Macroeconomic imbalances and the eurozone crisis: the impact of credit expansion on asset prices

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 459-480
Author(s):  
Gökçer Özgür ◽  
Emel Memis¸
Keyword(s):  
Asset Prices ◽  
Eurozone Crisis ◽  
Credit Expansion ◽  
Macroeconomic Imbalances ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Spillover Effect of Global Financial Cycle To Asset Markets in Asean-5 Countries: A Structural VAR Approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Sri Andaiyani ◽  
Telisa Aulia Falianty
Keyword(s):  
Risk Aversion ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Asset Markets ◽  
Equity Prices ◽  
Financial Cycle ◽  
Property Prices ◽  
The Impact

<p><em>An upsurge and volatility of capital flows to Emerging Asian Economies indicated that there is the potential effect of global financial cycle to emerging market. It provides an overview of investor risk aversion in short term investment after financial crisis 2008. Global financial cycle could have a significant impact to asset prices, including equity prices and property prices. Rey (2015) has triggered an interesting discussion about global financial cycle. She found that there was a global financial cycle in capital flows, asset prices and credit growth. This cycle was co</em><em>‐</em><em>moves with the VIX, a measure of uncertainty and risk aversion of the markets. Therefore, this study attempts to analyze empirically global financial cycle shocks, measured by the VIX, on equity prices and property prices in ASEAN-5, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Philippines. We estimate quarterly frequency data from Q1 1990 to Q2 2016 with Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach. The result of this study showed that global financial cycle has a negative significant impact on the ASEAN-5 asset markets, in spite of the response of shock differs by country and size. This result is consistent with ASEAN-5 as small open economies that remain vulnerable to the global factor. This study contributes to the literature in several ways. First, we identify not only cyclical expansions or contraction in asset markets but also the impact of global financial cycle to asset markets in ASEAN-5 countries. Second, we investigate whether there are heterogeneous responses of ASEAN-5 countries to global financial cycle shocks. Third, we also identify the pattern of cycle in ASEAN-5 countries</em>.</p><p><strong><em>J</em></strong><strong><em>EL Classification: </em></strong>F30, F37, F42</p><strong><em>Keywords: </em></strong><em>ASEAN, Asset Markets, Global Financial Cycle, SVAR</em>

Constraints to Economic Growth in South Africa

2021 ◽  
pp. 110-134
Author(s):  
Kenneth Creamer
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Industrial Structure ◽  
Commodity Price ◽  
Structural Factors ◽  
Weak State ◽  
Policy Interventions ◽  
Macroeconomic Imbalances ◽  
History Of ◽  
The Impact

This chapter analyses the drivers and constraints on the rate of economic growth in South Africa from the 1950’s apartheid-era through to the democratic period post-1994. Key structural factors identified as impacting on the rate and composition of economic growth include the country’s history of racial injustice and exclusion, its industrial structure and linkages to the global commodity price cycle, the evolution of macroeconomic imbalances and related infrastructure investment failures, and the impact of weak state capacity and corruption. Thereafter, the chapter outlines a number of strategic policy interventions for overcoming constraints to inclusive economic growth in South Africa.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Effects on Energy Sector Bubbles

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 472
Author(s):  
Petre Caraiani ◽  
Adrian Călin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

We investigate the effects of monetary policy shocks, including unconventional policy measures, on the bubbles of the energy sector, for the case of the United States. We estimate a time-varying Bayesian VAR model that allows for quantifying the impact of monetary policy shocks on asset prices and bubbles. The energy sector is measured through the S&P Energy Index, while bubbles are measured through the difference between asset prices and the corresponding dividends for the energy sector. We find significant differences in the impact of monetary policy shocks for the aggregate economy and for the energy sector. The findings seem sensitive to the interest rate use, i.e., whether one uses the shadow interest rate or the long-term interest rate.

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