Adaptation to Saltwater inTrusion in sEa level RIse Scenarios (ASTERIS): hydrogeochemical surveys and aquifer modelling for groundwater behaviour assessing in the coastal areas of Fano and Ravenna (central-eastern Italy)

Author(s):  
Barbara Nisi ◽  
Matia Menichini ◽  
Marco Doveri ◽  
Jacopo Cabassi ◽  
Orlando Vaselli ◽  
...  

<p>The Adriatic region is highly vulnerable to the adverse impacts of climate change. Although attention has been paid to understand the climate change impact and risks over the last decades, the Adriatic community still faces a lack of a common risk assessment. For this reason, ASTERIS project has been financed at the Call for proposal 2017 Priority Axis Safety and resilience of Interregional V Italy-Croatia 2014-2020 Program. To this overall objective, the project will provide two main outputs: i) a map of vulnerability to coastal salinization at the macro-regional scale (Adriatic) based on future scenarios for sea-level rise and the hydrological cycle and ii) best practice and guidelines for the management of vulnerable sites defined though the analysis of representative case studies in Italy and Croatia. Within these general purposes, hydrogeological and geochemical surveys in two specific shallow aquifer systems that develop in the coastal areas of Fano and Ravenna (central-eastern Italy), were carried out. Several periodical campaigns, aimed at measuring water level and physical-chemical parameters by vertical logs in wells or piezometers, were also conducted. Additionally, ground and surface water samples were also collected for chemical and isotopic analyses to define the compositional features and the main geochemical processes affecting the two shallow aquifers. Preliminary investigations suggested that the Ravenna shallow aquifer is already strongly spoiled by a significant seawater intrusion (up to 80 %), whereas at Fano the presence of the saline wedge can be regarded as negligible. This indicates that the aquifer system of Fano can be considered as a good proxy for evaluating and simulating potential processes of saline-fresh water interactions by either the increasing demand of water exploitation and sea level rise due to anthropogenic pressure and climate change, respectively. In order to simulate possible future ingressions of seawater in the aquifer system of Fano, groundwater flow and transport models are currently in progress. These models will be implemented and calibrated according to the hydrogeological and geochemical data collected within the framework of the ASTERIS project. The expected modelled scenarios, obtained through predictive simulations, are of pivotal importance for assessing the possible groundwater response to climate change and for a correct management and protection of water resources, which can be exported to other aquifers system along the Adriatic Sea.</p>

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pau Luque Lozano ◽  
Lluís Gómez-Pujol ◽  
Marta Marcos ◽  
Alejandro Orfila

<p>Sea-level rise induces a permanent loss of land with widespread ecological and economic impacts, most evident in urban and densely populated areas. The eventual coastline retreat combined with the action of waves and storm surges will end in more severe damages over coastal areas. These effects are expected to be particularly significant over islands, where coastal zones represent a relatively larger area vulnerable to marine hazards.</p><p>Managing coastal flood risk at regional scales requires a prioritization of resources and socioeconomic activities along the coast. Stakeholders, such as regional authorities, coastal managers and private companies, need tools that help to address the evaluation of coastal risks and criteria to support decision-makers to clarify priorities and critical sites. For this reason, the regional Government of the Balearic Islands (Spain) in association with the Spanish Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Environment has launched the Plan for Climate Change Coastal Adaptation. This framework integrates two levels of analysis. The first one relates with the identification of critical areas affected by coastal flooding and erosion under mean sea-level rise scenarios and the quantification of the extent of flooding, including marine extreme events. The second level assesses the impacts on infrastructures and assets from a socioeconomic perspective due to these hazards.</p><p>In this context, this paper quantifies the effects of sea-level rise and marine extreme events caused by storm surges and waves along the coasts of the Balearic Islands (Western Mediterranean Sea) in terms of coastal flooding and potential erosion. Given the regional scale (~1500 km) of this study, the presented methodology adopts a compromise between accuracy, physical representativity and computational costs. We map the projected flooded coastal areas under two mean sea-level rise climate change scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. To do so, we apply a corrected bathtub algorithm. Additionally, we compute the impact of extreme storm surges and waves using two 35-year hindcasts consistently forced by mean sea level pressure and surface winds from ERA-Interim reanalysis. Waves have been further propagated towards the nearshore to compute wave setup with higher accuracy. The 100-year return levels of joint storm surges and waves are used to map the spatial extent of flooding in more than 200 sandy beaches around the Balearic Islands by mid and late 21st century, using the hydrodynamical LISFLOOD-FP model and a high resolution (2 m) Digital Elevation Model.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malay Pramanik ◽  
Sylvia Szabo ◽  
Indrajit Pal ◽  
Parmeshwar Udmale

