scholarly journals Water use scenarios as a tool for adaptation to climate change of a water supply company

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 265-289 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Jacinto ◽  
M. J. Cruz ◽  
F. D. Santos
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Water Use ◽  
Adaptation Strategy ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Land Use Scenarios ◽  
Water Supply Company

Abstract. The project ADAPTACLIMA, promoted by EPAL, the largest Portuguese Water Supply Utility, aims to provide the company with an adaptation strategy in the medium and long term to reduce the vulnerabilities of its activities to climate change. We used the special report emissions scenarios (SRES) of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) to produce local scenarios of water use. Available population SRES for Portugal were downscaled to the study area using a linear approach. Local land use scenarios were produced using the following steps: (1) characterization of the present land use for each municipality of the study area using Corine Land Cover and adapt the CLC classes to those used in the SRES; (2) identification of recent tendencies in land use change for the study area; (3) identification of SRES tendencies for land use change in Europe; and (4) production of local scenarios of land use. Water use scenarios were derived considering both population and land use scenarios as well as scenarios of change in other parameters (technological developments, increases in efficiency, climate changes, or political and behavioural changes). The A2 scenario forecasts an increase in population (+16%) in the study area while the other scenarios show a reduction of resident population (−6 to 8%). All scenarios, but especially A1, show a significant reduction in agricultural area and an increase in urban area. Regardless of the scenario, water use will progressively be reduced until 2100. These reductions are mainly due to increased water use efficiency and reduction of irrigated land. The results concord with several projects modelling water use at regional and global level.

scholarly journals Development of water use scenarios as a tool for adaptation to climate change

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Jacinto ◽  
M. J. Cruz ◽  
F. D. Santos
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Water Use ◽  
Adaptation Strategy ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Land Use Scenarios ◽  
Technological Developments ◽  
Emissions Scenarios

Abstract. The project ADAPTACLIMA, promoted by EPAL, the largest Portuguese Water Supply Utility, aims to provide the company with an adaptation strategy in the medium and long term to reduce the vulnerability of its activities to climate change. We used the four scenarios (A1, A2, B1, B2) adopted in the Special Report Emissions Scenarios (SRES) of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) to produce local scenarios of water use. Available population SRES for Portugal were downscaled to the study area using a linear approach. Local land use scenarios were produced using the following steps: (1) characterization of the present land use for each municipality of the study area using Corine Land Cover and adaptation of the CLC classes to those used in the SRES; (2) identification of recent tendencies in land use change for the study area; (3) identification of SRES tendencies for land use change in Europe; and (4) production of local scenarios of land use. Water use scenarios were derived considering both population and land use scenarios as well as scenarios of change in other parameters (technological developments, increases in efficiency, climate changes, or political and behavioural changes). The A2 scenario forecasts an increase in population (+16%) in the study area while the other scenarios show a reduction in the resident population (−6 to 8%). All scenarios, but especially A1, show a reduction in agricultural area and an increase in urban area. Regardless of the scenario, water use will progressively be reduced until 2100. These reductions are mainly due to increased water use efficiency and the reduction of irrigated land. The results accord with several projects modelling water use at regional and global level.

A consensus based vulnerability assessment to climate change in Germany

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 306-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Greiving ◽  
Marc Zebisch ◽  
Stefan Schneiderbauer ◽  
Mark Fleischhauer ◽  
Christian Lindner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Vulnerability Assessment ◽  
Action Plan ◽  
Adaptation Strategy ◽  
Scientific Output ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Assessment Procedure ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Content Type

Purpose – This paper aims to propose a collaborative approach toward an integrated vulnerability assessment to climate change in Germany that attempts to bridge the gap between scientific output and policy demand. Design/methodology/approach – Conceptually, the approach follows the definition of vulnerability as used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, but it has modified this basic concept. It clearly distinguishes between three time slices (presence, near and remote future) not only regarding the change in the climatic conditions but also socio-economic development trends. Findings – The paper concentrates on the selected methodological framework, the collaborative research design and those preliminary results of the nationwide vulnerability assessment that are transferable to other settings. Practical implications – A Vulnerability Network (“Netzwerk Vulnerabilitaet”) emerged from an applied research project commissioned under the Adaptation Action Plan of the German Strategy for Adaptation to Climate Change by the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Building and Nuclear Safety and the Federal Environment Agency. The assessment serves as evidence basis for the implementation of the German Adaptation Strategy. Thus, all relevant federal authorities and agencies are represented in the Vulnerability Network. Originality/value – The approach is the first really integrative vulnerability assessment for the whole Germany, as it considers not only 16 sectors but also interconnections between these sectors and cumulative effects for three different time slices. Moreover, the normative component of the assessment was clearly separated from the analytic one. The Vulnerability Network as a whole has been responsible for all normative decisions to be taken during the assessment procedure thus ensuring a wide understanding and acceptance of commonly achieved results.

