CVaR Prediction Model of the Investment Portfolio Based on the Convolutional Neural Network Facilitates the Risk Management of the Financial Market

2022 ◽  
Vol 30 (7) ◽  
pp. 0-0

In summary, firstly, a method for establishing a portfolio model is proposed based on the risk management theory of the financial market. Then, a prediction model for CVaR is established based on the convolutional neural network, and the improved particle swarm algorithm is employed to solve the model. The actual data analysis is implemented to prove the feasibility of CVaR prediction model based on deep learning and particle swarm optimization algorithm in financial market risk management. The test results show that the investment portfolio CVaR prediction model based on the convolutional neural network can obtain the optimal solution in the 18th generation at the fastest after using the improved particle swarm algorithm, which is more effective than the traditional algorithm. The CVaR prediction model of the investment portfolio based on the convolutional neural network facilitates the risk management of the financial market.

2011 ◽  
Vol 48-49 ◽  
pp. 1328-1332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Feng Tang ◽  
Liang Zhao ◽  
Rong Bin Qi ◽  
Hui Cheng ◽  
Feng Qian

In this paper, a cooperative quantum genetic algorithm-particle swarm algorithm (CQGAPSO) is applied to tune both structure and parameters of a feedforward neural network (NN) simultaneously. In CQGAPSO algorithm, QGA is used to optimize the network structure and PSO algorithm is employed to search the parameters space. The amplitude-based coding method and cooperation mechanism improve the learning efficiency, approximation accuracy and generalization of NN. Furthermore, the ill effects of approximation ability caused by redundant structure of NN are eliminated by CQGAPSO. The experimental results show that the proposed method has better prediction accuracy and robustness in forecasting the sunspot numbers problems than other training algorithms in the literatures.


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