China’s outward foreign direct investment and exports diversification: an asymmetric analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 45-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Yibing Ding ◽  
Abul Ala Noman ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Outward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Chinese Export

Purpose Over the past two decades, China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) has risen remarkably. Whether such an increase affects the Chinese export diversification (ED) is a significant issue that has surprisingly remained unaddressed. This study aims to explain this issue that how OFDI plays a vital role in symmetric and asymmetric effects on its ED. Design/methodology/approach The authors introduce a robust nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. Ironically, the purpose of this study is to analyze the symmetric and asymmetric effect of OFDI on ED. Findings The authors propose that growing OFDI would be more advantageous to China, rather than the policies of contraction. Therefore, the study provides valuable policy insights to consider the long-run asymmetric momentum given to ED by China’s OFDI. Originality/value The results of this study may seem to be an important newsletter for further policy discussion on how China can catch up on the benefits of ED through OFDI.

Institutional quality and foreign direct investment in Ghana

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Nandom Yakubu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Single Measure ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the impact of institutional quality on foreign direct investment (FDI) in Ghana for the period 1985-2016. Design/methodology/approach The study uses the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to examine the relationship between institutional quality along with other controlled variables and FDI. Findings Evidence from the ARDL framework establishes a positive significant effect of institutional quality on FDI irrespective of the time horizon. The results also reveal a significant impact of inflation on FDI in both short and long run, while GDP per capita growth and trade are significant determinants only in the short run. Practical implications The study recommends the instigation of effective policies and strategies that seek to strengthen the quality of institutions, as this provides a conducive investment climate to attract FDI. Specifically, policies that are focused on promoting transparent legal regimes, regulatory reforms, non-corrupt institutions and political stability should be the precedence of policymakers. Originality/value In addition to being a pioneering work on the impact of institutional quality on FDI in Ghana, the main contribution of the study lies in its application of the principal component analysis to generate a single measure of institutional quality based on a number of institutional factors.

scholarly journals Market concentration and foreign direct investment in the financial leasing sector of the Republic of Serbia

Skola biznisa ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Marija Radulović
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Market Concentration ◽  
Financial Leasing ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Republic

The financial leasing market in previous years is characterised by a growth that is also expected in the coming period. Besides, developing countries are striving to attract as much foreign direct investment (FDI) as possible to accelerate economic growth and achieve macroeconomic stability. The aim of this paper is to determine whether there is a relationship between FDI and the level of market concentration in the financial leasing sector of the Republic of Serbia and to determine whether this relationship is long-term or short-term. Quarterly data from the first quarter of 2006 to the first quarter of 2019 were used. Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach (ARDL) and bounds test were used for data analysis. The results showed that there is a negative relationship between FDI and the level of market concentration in the financial leasing sector of the Republic of Serbia in the long run, while there is no statistically significant relationship between FDI and the level of market concentration in the short run.

scholarly journals The Short and Long Run Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 45-65
Author(s):  
Oludayo Elijah Adekunle
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflow ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

What determines foreign direct investment inflows has been a subject of controversies among scholars. As a result of the highlighted gap discussed in this study, the short and long run determinants of foreign direct investment and their effects on foreign direct investment inflow in Nigeria was investigated from 1986 to 2018. Data were analyzed with Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philip Perron unit root test, Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Pairwise Granger Causality techniques. Evidence of long run dynamic equilibrium relationship was established between foreign direct investment and its determinants. The short and long run coefficients revealed that government capital expenditure and inflation impede the inflow of foreign direct investment both in the short and long run while exchange rate serve as bane to foreign direct investment in the long run. However, gross domestic product and trade openness were found to stimulate the inflow of foreign direct investment in the short and long run. The Pairwise causality result revealed that government capital expenditure, exchange rate and trade openness had independent causality with foreign direct investment while gross domestic product and inflation rate had unidirectional causality with foreign direct investment. Thus, government should allocate more funds for the provision of enabling and investment enhancing environment to promote foreign direct investment inflow. The study added value to previous studies by estimating the short and long run determinants of foreign direct investment using more dynamic and robust technique of Autoregressive Distributed Lag developed by Peseran and Shin (1999). JEL Codes: C32, F21.

scholarly journals Does Trade Related Sectoral Infrastructure Make Chinese Exports More Sophisticated and Diversified?

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 5408
Author(s):  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Ejaz Ahmad ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
József Popp ◽  
Judit Oláh
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic Method ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Dynamic Approach ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Chinese Export ◽  
Model Approach

Whether better infrastructure influences Chinese export sophistication (ES) and diversification (ED) is an important question, which surprisingly remains unaddressed. The current study contributes to the ES and ED literature by capturing the symmetric and asymmetric effect of infrastructure on ES and ED. We employ a robust dynamically simulated autoregressive distributed lag (DYS-ARDL) dynamic method, which is an extended version of NARDL and ARDL. The major aim of this new DYS-ARDL dynamic approach was to abolish the issue in orthodox ARDL model approach while examining the long-run and short-run. The new dynamic DYS-ARDL model is accomplished in estimating, stimulating, and robotically plotting predictions of counterfactual alterations in one explanatory variable and its impact on the dependent variable while holding the remaining regressors constant. Furthermore, this new method of DYS-ARDL model can estimate, stimulate, and plot to forecast graphs of positive and negative variations in the variables robotically as well as their short and long-run associations. Interestingly, the results of this study witness the presence of long-run relationship between infrastructure and ES and ED in China. The present study shows that better infrastructure will be more beneficial for Chinese ED and ES.

