Using Artificial Neural Networks to Forecast Market Response

Author(s):  
Leonard J. Parsons ◽  
Ashutosh Dixit

Marketing managers must quantify the effects of marketing actions on contemporaneous and future sales performance. This chapter examines forecasting with artificial neural networks in the context of model-based planning and forecasting. The emphasis here is on causal modeling; that is, forecasting the impact of marketing mix variables, such as price and advertising, on sales.

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-161
Author(s):  
Allag Fateh ◽  
Saddek Bouharati ◽  
Lamri Tedjar ◽  
Mohamed Fenni

Because of their fixed life and wide distribution, plants are the first victims of air pollution. The atmosphere is considered polluted when the increase of the rate of certain components causes harmful effects on the different constituents of the ecosystems. The study of the flow of air near a polluting source (cement plant in our case), allows to predict its impact on the surrounding plant ecosystem. Different factors are to be considered. The chemical composition of the air, the climatic conditions, and the impacted plant species are complex parameters to be analyzed using conventional mathematical methods. In this study, we propose a system based on artificial neural networks. Since artificial neural networks have the capacity to treat different complex parameters, their application in this domain is adequate. The proposed system makes it possible to match the input and output spaces. The variables that constitute the input space are the chemical composition, the concentration of the latter in the rainwater, their duration of deposition on the leaves and stems, the climatic conditions characterizing the environment, as well as the species of plant studied. The output variable expresses the rate of degradation of this species under the effect of pollution. Learning the system makes it possible to establish the transfer function and thus predict the impact of pollutants on the vegetation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 235 ◽  
pp. 394-403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriela Polezer ◽  
Yara S. Tadano ◽  
Hugo V. Siqueira ◽  
Ana F.L. Godoi ◽  
Carlos I. Yamamoto ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Senthil Kumar Arumugasamy ◽  
Zainal Ahmad

Process control in the field of chemical engineering has always been a challenging task for the chemical engineers. Hence, the majority of processes found in the chemical industries are non-linear and in these cases the performance of the linear models can be inadequate. Recently a promising alternative modelling technique, artificial neural networks (ANNs), has found numerous applications in representing non-linear functional relationships between variables. A feedforward multi-layered neural network is a highly connected set of elementary non-linear neurons. Model-based control techniques were developed to obtain tighter control. Many model-based control schemes have been proposed to incorporate a process model into a control system. Among them, model predictive control (MPC) is the most common scheme. MPC is a general and mathematically feasible scheme to integrate our knowledge about a target, process controller design and operation, which allows flexible and efficient exploitation of our understanding of a target, and thus produces optimal performance of a system under various constraints. The need to handle some difficult control problems has led us to use ANN in MPC and has recently attracted a great deal of attention. The efficacy of the neural predictive control with the ability to perform comparably to the non linear neural network strategy in both set point tracking and disturbance rejection proves to have less computation expense for the neural predictive control. The neural network model predictive control (NNMPC) method has less perturbations and oscillations when dealing with noise as compared to the PI controllers.


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