scholarly journals Safe Haven Currencies

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 579-591
Keyword(s):  
Financial Risk ◽  
Swiss Franc ◽  
Global Risk ◽  
Safe Haven ◽  
Number Of Factors ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Japanese Yen ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Safe Haven Currency

As other safe haven assets, safe haven currencies are sought by investors to mitigate financial risk when economic turbulence hits. Three major safe haven currencies are the US dollar (USD), the Japanese yen (JPY) and the Swiss franc (CHF). The euro is now in competition as an alternative safe haven currency. US dollar will remain the best safe haven currency in the short term and the best investment currency in the medium term. In every uncertainty of the US equity market as well as in the case of a decline of the US dollar, the investor may consider investing in a safe haven currency like the yen or the Swiss franc. Given the stability of Swiss government and financial system of the country, the increased foreign demand for the currency usually pushes the Swiss franc upward. There are number of factors, characterizing the dynamics in which the investors fall, rushing to the Japanese yen during periods of global risk aversion. Traders looked for refuge in the cryptocurrency because they cannot find refuge elsewhere.

scholarly journals The Case for Gold Revisited: A Safe Haven Or A Hedge ?

2012 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sudi Apak ◽  
Vedat Akman ◽  
Serkan Çankaya ◽  
Sıtkı Sonmezer
Keyword(s):  
Econometric Analysis ◽  
Canadian Dollar ◽  
Swiss Franc ◽  
Sample Period ◽  
Safe Haven ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Volatility Index ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Relationship

This paper attempts to analyze the relation among gold prices and other macroeconomic and financial variables and addresses the question whether gold is a safe haven or a hedge for investors. The study investigates the relationship by using an econometric analysis for top gold exporter and importer countries, for a sample period of 11 years from 2000 to 2011. The results are twofold (i) return of silver, USD returns and change in the volatility index influences gold returns positively whereas, Swiss Franc and Canadian Dollar returns influence gold returns negatively regardless of presence of the 2008 crisis. (ii) In times of stress, our findings indicate that Swiss Franc, Norwegian Krone and Canadian Dollar function as haven whereas, on average, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and 10 year US treasuries function as a hedge against gold but the results show no evidence for the US dollar.  

scholarly journals CAN GOLD EFFECTIVELY HEDGE RISKS OF EXCHANGE RATE?

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 833-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kuan-Min Wang
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
South African ◽  
Threshold Model ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Risk Hedging ◽  
Exchange Rate Fluctuations ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Japanese Yen ◽  
Dollar Depreciation

This study tests whether gold can effectively hedge exchange rate risks. We take into account the asymmetric characteristic of exchange rate fluctuations and use the dynamic panel threshold model in order to select gold prices in major gold-related currencies in the world: the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, the euro, the Indian rupee, the Japanese yen, the South African rand, and the British pound. Using monthly data from January 1999 to January 2010, with lagged one-period exchange rate returns (US dollar depreciation rate) as the threshold variable, the estimation results suggest that there are two thresholds at –7.5% and –3.7%. These can be divided into regime 1 (exchange rate returns ≤ –7.5%), regime 2 (–7.5% < exchange rate returns ≤ –3.7%), and regime 3 (exchange rate returns > –3.7%). Regarding the effectiveness of gold hedging, regime 2 is higher than is regime 3. The risk hedging effect of regime 1 is not significant because it might be caused by the excessive devaluation of the US dollar in the short-term and the overshooting of the exchange rate adjustment, making gold unable to hedge the devaluation risks of the US dollar.

scholarly journals A financial risk and fraud model comparison of Bear Stearns and Sehman Brothers: was the right or wrong firm bailed out?

