scholarly journals Empirical Modelling for exploring the factors contributing to disability severity from road traffic accidents in Thailand

Author(s):  
Jaratsri Rungrattanaubol ◽  
Anamai Na-udom ◽  
Antony Harfield

This paper introduces a computer-based model for predicting the severity of injuries in road traffic accidents. Using accident data from surveys at hospitals in Thailand, standard data mining techniques were applied to train and test a multilayer perceptron neural network. The resulting neural network specification was loaded into an interactive environment called EDEN that enables further exploration of the computer-based model. Although the model can be used for the classification of accident data in terms of injury severity (in a similar way to other data mining tools), the EDEN tool enables deeper exploration of the underlying factors that might affect injury severity in road traffic accidents. The aim of this paper is to describe the development of the computer-based model and to demonstrate the potential of EDEN as an interactive tool for knowledge discovery.

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-146
Author(s):  
Carlos Lam ◽  
Chang-I Chen ◽  
Chia-Chang Chuang ◽  
Chia-Chieh Wu ◽  
Shih-Hsiang Yu ◽  
...  

2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 828
Author(s):  
Tebogo Bokaba ◽  
Wesley Doorsamy ◽  
Babu Sena Paul

Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are a major cause of injuries and fatalities worldwide. In recent years, there has been a growing global interest in analysing RTAs, specifically concerned with analysing and modelling accident data to better understand and assess the causes and effects of accidents. This study analysed the performance of widely used machine learning classifiers using a real-life RTA dataset from Gauteng, South Africa. The study aimed to assess prediction model designs for RTAs to assist transport authorities and policymakers. It considered classifiers such as naïve Bayes, logistic regression, k-nearest neighbour, AdaBoost, support vector machine, random forest, and five missing data methods. These classifiers were evaluated using five evaluation metrics: accuracy, root-mean-square error, precision, recall, and receiver operating characteristic curves. Furthermore, the assessment involved parameter adjustment and incorporated dimensionality reduction techniques. The empirical results and analyses show that the RF classifier, combined with multiple imputations by chained equations, yielded the best performance when compared with the other combinations.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monkgogi Mudongo ◽  
Edwin Thuma ◽  
Nkwebi Peace Motlogelwa ◽  
Tebo Leburu-Dingalo ◽  
Pulafela Majoo

Road traffic accidents are a serious problem for the nation of Botswana. A large amount of money is used to compensate those who are affected by road accidents. Traffic accidents are one of the major causes of Deaths in Botswana. It is important for relevant organizations to have a reliable source of data for accurate evaluation of traffic accidents. Similarly, data on vehicle registration must be transformed and be readily available to assist managerial decision makers. In this article, we deploy a Business Intelligence (BI) and Data Warehouse (DW) solution in an attempt to assist the relevant departments in their road traffic accidents and vehicle registration evaluation. In Our evaluation of the traffic accidents our findings suggest that across accident severity, Damage Only accidents had the most interesting recent trend with a 11.93% decrease in the last 3 years on record. Count of Accident Severity for Damage Only accidents dropped from 13,491 to 11,881 between 2018 and 2020 whilst Minor accidents experienced the longest period of growth. Most accidents take place in rural locations and more accidents take place during the weekend. At 28,439, Sunday had the highest number of accidents and was 47.59% higher than Wednesday, which had the lowest count of accidents at 19,269. The results for vehicle registration reveal that the number of vehicle registration decreased for the last 3 years on record. The number of vehicles registered dropped from 65535 to 24457 during its steepest decline between 2019 and 2021.


Author(s):  
G. Janani ◽  
N. Ramya Devi

Road Traffic Accidents (RTAs) are a major public concern, resulting in an estimated 1.2 million deaths and 50 million injuries worldwide each year. In the developing world, RTAs are among the leading cause of death and injury. Most of the analysis of road accident uses data mining techniques which provide productive results. The analysis of the accident locations can help in identifying certain road accident features that make a road accident to occur frequently in the locations. Association rule mining is one of the popular data mining techniques that identify the correlation in various attributes of road accident. Data analysis has the capability to identify different reasons behind road accidents. In the existing system, k-means algorithm is applied to group the accident locations into three clusters. Then the association rule mining is used to characterize the locations. Most state of the art traffic management and information systems focus on data analysis and very few have been done in the sense of classification. So, the proposed system uses classification technique to predict the severity of the accident which will bring out the factors behind road accidents that occurred and a predictive model is constructed using fuzzy logic to predict the location wise accident frequency.


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