonbayar ◽  
Atzberger ◽  
Mattiuzzi ◽  
Erdenedalai

The objective of this research was to develop a robust statistical model to estimate climatologies (2002–2017) of monthly average near-surface air temperature (Ta) over Mongolia using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) time series products and terrain parameters. Two regression models were analyzed in this study linking automatic weather station data (Ta) with Earth observation (EO) images: partial least squares (PLS) and random forest (RF). Both models were trained to predict Ta climatologies for each of the twelve months, using up to 17 variables as predictors. The models were applied to the entire land surface of Mongolia, the eighteenth largest but most sparsely populated country in the world. Twelve of the predictor variables were derived from the LST time series products of the Terra MODIS satellite. The LST MOD11A2 (collection 6) products provided thermal information at a spatial resolution of 1 km and with 8-day temporal resolution from 2002 to 2017. Three terrain variables, namely, elevation, slope, and aspect, were extracted using a Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital elevation model (DEM), and two variables describing the geographical location of weather stations were extracted from vector data. For training, a total of 8544 meteorological data points from 63 automatic weather stations were used covering the same period as MODIS LST products. The PLS regression resulted in a coefficient of determination (R2) between 0.74 and 0.87 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) from 1.20 °C to 2.19 °C between measured and estimated monthly Ta. The non-linear RF regression yielded even more accurate results with R2 in the range from 0.82 to 0.95 and RMSE from 0.84 °C to 1.93 °C. Using RF, the two best modeled months were July and August and the two worst months were January and February. The four most predictive variables were day/nighttime LST, elevation, and latitude. Using the developed RF models, spatial maps of the monthly average Ta at a spatial resolution of 1 km were generated for Mongolia (~1566 × 106 km2). This spatial dataset might be useful for various environmental applications. The method is transparent and relatively easy to implement.

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 7665-7687 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. L. Pérez Díaz ◽  
T. Lakhankar ◽  
P. Romanov ◽  
J. Muñoz ◽  
R. Khanbilvardi ◽  
...  

Abstract. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable (commonly studied to understand the hydrological cycle) that helps drive the energy balance and water exchange between the Earth's surface and its atmosphere. One observable constituent of much importance in the land surface water balance model is snow. Snow cover plays a critical role in the regional to global scale hydrological cycle because rain-on-snow with warm air temperatures accelerates rapid snow-melt, which is responsible for the majority of the spring floods. Accurate information on near-surface air temperature (T-air) and snow skin temperature (T-skin) helps us comprehend the energy and water balances in the Earth's hydrological cycle. T-skin is critical in estimating latent and sensible heat fluxes over snow covered areas because incoming and outgoing radiation fluxes from the snow mass and the air temperature above make it different from the average snowpack temperature. This study investigates the correlation between MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST data and observed T-air and T-skin data from NOAA-CREST-Snow Analysis and Field Experiment (CREST-SAFE) for the winters of 2013 and 2014. LST satellite validation is imperative because high-latitude regions are significantly affected by climate warming and there is a need to aid existing meteorological station networks with the spatially continuous measurements provided by satellites. Results indicate that near-surface air temperature correlates better than snow skin temperature with MODIS LST data. Additional findings show that there is a negative trend demonstrating that the air minus snow skin temperature difference is inversely proportional to cloud cover. To a lesser extent, it will be examined whether the surface properties at the site are representative for the LST properties within the instrument field of view.


2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (12) ◽  
pp. 2995-3003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuichiro Oku ◽  
Hirohiko Ishikawa ◽  
Shigenori Haginoya ◽  
Yaoming Ma

Abstract The diurnal, seasonal, and interannual variations in land surface temperature (LST) on the Tibetan Plateau from 1996 to 2002 are analyzed using the hourly LST dataset obtained by Japanese Geostationary Meteorological Satellite 5 (GMS-5) observations. Comparing LST retrieved from GMS-5 with independent precipitation amount data demonstrates the consistent and complementary relationship between them. The results indicate an increase in the LST over this period. The daily minimum has risen faster than the daily maximum, resulting in a narrowing of the diurnal range of LST. This is in agreement with the observed trends in both global and plateau near-surface air temperature. Since the near-surface air temperature is mainly controlled by LST, this result ensures a warming trend in near-surface air temperature.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zheng Guo ◽  
Miaomiao Cheng