Proposing an implementation of a climate change adaptation strategy at river basin scale. Application to the Jucar river basin.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clara E Estrela Segrelles ◽  
Miguel Ángel Pérez Martín
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation ◽  
Water System ◽  
Adaptation Strategy ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
Water Vulnerability ◽  
The Impact

<p>According to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, warming of the climate system is unequivocal and in recent decades, changes in climate have caused impacts on natural and human systems on all continents and across the oceans. Surface temperature is projected to rise, and rainfall patterns to change. Freshwater resources could be compromised due to climate change, especially in the Mediterranean region. Moreover, extreme events as droughts or floods are expected to occur more frequently.</p><p>For all these reasons, we propose the evaluation and implementation of a climate change adaptation river basin plan with the aim of reducing risks and improve resilience. Indeed, one of the goal 13 targets of the Sustainable Development Goals is strengthening resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters in all countries. The EU Strategy on adaptation to climate change encourage all members to implement adaptation strategies. For instance, climate change adaptation river basin plans are a reality in France, where basin adaptation plans have been published since 2014.</p><p>Evaluating risks and propose measures in order to reduce water vulnerability is needed in Jucar river basin (Eastern Spain) where water system is currently stressed. Jucar climate change adaptation basin plan should evaluate the specific qualities the basin has and the risks and vulnerabilities in order to strength water management. For this evaluation, we propose to assess the impact of the spatial distribution of precipitation and temperature within the case study for identifying the most vulnerability areas. Furthermore, the sea level rise will cause affection in groundwater aquifers that should be included on the proposed analysis.</p>

scholarly journals Modeling of a future scenario of potential sea level rise and consequences to land use in the Cananéia-Iguape Estuarine-Lagoonal Complex (Brazil)

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabrício Bau DALMAS ◽  
Jose OJEDA ZÚJAR ◽  
Pablo FRAILE-JURADO ◽  
Antonio Conceição PARANHOS FILHO ◽  
Ana Paula Garcia OLIVEIRA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Supervised Classification ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Future Scenario ◽  
Local Factor ◽  
Land Use Scenarios

The objective of this study was to develop possible future land use scenarios for the Cananéia-Iguape Estuarine-Lagoonal Complex by the analysis of the land use evolution along 24 years (1986-2010), and to predict scenarios for 2025. In order to predict the scenario of the land use and occupation classes of 2025 a simulation was carried out by means of the Markov chain methods and calibration of the simulation model in the IDRISI Andes program. In the phase prior to this step it was utilized TM sensor scenes (Landsat 5) and supervised classification techniques to simulating the land use and occupation map of 2010 from land use and occupation maps from 1986 and 1999. Then the land use and occupation map of 2010 was utilized inside de Markov chain to simulate the map of 2025. By applying the techniques proposed by Titus and Narayanan, Pfeffer, Ramhstorf and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) model, the vulnerability of the study area was calculated taking into consideration a potential sea level rise in 2025, 2050 and 2100. In the last step of the applied method, land use and occupation classes were assessed, which will possibly be affected by a highest tide event in 2025. It was observed that 80.92% the area flooded during highest tide events in 1999 was composed of dense arboreal vegetation and it is concluded that this expansion of the dense arboreal vegetation area will also occur towards the coastal zone in 2025. We suggest that the local factor for sea level rise in the study area has a strong geological component, so that, instead of a mere sea level rise, an opposite movement is taking place, which is the subsidence of the plain due to modern tectonism.

scholarly journals FLOWERED-GEODBAPP: AN APPLICATION BASED ON CROWD-GENERATING DATA USING SENTINEL2 IMAGERY

2017 ◽  
Vol XLII-4/W2 ◽  
pp. 121-127
Author(s):  
M. T. Melis ◽  
F. Dessì ◽  
P. Loddo ◽  
C. La Mantia ◽  
S. Da Pelo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Rift Valley ◽  
Local Level ◽  
Local Communities ◽  
Adaptation To Climate Change ◽  
Transboundary Cooperation ◽  
High Fluoride ◽  
African Rift

This study is part of the EU H2020 research Project FLOWERED (de-FLuoridation technologies for imprOving quality of WatEr and agRo-animal products along the East African Rift Valley in the context of aDaptation to climate change). FLOWERED project aims to develop technologies and methodologies at cross-boundary catchment scales to manage the risks associated with high Fluoride water supply in Africa, focusing on three representative test areas along the African Rift Valley (i.e. Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania), characterized by high fluoride contents in waters and soils, water scarcity, overexploitation of groundwater and high vulnerability to risks arising from climate change, as drought and desertification. It also is empowering local communities to take responsibility for the integrated-sustainability of the natural resources, growing national and international environmental priorities, enhancing transboundary cooperation and promoting local ownership based on a scientific and technological approach. <br><br> Within the FLOWERED project, the transition from the land cover to the land use and water use maps is provided through the development of a mobile application (FLOWERED-GeoDBapp ). It is dedicated to the collection of local geo-information on land use, water uses, irrigation systems, household features, use of drinking water and the other information needful for the specific knowledge of water supply involving local communities through participative approach. This system is structured to be populated, through an action of crowd-generating data by local communities (students and people involved mainly by NGOs). The SHAREGEODBapp is proposed as an innovative tool for water management and agriculture institutions at regional and local level.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document