scholarly journals Business Uncertainty during the Covid-19 Pandemic: Assessment Based on the Pandemic Fear Index and Economic Surveys

2021 ◽  
Vol XXIV (Special Issue 3) ◽  
pp. 561-570
Author(s):  
Jaroslaw Janecki
Keyword(s):  
2020 ◽  
Vol 56 (10) ◽  
pp. 2310-2331 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afees A. Salisu ◽  
Lateef O. Akanni
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Jan Dhaene ◽  
Julia Dony ◽  
Monika B. Forys ◽  
Daniël Linders ◽  
Wim Schoutens
Keyword(s):  

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Jying-Nan Wang ◽  
Lu-Jui Chen ◽  
Hung-Chun Liu ◽  
Yuan-Teng Hsu

This paper aims to propose the augmented GJR-GARCH (GJR-GARCH<sub>M</sub>) model that extends the GJR-GARCH model by comprising overnight returns volatility (ONV), daily high-low prices range (PK), and fear index (VIX) as explanatory variables for the GJR’s variance equation, respectively. The proposed models are used to estimate the daily value-at-risk values and evaluate their downside risk management performance for the SPDRs covering the period from 2009 to 2014. Empirical results show that the GJR-GARCH<sub>M</sub> model outperforms the GJR-GARCH model for most cases, suggesting that the GJR-GARCH-based VaR forecasts can be moderately improved with the additional information embodied in the ONV, PK and VIX volatility estimators. In addition, daily high-low prices range and VIX are far more informative than the overnight volatility estimator for improving the GJR-GARCH-based VaR forecasts. Risk managers can employ the proposed models for estimating and controling the potential loss of ETFs in the face of financial catastrophes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4_suppl3) ◽  
pp. 2325967120S0021
Author(s):  
Maria Schwabe ◽  
John C Clohisy ◽  
Cecilia Pascual-Garrido ◽  
Elizabeth Graesser ◽  
Jeffrey J Nepple

Introduction: The Femoro-Epiphyseal Acetabular Roof (FEAR) index has recently been proposed as a useful tool in identifying hips with instability in the setting of borderline acetabular dysplasia. Beck et al. were the first to describe this parameter and demonstrated a FEAR index as the angle between a line connecting the most medial and lateral part of the sourcil and a line connecting the most medial and lateral part of the straight central third of the physeal scar. Purpose: The purposes of the current study were 1) external validation of intra-observer and inter-observer reliability and 2) to determine the correlation/association of FEAR with a clinical diagnosis of instability. Methods: The current study was a retrospective review of patients diagnosed with borderline acetabular dysplasia by a single surgeon. The study period included January 2008-April 2017 and identified patients with LCEA 20°-25°, via prospectively collected radiographic measurements in a hip preservation database. Inclusion criteria were treatment with either hip arthroscopy or PAO, LCEA of 20°-25°, and 14-40 years of age. Patients were excluded if they had a Tӧnnis grade ≥2, prior ipsilateral hip surgery, residual deformities from SCFE or Perthes. Demographics and radiographic measurements were recorded. Two individuals read all radiographs after obtaining an intra observer reliability of 97% and inter observer reliability of 88%. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated for FEAR predicting instability. A t-test was used to assess correlation of LCEA, acetabular inclination (AI), and ACEA with FEAR. Results: A total of 186 patients were included, FEAR was unable to be assessed in 5% of hips because of inability to visualize the proximal femoral physeal scar. Of the remaining 176 hips, 18% of hips had a FEAR index >5°. FEAR positive mean was 7.6°±2.8° (range=5.1°-17.5°) and FEAR negative mean was –6.9°±6.4° (range=-29.4°-3.7°). Results of FEAR predicting instability was sensitivity=33% (23/70), specificity=92% (98/106), PPV=74% (23/31), and NPV=67% (98/145). The mean AI was significantly high in FEAR(+) hips (AI mean=11.2° and FEAR(-) AI mean=9.5°; p=0.005). No difference in LCEA or ACEA was seen relative to the presence of FEAR. Discussion: In the current study, a positive FEAR index was generally indicative of the presence of clinical instability. However, the FEAR index was poorly sensitive to hip instability with 67% hips diagnosed with instability having a negative FEAR index.


2021 ◽  
Vol 103-B (11) ◽  
pp. 1662-1668
Author(s):  
Ameya Bhanushali ◽  
Mukai Chimutengwende-Gordon ◽  
Martin Beck ◽  
Stuart Adam Callary ◽  
Kerry Costi ◽  
...  

Aims The aims of this study were to compare clinically relevant measurements of hip dysplasia on radiographs taken in the supine and standing position, and to compare Hip2Norm software and Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS)-derived digital radiological measurements. Methods Preoperative supine and standing radiographs of 36 consecutive patients (43 hips) who underwent periacetabular osteotomy surgery were retrospectively analyzed from a single-centre, two-surgeon cohort. Anterior coverage (AC), posterior coverage (PC), lateral centre-edge angle (LCEA), acetabular inclination (AI), sharp angle (SA), pelvic tilt (PT), retroversion index (RI), femoroepiphyseal acetabular roof (FEAR) index, femoroepiphyseal horizontal angle (FEHA), leg length discrepancy (LLD), and pelvic obliquity (PO) were analyzed using both Hip2Norm software and PACS-derived measurements where applicable. Results Analysis of supine and standing radiographs resulted in significant variation for measurements of PT (p < 0.001) and AC (p = 0.005). The variation in PT correlated with the variation in AC in a limited number of patients (R2 = 0.378; p = 0.012). Conclusion The significant variation in PT and AC between supine and standing radiographs suggests that it may benefit surgeons to have both radiographs when planning surgical correction of hip dysplasia. We also recommend using PACS-derived measurements of AI and SA due to the poor interobserver error on Hip2Norm. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(11):1662–1668.


1987 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-28
Author(s):  
Lisa J. Bearden

Relationships among information on aging, fear of aging, and involvement with older persons were examined in public rehabilitation facilities in Alabama. The variables were measured respectively by the Facts on Aging Quiz, a four-item fear index, and hours of involvement with persons age 60 and above. Demographic variables of age, sex, race, and educational status were also examined among the subjects. Pearson product-moment correlations and t-tests were used to test for significance of the relationships at the p < .01 level. Information and race were significantly related with more information indicated for white subjects, and age and involvement were significantly related with more hours reported for older subjects.


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