<p><strong>Abstract:</strong></p><p>Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges of the 21st century and is likely to increase migration of the marginal communities from the coastal areas throughout the world. It is projected that 200 million people worldwide will be climate refugees by 2050. Owing to high exposure and poor adaptive capacity, low-lying coastal areas and islands in developing countries are the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Therefore, it is imperative to understand how climate change is affecting the livelihoods, in turn, driving the migration in these regions.</p><p>The present study focuses on the Sundarbans region located along the coastal belt of West Bengal (India) as a part of Ganga-Brahmaputra mega delta. It is also a home of 4.7 million poor people, who earn below US$10 per month. The region is an exceedingly flat, low-lying, alluvial plain highly exposed to sea level rise, storm surge, tornedoes, cyclonic activity, riverbank erosion, salinization and subsequent mangrove depletion. Due to the climatic hazards, the basic livelihoods are at risk and their strategies towards livelihood collection remains largely unknown. Therefore, the present study provides insights into the nexus among climate stimuli, livelihood risks, and households’ strategies in the region, with special emphasize on climate change.</p><p>The study is based on field survey of 150 respondents representing migrant and non-migrant coastal communities from Gosaba, Basanti and Hingalganj block using structured questionnaires. More than 70% of respondents stated that livelihood risks mainly from climate change impacts as the major reason for inter-state migration, which is the main source of income supporting livelihood in the region. This environmental displacement in the Sundarbans region symbolizes the failure of adaptation to mitigate climate change induced sea level rise increasing the exposure to coastal flooding and storm surges, salinization, and erosion.  This study discusses potential mitigation strategies to combat the impacts of climate change on livelihoods of the coastal communities in the region.</p>


2006 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 35-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susanne C. Moser ◽  
John Tribbia

Coastal California has witnessed persistent sea-level rise (10-20 cm) along its southern and central open ocean coastal sections and in San Francisco Bay over the past century. This paper aims to understand the perceptions of local coastal managers in California of current inundation-related risks, the added risks from climate change, and vulnerability to the growing coastal problems. We also explore the extent to which coastal managers are beginning to think about and tackle these increasing management challenges. Survey results presented here suggest that inundation already creates critical management challenges in California, but other, non-inundation-related coastal problems also vie for managers' attention. Despite high awareness of global warming and moderately good understanding of potential impacts of climate change on coastal areas, currently pressing issues and limited staff time and resources constrain their ability to begin dealing with the growing risks from sea-level rise. The sobering conclusion is that California is inadequately preparing for the impacts of climate change on coastal areas at this time. Local government will need substantial support from state and federal agencies if the level of preparedness for climate change and other inundation-related risks is to be elevated in the future.


Author(s):  
Alessandra Casu ◽  
Jlenia Zaccagna

Climate scenarios show that Mediterranean areas will be affected by torrential patterns of rain, that can cause difficulties in urban life in coastal areas, mainly due to the draining systems and to the sea-level. Lisbon is on the estuary of Tagus river, which would be probably affected by run-off and by the forecasted rising sea-level. Redesigning its relationship with water, trying to make this urban area more resilient, becomes crucial and asks to study run-off and sea-level rise for 2100 and for intermediate steps, to adapt the urban life and its spaces to the occurring scenarios.


2013 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 327-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juncheng Zuo ◽  
Yiqiu Yang ◽  
Jianli Zhang ◽  
Meixiang Chen ◽  
Qing Xu

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