Foreign Direct Investment and Growth Nexus: Further Evidence from Africa’s Largest Economy

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-78
Author(s):  
Anthony Orji ◽  
Godson Umunna Nwagu ◽  
Jonathan E. Ogbuabor ◽  
Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

The study investigated the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in Nigeria, which is currently Africa’s largest economy, and also determined the long-run relationship between FDI and economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2017. The study adopted the autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach and ordinary least square in the analysis. The empirical results revealed that FDI has a positive and significant relationship with economic growth in Nigeria within the period under review. The study concluded and recommended that Nigerian Government should formulate policies that will attract more FDI in all sectors of the economy especially in the service and manufacturing sectors, so as to improve the infrastructural facilities and production of goods in the country and also expand its labour force. Finally, there is need to improve the educational policy of the country in order to raise the stock of human capital in the country that will make useful policies for the attraction for productive FDIs in the country. JEL Classification: E22, F21, F23, F43

scholarly journals Inward Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness in Vietnam: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 120
Author(s):  
Jen-Yao Lee ◽  
Ya-Chuan Hsiao ◽  
Ngochien Bui ◽  
Tien-Thinh Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Inward Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

This study aims to examine the asymmetric relationship between trade openness and FDI (foreign direct investment) inflows to Vietnam by using NARDL (nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag) during the period from 1997 to 2019. Our findings show that the influence of FDI on trade openness is asymmetric in the short-run and long-run. But the influence of trade openness on FDI is symmetric in the short-run and asymmetric in the long run.

scholarly journals THE NEXUS BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) AND MANUFACTURED EXPORT PERFORMANCE IN TANZANIA: AN AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG (ARDL) APPROACH

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francis - Lwesya ◽  
Kaluse Mohammed
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Correction Coefficient ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Manufactured Exports

This paper examines the nexus between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Manufactured Export Performance in Tanzania using An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) for the period of 1980-2015. Real manufactured exports were used to proxy manufactured export performance. The findings show the existence of a positive and significant relationship between real manufactured exports and lagged FDI both in the short run and long run. The estimated error correction coefficient is negative and significant at one percent level. This confirms that all the variables (Real Manufactured Exports, FDI, Openness, and Real Effective Exchange Rate) are co-integrated and the speed of adjustment towards the long run equilibrium is at 78% annually. This suggests that FDI is one of the determinants of manufactured export performance in Tanzania. Thus, to stimulate more manufactured exports, Tanzania needs to attract FDIs that target the export sector along with increasing trade openness in a bid to build a competitive and sustainable value added manufacturing sector.

scholarly journals Is the Relocation of Polluting Industries Prompted by FDI Flow and Stock, Globalisation, Corruption and Regulation?

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 1981
Author(s):  
Patrícia Hipólito Leal ◽  
Rafaela Vital Caetano ◽  
António Cardoso Marques
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Environmental Regulations ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Lag Model

Can globalisation and foreign direct investment shape sustainable development? Foreign direct investment is one of the main drivers for the transfer of polluting industries. With this in mind, the main objective of this research is to identify the role played by foreign direct investment (flow and stock), globalisation (de jure and de facto), corruption and regulatory quality in environmental degradation and sustainable development. To accomplish this objective, and to link the relationships under analysis to the level of development, a comparison between a group of developing countries and a group of developed ones was performed. The results confirm the suitability of the division of the countries by revealing various effects. This analysis was conducted from 1996 to 2017 and by recurring to the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model. This study proves that foreign investors play a vital role in reaching sustainable development. Measures must be implemented to eliminate the distortions that cause a company based in a country with strict environmental regulations to relocate its production to one with lax environmental regulations. However, these measures need to be combined with complementary measures that encourage developing economies to agree to a possible slowdown in their economic growth if sufficiently compensated for this reduced growth.

scholarly journals The effect of mining foreign direct investment inflow on the economic growth of Zimbabwe

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Plaxedes Gochero ◽  
Seetanah Boopen
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Mining Sector ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Full Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data

Abstract The study employs the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) in the mining sector on the Zimbabwe economy, while controlling for both non-mining FDI and domestic investment. Using data over the period 1988–2018, this research results show that foreign direct investment in the mining sector has a significant positive relationship with the country’s GDP in the long run. Mining FDI is revealed to have relatively higher effects as compared to FDI in non-mining sector and domestic investment. The short-run analysis observed that mining FDI as well as non-mining and domestic investment still has positive and significant impacts on growth but at a relatively lower extent. This implies that it takes some time for such investments to have their full effect on the economy.

scholarly journals Financial Deepening, Foreign Direct Investment and Output Performance in Nigeria

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-204
Author(s):  
Mumeen Olatunbosun Alabi ◽  
Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella ◽  
Ibrahim Abidemi Odusanya ◽  
Olumuyiwa Ganiyu Yinusa
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Output Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Financial Depth ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

Abstract This study examines the relationship between financial deepening, foreign direct investment and output performance in Nigeria from 1980-2015 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Test approach. A long-run relationship was established between financial deepening indicators, foreign direct investment and output performance in Nigeria. Foreign direct investment and market capitalization as a percentage of the GDP exerted significantly on output performance both in the short-run and in the long-run periods. It is recommended that financial depth should be enhanced through improved and highly efficient provision of credit by banks to the real sector of the Nigerian economy.

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