scholarly journals The Short and Long Run Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 45-65
Author(s):  
Oludayo Elijah Adekunle
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

What determines foreign direct investment inflows has been a subject of controversies among scholars. As a result of the highlighted gap discussed in this study, the short and long run determinants of foreign direct investment and their effects on foreign direct investment inflow in Nigeria was investigated from 1986 to 2018. Data were analyzed with Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philip Perron unit root test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Pairwise Granger Causality techniques. Evidence of long run dynamic equilibrium relationship was established between foreign direct investment and its determinants. The short and long run coefficients revealed that government capital expenditure and inflation impede the inflow of foreign direct investment both in the short and long run while exchange rate serve as bane to foreign direct investment in the long run. However, gross domestic product and trade openness were found to stimulate the inflow of foreign direct investment in the short and long run. The Pairwise causality result revealed that government capital expenditure, exchange rate and trade openness had independent causality with foreign direct investment while gross domestic product and inflation rate had unidirectional causality with foreign direct investment. Thus, government should allocate more funds for the provision of enabling and investment enhancing environment to promote foreign direct investment inflow. The study added value to previous studies by estimating the short and long run determinants of foreign direct investment using more dynamic and robust technique of Autoregressive Distributed Lag developed by Peseran and Shin (1999). JEL Codes: C32, F21.

scholarly journals The Real Exchange Rate-Foreign Direct Investment Controversy in South Africa: An Application of ARDL Approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 207
Author(s):  
Ahmed Mohamed Dahir ◽  
Fuaziah Mahat ◽  
A. N. Bany-Ariffin ◽  
Nazrul Hisyam Ab Razak
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Market Size ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

This paper examines the relationship between real exchange rate and foreign direct investment. We apply autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing method to estimate short and long-run relationships between the series in South Africa over the period of 1987-2016. The results reveal long-run cointegration relationships among variables are confirmed, implying real exchange rate, domestic market size stimulate the foreign direct investment in the long run. Furthermore, there is significant Granger unidirectional causality foreign direct investment to real exchange rate in short and long run and from market size to trade openness in a short run. This finding further suggests that the exchange rate instability are likely to be substantially harmful to a positive effect of FDI and should be avoided in South Africa.

scholarly journals Inward Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness in Vietnam: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 120
Author(s):  
Jen-Yao Lee ◽  
Ya-Chuan Hsiao ◽  
Ngochien Bui ◽  
Tien-Thinh Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Inward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

This study aims to examine the asymmetric relationship between trade openness and FDI (foreign direct investment) inflows to Vietnam by using NARDL (nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag) during the period from 1997 to 2019. Our findings show that the influence of FDI on trade openness is asymmetric in the short-run and long-run. But the influence of trade openness on FDI is symmetric in the short-run and asymmetric in the long run.

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (III) ◽  
pp. 22-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

scholarly journals How Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economy of Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 1641-1653
Author(s):  
Noreen Safdar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Time Span ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Growth Of Economy

This study is intended to find out how and to what extent FDI and trade openness affect the growth of economy in Pakistan for time span 1980-2018. To examine influence of FDI and trade openness, GDP was used by way of dependent variable whereas FDI, trade openness, exchange rate, and inflation are also taken as independent variables. The ARDL technique is employed in following study to estimate short-run and long-run results. This study concludes that TO have a positive momentous influence on GDP in both long and short run. While Foreign Direct Investment has an optimistic but irrelevant influence on GDP in Pakistan which demonstrates that TO has a more progressive influence on GDP of Pakistan than FDI. Other variables labor force and inflation harm economic growth while the exchange rate affects GDP positively. It is suggested by the study to enhance economic growth, govt should focus on liberalization of trade by reducing tariffs, customs duties, and other types of taxes on exports to enhance the economic growth of Pakistan.

