Construction of Adjustment Model of Traffic Volume Forecast in The Latter Part of Expressway Operating

2012 ◽  
Vol 178-181 ◽  
pp. 1526-1531
Author(s):  
Ming Shun Li ◽  
Zuo Hui Zhu

This paper focuses on the problem of serious deviation about predicted traffic flow on the feasibility study stage of expressway,puts forward an idea to compare and analyse the predicted traffic flow in feasibility study stage and the actual traffic after project operation,introducts least square method model, and finds out the linear relationship between them, thus predicts traffic flow of expressway operation. Finally, the calculation is made by combining with concrete expressway project,which proves that this method is usefull to improving the accuracy of the traffic flow forecast.

2021 ◽  
Vol 1852 (2) ◽  
pp. 022076
Author(s):  
Yunxiang Li ◽  
Guochang Liu ◽  
Yingying Cheng ◽  
Jifei Wu ◽  
Yongyi Xiong ◽  
...  

ICCTP 2011 ◽  
2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Chen ◽  
Yuanhua Jia ◽  
Wenjuan An ◽  
Na Zhang ◽  
Zhonghai Niu

Author(s):  
Liangyu Yao ◽  
Jianmin Bao ◽  
Fei Ding ◽  
Nianqi Zhang ◽  
En Tong

Transport ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-24
Author(s):  
Chunbo Zhang ◽  
Zhaoguo Huang ◽  
Yonggang Wang

Traffic fundamental diagram is extremely important to analyse traffic flow and traffic capacity, and the central part of traffic fundamental diagram is to calibrate speed–density relationship. However, because of unbalanced speed–density observations, calibrating results using Least Square Method (LSM) with all speed–density points always lead to inaccurate effect, so this paper proposed a selecting data sample method and then LSM was used to calibrate four well-known single-regime models. Comparisons were made among the results using LSM with all speed–density points and the selecting data sample. Results indicated that the selecting data sample method proposed by this paper can calibrate the singleregime models well, and the method overcomes the inaccurate effect caused by unbalanced speed–density observations. Data from different highways validated the results. The contribution of this paper is that the proposed method can help researchers to determine more precise traffic fundamental diagram.


Author(s):  
Zhaoyue Zhang ◽  
An Zhang ◽  
Cong Sun ◽  
Shuaida Xiang ◽  
Jichen Guan ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 245-251 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Qing ◽  
Tao Yongqin ◽  
Han Yongguo ◽  
Zhang Qingming

Transportation system has time-varying, coupling and nonlinear dynamic characteristics. Traffic flow forecast is one of the key technologies of traffic guidance. It is very difficult to accurately forecast them effectively. This paper has analyzed the complexity and the evaluation index of urban transportation network and has proposed the forecasting model of the hybrid algorithm based on chaos immune knowledge. First of all, the chaos knowledge is introduced into the topology structure of immune network, so as to obtain the matching predictive values and knowledge base. Secondly, this algorithm can dynamically control and adjusted the regional search speed and can fuse the information obtained by the chaos and immune algorithm, in order to realize the short-term traffic flow forecast. Finally, the simulation experiment shows that the traffic flow forecasting error obtained by the method is small, feasible and effective and can better meet the needs of the traffic guidance system.


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