2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-87
Author(s):  
Hugh Grove ◽  
Maclyn Clouse
Keyword(s):  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Model Comparison ◽  
The Us ◽  
Lehman Brothers ◽  
Us Government ◽  
Crisis Conditions ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Right ◽  
Bail Out

In March 2008, the US government bailed out a failing Bear Stearns by arranging a sale to JP Morgan Chase, with US government guarantees for many Bear Stearns’ toxic assets that came with the acquisition. In September 2008, the US government failed to bail out a failing Lehman Brothers, which then went into bankruptcy. Soon thereafter, the US government established a bailout program for many other failing financial institutions. This paper uses financial risk and fraud models to attempt to answer the question as to why Bear Stearns was bailed out, but Lehman Brothers was not. Based on the analysis, was the right or wrong firm bailed out? In summary, these financial risk and fraud models show potential for developing effective risk management monitoring and stronger corporate governance in order to enhance relationships between management, financial reporting, and the stability of the economic system in crisis and post-crisis conditions.

scholarly journals Performance Of Deterministic And Stochastic Trends Models In Forecasting The Behavior Of The Canadian Dollar And The Japanese Yen Against The US Dollar

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arav Ouandlous
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Canadian Dollar ◽  
Forecast Performance ◽  
Stochastic Trends ◽  
The Us ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
Rate Behavior ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Exchange Rate Models ◽  
Japanese Yen

The literature on modeling and forecasting exchange rate behavior shows that complex forecasting exchange rate models do not often outperform ARIMA models. We show that the same forecasting models applied to forecast the behavior of the Canadian dollar and the Japanese Yen against the US dollar produced varying forecast performance.

Comparative Analysis on the Hedging Effectiveness Among Domestic Currency Futures Contracts

2007 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-72
Author(s):  
Won Cheol Yun
Keyword(s):  
Performance Measures ◽  
Minimum Variance ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Currency Futures ◽  
Hedging Effectiveness ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Japanese Yen ◽  
Better Than

This study empirically compares the hedging performances of the newly listed Japanese yen (JPY) and European euro (EUR) currency futures in the KRX relative to that of the us dollar (USD) currency futures. For this purpose, assuming the situation of foreign-asset investment the minimum variance hedging models based on OLS and ECM are compared with a simple 1: 1 hedge. The difference between previous studies and this one is in that the latter uses various kinds of hedging performance measures and analyzes the hedging performances by different hedging horizon. According to the empirical results, the USD currency futures outperforms the JPY and EUR currency futures when considering the risk only. However, the results are reversed wilen incorporating the return as well as the risk. With respect to the comparative advantages among hedging types, the ECM-hedge turns out to be better than the others for evaluating the risk only, and the 1: 1 hedge proves to be superior to the others when considering both of the return and risk aspects. Based on the risk-reduction aspect. the hedging performances are gradually improving as the length of hedging period increases, while they deteriorate for considering both the return and risk aspects.

scholarly journals (DE)STABILIZING EXCHANGE RATE STRATEGIES IN EAST ASIAN MONETARY AND ECONOMIC INTEGRATION

2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (02) ◽  
pp. 1640021 ◽  
Author(s):  
GUNTHER SCHNABL ◽  
KRISTINA SPANTIG
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
East Asia ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Monetary Integration ◽  
Integration Process ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
The Us ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Japanese Yen ◽  
Chinese Yuan

The East Asian monetary integration process is at the crossroads. Given very benign liquidity conditions in the US, the prevailing common US dollar peg has contributed to growing macroeconomic and financial instability in the region. This has sparked demands to embark on an independent monetary integration process in East Asia. The paper shows that, however, neither the Japanese yen nor the Chinese yuan can challenge the US dollar as anchor currency in the region. Large fluctuations of the Japanese yen against the US dollar have undermined the potential of the Japanese yen to become a regional anchor currency. Exchange rate stability of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar has enhanced intra-regional exchange rate stability and growth, stressing the potential of the Chinese yuan to emerge as a regional anchor currency. Yet, it is shown that underdeveloped Chinese capital markets and financial repression originating in US low interest rate policies constitute an insurmountable impediment for the Chinese yuan to gain anchor currency status in East Asia. Empirical estimations provide evidence in favor of positive growth effects of the exchange rate stability against the US dollar in East Asia.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document