China’s outward foreign direct investment and exports diversification: an asymmetric analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 45-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Yibing Ding ◽  
Abul Ala Noman ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Outward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Chinese Export

Purpose Over the past two decades, China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) has risen remarkably. Whether such an increase affects the Chinese export diversification (ED) is a significant issue that has surprisingly remained unaddressed. This study aims to explain this issue that how OFDI plays a vital role in symmetric and asymmetric effects on its ED. Design/methodology/approach The authors introduce a robust nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. Ironically, the purpose of this study is to analyze the symmetric and asymmetric effect of OFDI on ED. Findings The authors propose that growing OFDI would be more advantageous to China, rather than the policies of contraction. Therefore, the study provides valuable policy insights to consider the long-run asymmetric momentum given to ED by China’s OFDI. Originality/value The results of this study may seem to be an important newsletter for further policy discussion on how China can catch up on the benefits of ED through OFDI.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Domestic Demand, and Exchange Rate on the Export Performance of Bangladesh: A VEC Approach

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bishnu Kumar Adhikary
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Vec Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate on the export performance of Bangladesh over the period of 1980–2009 using the vector error correction (VEC) model under the time series framework. The stationarity of the variables is checked both at the intercept and intercept plus trend regression forms under the ADF and PP stationarity tests. The Johansen-Juselius procedure is applied to test the cointegration relationship between variables followed by the VEC regression model. The empirical results trace a long-run equilibrium relationship in the variables. FDI is found to be an important factor in explaining the changes in exports both in the short run and long-run. However, the study does not trace any significant causal relationship for the cases of trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate. The study concludes that Bangladesh should formulate FDI-led polices to enhance its exports.

scholarly journals Market concentration and foreign direct investment in the financial leasing sector of the Republic of Serbia

Skola biznisa ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Marija Radulović
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Market Concentration ◽  
Financial Leasing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Republic

The financial leasing market in previous years is characterised by a growth that is also expected in the coming period. Besides, developing countries are striving to attract as much foreign direct investment (FDI) as possible to accelerate economic growth and achieve macroeconomic stability. The aim of this paper is to determine whether there is a relationship between FDI and the level of market concentration in the financial leasing sector of the Republic of Serbia and to determine whether this relationship is long-term or short-term. Quarterly data from the first quarter of 2006 to the first quarter of 2019 were used. Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach (ARDL) and bounds test were used for data analysis. The results showed that there is a negative relationship between FDI and the level of market concentration in the financial leasing sector of the Republic of Serbia in the long run, while there is no statistically significant relationship between FDI and the level of market concentration in the short run.

scholarly journals Trade Openness and Economic Growth Nexus in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol V (IV) ◽  
pp. 24-33
Author(s):  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Muhammad Masood Anwar ◽  
Aftab Anwar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Long Run

This study explores the nexus amongst trade openness and economic growth for Pakistan for 1981-2019. Trade-openness is a dependent variable, and it is measured as imports plus exports to GDP ratio. Economic growth, Foreign Direct Investment, Inflation, Exchange rate, and interest rate are taken as explanatory variables. Co-integration approach by Johansen and Juselius (1988, 1991) has been used for long-run relationships. Results indicate that Trade-Openness has significantly affected the economic growth and other control variables of the study for Pakistan. There exist bidirectional Granger Causality in the selected variables.

Foreign Direct Investment and Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from Africa’s Largest Economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-78
Author(s):  
Anthony Orji ◽  
Godson Umunna Nwagu ◽  
Jonathan E. Ogbuabor ◽  
Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

The study investigated the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in Nigeria, which is currently Africa’s largest economy, and also determined the long-run relationship between FDI and economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2017. The study adopted the autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach and ordinary least square in the analysis. The empirical results revealed that FDI has a positive and significant relationship with economic growth in Nigeria within the period under review. The study concluded and recommended that Nigerian Government should formulate policies that will attract more FDI in all sectors of the economy especially in the service and manufacturing sectors, so as to improve the infrastructural facilities and production of goods in the country and also expand its labour force. Finally, there is need to improve the educational policy of the country in order to raise the stock of human capital in the country that will make useful policies for the attraction for productive FDIs in the country. JEL Classification: E22, F21, F23, F43

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