The Research of Railway Passenger Flow Prediction Model Based on BP Neural Network

2012 ◽  
Vol 605-607 ◽  
pp. 2366-2369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Wang ◽  
Dan Zheng ◽  
Shi Min Luo ◽  
Dong Ming Zhan ◽  
Peng Nie

Based on analyzing the principle of BP neural network and time sequence characteristics of railway passenger flow, the forecast model of railway short-term passenger flow based on BP neural network was established. This paper mainly researches on fluctuation characteristics and short-time forecast of holiday passenger flow. Through analysis of passenger flow and then be used in passenger flow forecasting in order to guide the transport organization program especially the train plan of extra passenger train. And the result shows the forecast model based on BP neural network has a good effect on railway passenger flow prediction.

2014 ◽  
Vol 641-642 ◽  
pp. 673-677
Author(s):  
Meng Tian Li ◽  
Xiang Feng Ji ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Bin Ran

The research presents a long-term forecast model based on the use of a back-propagation (BP) neural network. Firstly, a brief overview of the forecast models and BP neural network model is demonstrated. Then the improved BP model based on factor analysis (FA-BP) and algorithmfor solving the model are presented. At last, a numerical case study is shown.As the current statistic yearbook only provides the volume data of Jing-Hu corridor, the notion of economical relation intensityis applied to process the original data. The results show that FA-BP neural network is effective in forecast. The proposed model providesa reference in the forefront field of integrated regional transportation planning.


2013 ◽  
Vol 834-836 ◽  
pp. 958-961 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dan Zheng ◽  
Yao Wang ◽  
Peng Zhi Tang ◽  
Yan Ping Wu

This paper through studying the theory of data warehouse and data mining, applies these technologies to deal with the large number data in the Ticket Selling and Reserving System of Chinese Railway (TRS), uses the effective data mining to the passenger flow analysis, builds up the logical forecasting and analysis model. This paper firstly discusses the current situation and problems faced by forecasting of passenger flow, then applies the data warehouse technology to design the data mart of this subject. Next, samples and analyses this data which collecting in data mart adopting neural network method, builds data analysis model carrying out research and the experiment, finally puts forward a feasible forecast model for the passenger flow forecasting.


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