scholarly journals FORECASTING THE VALUES OF ECONOMIC GROWTH FACTORS IN A REGION (A CASE OF THE UDMURT REPUBLIC)

Author(s):  
A.A. Mukhin

The article deals with forecasting the values of economic growth factors in a region on the example of the Udmurt Republic. A statistically significant multiple linear regression equation (that explains the dynamics of the gross regional product from the signs-factors) is derived, a factorial forecast is developed and the results obtained are interpreted. Deflation method has been applied to eliminate the impact of price growth and GRP value has been calculated in 2007 prices. On the basis of multiple regression analysis, a matrix of paired correlation coefficients is calculated and informative factors of the model are selected. The significance of paired correlation coefficients is checked. The model is constructed in its natural form with informative factors only. The statistical significance of the regression coefficients is evaluated with the help of the Student's t -criterion, the quality of the equation is estimated through the average approximation error, which confirm the sufficiently high quality of the model. The predicted value of the result is calculated. It was found that if the current trends in the dynamics of these factors persist, we can expect the growth of real (physical volume) GRP over the period 2016-2020 by 26 % or 5.5 % annually, which meets the requirements of economic security of the region. The above information can be used to develop programs of regional economic development and design in the system of state and municipal administration.

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 116-128
Author(s):  
Nikolaj I. Komkov ◽  
◽  
Mihail N. Dudin ◽  
Nikolaj V. Lyasnikov ◽  
◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 189 ◽  
pp. 01002
Author(s):  
You Yang ◽  
Li Yang ◽  
ShouYi Liu

An empirical analysis of agricultural economic growth factors yields the main factors affecting agricultural economic growth. Based on the Cobb-Douglas function, a regression model is established to analyze the impact of production factors such as capital and labor on agricultural economic growth. After empirical analysis, it is concluded that investment is the main factor affecting agricultural economic growth. In some provinces, agricultural economic growth still uses extensive economic growth and belongs to the type of increasing returns to scale. Based on the results, three suggestions are made to promote the steady and rapid growth of the agricultural economy: increase the input of fixed assets in agriculture and attract capital from all walks of life to the agricultural production; optimize the agricultural labor force and increase human resources training; adjust the industrial structure and develop modern agriculture.


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (No. 1) ◽  
pp. 37-39
Author(s):  
K. Šrédl

The quality of economic education is one of the economic growth factors because its increasing leads to a higher level of human resources. The efficiency of education is most often defined as the relation between outputs (effects, utilities) of education and costs invested into this education (input). For increasing of the education quality, it is necessary to increase public funds up to 6% of GDP to achieve the level of developed market economies.


Author(s):  
Svetlana Apenko ◽  
◽  
Olga Kiriliuk ◽  
Elena Legchilina ◽  
Tatiana Tsalko ◽  
...  

The article presents the results of a study of the impact of pension reform in Russia on economic growth and quality of life in a digital economy, taking into account the experience of raising the retirement age in Europe. The aim of the study was to identify and analyze the impact of raising the retirement age on economic growth in the context of the development of digitalization in Russia and a comparative analysis with European countries. Results: the studies conducted allowed us to develop a system of indicators characterizing the impact of raising the retirement age on economic growth and the quality of life of the population in the context of digitalization. The authors found that raising the retirement age leads to a change in labor relations in Russia and Europe. The application of the proposed indicators can be used in the formation of a balanced state socio-economic policy in the field of institutional changes in the field of labor relations and raising the retirement age. The study was carried out under a grant from the RFBR № 19-010-00362 А.


Author(s):  
Kh Uyanayeva ◽  
N Kokov ◽  
T Toguzayev ◽  
M Kuchukov ◽  
F Alibius

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