The Research on Degradation Failure Life and Degradation Data Structure

2013 ◽  
Vol 710 ◽  
pp. 294-297
Author(s):  
Yi Dong Wang ◽  
Yi Zhou He ◽  
Hai Bo Liu ◽  
Jun Wei Lei

In order to solve the reliability assessment in the case of competition failure induced by the coexistence between burst-type failure and degradation-type failure in the product, the method of degradation amount distribution was adopted to describe the degradation process of performance in product. Considering the relativity between sudden failure and degradation degree, the cumulative distribution function of sudden failure was calculated from the standpoint of degradation amount. Eliminating the affect of sudden failure according to a certain conditional probability in the degradation amount distribution function, which helps to realize reliability assessment based on competitive failure analysis.

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gina Katherine Sierra Paez ◽  
Matthew Daigle ◽  
Kai Goebel

Estimating accurate Time-of-Failure (ToF) of a system is key in making the decisions that impact operational safety and optimize cost. In this context, it is interesting to note that different approaches have been explored to tackle the problem of estimating ToF. The difference is in part characterized by different definitions of the hazard zones. The conventional definition for the cumulative distribution function (CDF) calculation is assumed to have well-defined hazard zones, that is, hazard zones defined as a function of the system state trajectory. An alternate method suggests the use of hazard zones defined as a function of the system state at time , instead of hazard zones defined as a function of system state up to and including time k (Acuña and Orchard 2018, 2017). This paper explores these differences and their impact on ToF estimation. Results for the conventional CDF definition indicated that, (i) the cumulative distribution function is always an increasing function of time, even when realizations of the degradation process are not monotonic, (ii) the sum of all probabilities is always 1 and does not need to be normalized, and (iii) all probabilities are positive and less than or equal to 1. Similar results are not observed for CDF calculation with hazard zones defined as a function only of the system state at time k. Results for ToF estimation using Acuña's definition differ, suggesting that there is an underlying assumption of independence in the hazard zone definition.  Therefore, we present an alternate definition of hazard zone which guarantees the properties of a well-defined CDF with a more straightforward ToF definition.


Author(s):  
Nicola Esposito ◽  
Agostino Mele ◽  
Bruno Castanier ◽  
Massimiliano Giorgio

In this paper, a new gamma-based degradation process with random effect is proposed that allows to account for the presence of measurement error that depends in stochastic sense on the measured degradation level. This new model extends a perturbed gamma model recently suggested in the literature, by allowing for the presence of a unit to unit variability. As the original one, the extended model is not mathematically tractable. The main features of the proposed model are illustrated. Maximum likelihood estimation of its parameters from perturbed degradation measurements is addressed. The likelihood function is formulated. Hence, a new maximization procedure that combines a particle filter and an expectation-maximization algorithm is suggested that allows to overcome the numerical issues posed by its direct maximization. Moreover, a simple algorithm based on the same particle filter method is also described that allows to compute the cumulative distribution function of the remaining useful life and the conditional probability density function of the hidden degradation level, given the past noisy measurements. Finally, two numerical applications are developed where the model parameters are estimated from two sets of perturbed degradation measurements of carbon-film resistors and fuel cell membranes. In the first example the presence of random effect is statistically significant while in the second example it is not significant. In the applications, the presence of random effect is checked via appropriate statistical procedures. In both the examples, the influence of accounting for the presence of random effect on the estimates of the cumulative distribution function of the remaining useful life of the considered units is also discussed. Obtained results demonstrate the affordability of the proposed approach and the usefulness of the proposed model.


Author(s):  
Teng Fei ◽  
Hao-Wei Wang

In order to improve the accuracy of reliability assessment for the system with multiple failure modes, a reliability modeling method based on the s-dependent competing risk of degradation failures and traumatic failures was proposed. A condition space model was applied to evaluate the degradation degree of system by fusing multivariate degradation data, and then Gamma process was utilized to establish the degradation failure model of system. A conditional Weibull distribution was used to establish the traumatic failure model of system. The reliability model based on dependent competing risk was established by assuming that the probability of traumatic failure depends on the degradation degree of system. An illustrative example was provided to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.


Author(s):  
RONALD R. YAGER

We look at the issue of obtaining a variance like measure associated with probability distributions over ordinal sets. We call these dissonance measures. We specify some general properties desired in these dissonance measures. The centrality of the cumulative distribution function in formulating the concept of dissonance is pointed out. We introduce some specific examples of measures of dissonance.


2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 939-951
Author(s):  
Amal Almarwani ◽  
Bashair Aljohani ◽  
Rasha Almutairi ◽  
Nada Albalawi ◽  
Alya O. Al Mutairi

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