scholarly journals Research on Railway Passenger Flow Prediction Method Based on GA Improved BP Neural Network

2019 ◽  
Vol 07 (07) ◽  
pp. 283-292
Author(s):  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Weihao Guo
2012 ◽  
Vol 605-607 ◽  
pp. 2366-2369 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Wang ◽  
Dan Zheng ◽  
Shi Min Luo ◽  
Dong Ming Zhan ◽  
Peng Nie

Based on analyzing the principle of BP neural network and time sequence characteristics of railway passenger flow, the forecast model of railway short-term passenger flow based on BP neural network was established. This paper mainly researches on fluctuation characteristics and short-time forecast of holiday passenger flow. Through analysis of passenger flow and then be used in passenger flow forecasting in order to guide the transport organization program especially the train plan of extra passenger train. And the result shows the forecast model based on BP neural network has a good effect on railway passenger flow prediction.


2021 ◽  
Vol 261 ◽  
pp. 03052
Author(s):  
Zhe Lv ◽  
Jiayu Zou ◽  
Zhongyu Zhao

In recent years, more and more people choose to travel by bus to save time and economic costs, but the problem of inaccurate bus arrival has become increasingly prominent. The reason is the lack of scientific planning of departure time. This paper takes the passenger flow as an important basis for departure interval, proposes a passenger flow prediction method based on wavelet neural network, and uses intelligent optimization algorithm to study the bus elastic departure interval. In this paper, the wavelet neural network prediction model and the elastic departure interval optimization model are established, and then the model is solved by substituting the data, and finally the theoretical optimal departure interval is obtained.


2014 ◽  
Vol 543-547 ◽  
pp. 2128-2132
Author(s):  
Ping Wang

It is an important work for modern libraries to predict reader flow. With the help of reader flow, library staff can grasp the change regulation of readers, allocate tasks rationally and take steps ahead of time in high-risk period. Because of reader flows typical non-linear characteristics, evolutionary neural network technology is introduced in this research so as to improve the accuracy of reader flow prediction. A prediction method for library reader flow based on evolutionary neural network is proposed. Genetic algorithm is used to optimize and design BP neural network firstly, then evolutionary neural network is used to predict reader flow. The experimental results show that evolutionary neural network is an effective tool for us to predict library reader flow. We can realize an accurate prediction for library reader flow by this method.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1094 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lanjun Wan ◽  
Hongyang Li ◽  
Yiwei Chen ◽  
Changyun Li

To effectively predict the rolling bearing fault under different working conditions, a rolling bearing fault prediction method based on quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) backpropagation (BP) neural network and Dempster–Shafer evidence theory is proposed. First, the original vibration signals of rolling bearing are decomposed by three-layer wavelet packet, and the eigenvectors of different states of rolling bearing are constructed as input data of BP neural network. Second, the optimal number of hidden-layer nodes of BP neural network is automatically found by the dichotomy method to improve the efficiency of selecting the number of hidden-layer nodes. Third, the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network are optimized by QPSO algorithm, which can improve the convergence speed and classification accuracy of BP neural network. Finally, the fault classification results of multiple QPSO-BP neural networks are fused by Dempster–Shafer evidence theory, and the final rolling bearing fault prediction model is obtained. The experiments demonstrate that different types of rolling bearing fault can be effectively and efficiently predicted under various working conditions.


2014 ◽  
Vol 933 ◽  
pp. 384-389
Author(s):  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Shuang Xin Wang

Wind power short-term forcasting of BP neural network based on the small-world optimization is proposed. First, the initial data collected from wind farm are revised, and the unreasonable data are found out and revised. Second, the small-world optimization BP neural network model is proposed, and the model is used on the prediction method of wind speed and wind direction, and the prediction method of power. Finally, by simulation analysis, the NMAE and NRMSE of the power method are smaller than those of the wind speed and wind direction method when the wind power data of one hour later are predicted. When the power method are used to forecast the data one hour later, NMAE is 5.39% and NRMSE is 6.98%.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document