<p>Diurnal temperature range (includes land surface temperature diurnal range and near surface air temperature diurnal range) is an important meteorological parameter, which is a very important factor in the field of the urban thermal environmental. Nowadays, the research of urban thermal environment mainly focused on surface heat island and canopy heat island.</p><p>Based on analysis of the current status of city thermal environment. Firstly, a method was proposed to obtain near surface air temperature diurnal range in this study, difference of land surface temperature between day and night were introduced into the improved temperature vegetation index feature space based on remote sensing data. Secondly, compared with the district administrative division, we analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the diurnal range of land surface temperature and near surface air temperature.</p><p>The conclusions of this study are as follows:</p><p>1 During 2003-2012s, the land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range of Beijing were fluctuating upward. The rising trend of the near surface air temperature diurnal range was more significant than land surface temperature diurnal range. In addition, the rise and decline of land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in different districts were different. In the six city districts, the land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in the six areas of the city were mainly downward. The decline trend of near surface air temperature diurnal range was more significant than land surface temperature diurnal range.</p><p>2 During 2003-2012s, the land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range of Beijing with similar characteristics in spatial distribution, with higher distribution land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in urban area and with lower distribution of land surface temperature and near surface air temperature diurnal range in the Northwest Mountainous area and the area of Miyun reservoir.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikos Alexandris ◽  
Matteo Piccardo ◽  
Vasileios Syrris ◽  
Alessandro Cescatti ◽  
Gregory Duveiller

<p>The frequency of extreme heat related events is rising. This places the ever growing number of urban dwellers at higher risk. Quantifying these phenomena is important for the development and monitoring of climate change adaptation and mitigation policies. In this context, earth observations offer increasing opportunities to assess these phenomena with an unprecedented level of accuracy and spatial reach. Satellite thermal imaging systems acquire Land Surface Temperature (LST) which is fundamental to run models that study for example hotspots and heatwaves in urban environments.</p><p>Current instruments include TIRS on board Landsat 8 and MODIS on board of Terra satellites. These provide LST products on a monthly basis at 100m and twice per day at 1km respectively. Other sensors on board geostationary satellites, such as MSG and GOES-R, produce sub-hourly thermal images. For example the SEVIRI instrument onboard MSG, captures images every 15 minutes. However, this is done at an even coarser spatial resolution, which is 3 to 5 km in the case of SEVIRI. Nevertheless, none of the existing systems can capture LST synchronously with fine spatial resolution at a high temporal frequency, which is a prerequisite for monitoring heat stress in urban environments.</p><p>Combining LST time series of high temporal resolution (i.e. sub-daily MODIS- or SEVIRI-derived data) with products of fine spatial resolution (i.e. Landsat 8 products), and potentially other related variables (i.e. reflectance, spectral indices, land cover information, terrain parameters and local climatic variables), facilitates the downscaling of LST estimations. Nonetheless, considering the complexity of how distinct surfaces within a city heat-up differently during the course of a day, such a downscaling is meaningful for practically synchronous observations (e.g. Landsat-8 and MODIS Terra’s morning observations).</p><p>The recently launched ECOSTRESS mission provides multiple times in a day high spatial resolution thermal imagery at 70m. Albeit, recording the same locations on Earth every few days at varying times. We explore the associations between ECOSTRESS and Landsat-8 thermal data, based on the incoming radiation load and distinct surface properties characterised from other datasets. In our approach, first we upscale ECOSTRESS data to simulate Landsat-8 images at moments that coincide the acquisition times of other sensors products. In a second step, using the simulated Landsat-8 images, we downscale LST products acquired at later times, such as MODIS Aqua (ca. 13:30) or even the hourly MSG data. This composite downscaling procedure enables an enhanced LST estimation that opens the way for better diagnostics of the heat stress in urban landscapes.</p><p>In this study we discuss in detail the concepts of our approach and present preliminary results produced with the JEODPP, JRC's high throughput computing platform.</p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 951-970 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linglin Zeng ◽  
Brian Wardlow ◽  
Tsegaye Tadesse ◽  
Jie Shan ◽  
Michael Hayes ◽  
...  

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