scholarly journals A large-scale, high-resolution hydrological model parameter dataset for climate change impact assessment for the conterminous United States

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 9575-9613 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. A. Oubeidillah ◽  
S.-C. Kao ◽  
M. Ashfaq ◽  
B. Naz ◽  
G. Tootle
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Climate Change Impact ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Climate Change Impact Assessment ◽  
Macro Scale ◽  
Change Impact

Abstract. To extend geographical coverage, refine spatial resolution, and improve modeling efficiency, a computation- and data-intensive effort was conducted to organize a comprehensive hydrologic dataset with post-calibrated model parameters for hydro-climate impact assessment. Several key inputs for hydrologic simulation, including meteorologic forcings, soil, land class, vegetation, and elevation, were collected from multiple best-available data sources and organized for 2107 hydrologic Subbasins (HUC8s) in the conterminous US at refined 1/24° (~ 4 km) spatial resolution. Using high performance computing for intensive model calibration, a high-resolution parameter dataset was prepared for the macro-scale Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) hydrologic model. The VIC simulation was driven by DAYMET daily meteorological forcing and was calibrated against the USGS WaterWatch monthly runoff observations for each HUC8. The results showed that this new parameter dataset may help reasonably simulate runoff at most of the US HUC8 Subbasins. Based on this exhaustive calibration effort, it is now possible to accurately estimate the required resources for further model improvement across the entire conterminous US. We anticipate that through this hydrologic parameter dataset, the repeated effort of fundamental data processing can be lessened, so that research efforts can be emphasized on the more challenging climate change impact assessment.

scholarly journals A large-scale, high-resolution hydrological model parameter data set for climate change impact assessment for the conterminous US

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. A. Oubeidillah ◽  
S.-C. Kao ◽  
M. Ashfaq ◽  
B. S. Naz ◽  
G. Tootle
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
Hydrologic Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Model Parameter ◽  
Climate Impact Assessment

Abstract. To extend geographical coverage, refine spatial resolution, and improve modeling efficiency, a computation- and data-intensive effort was conducted to organize a comprehensive hydrologic data set with post-calibrated model parameters for hydro-climate impact assessment. Several key inputs for hydrologic simulation – including meteorologic forcings, soil, land class, vegetation, and elevation – were collected from multiple best-available data sources and organized for 2107 hydrologic subbasins (8-digit hydrologic units, HUC8s) in the conterminous US at refined 1/24° (~4 km) spatial resolution. Using high-performance computing for intensive model calibration, a high-resolution parameter data set was prepared for the macro-scale variable infiltration capacity (VIC) hydrologic model. The VIC simulation was driven by Daymet daily meteorological forcing and was calibrated against US Geological Survey (USGS) WaterWatch monthly runoff observations for each HUC8. The results showed that this new parameter data set may help reasonably simulate runoff at most US HUC8 subbasins. Based on this exhaustive calibration effort, it is now possible to accurately estimate the resources required for further model improvement across the entire conterminous US. We anticipate that through this hydrologic parameter data set, the repeated effort of fundamental data processing can be lessened, so that research efforts can emphasize the more challenging task of assessing climate change impacts. The pre-organized model parameter data set will be provided to interested parties to support further hydro-climate impact assessment.

scholarly journals Parameter Uncertainty of a Snowmelt Runoff Model and Its Impact on Future Projections of Snowmelt Runoff in a Data-Scarce Deglaciating River Basin

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 2417 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiheng Xiang ◽  
Lu Li ◽  
Jie Chen ◽  
Chong-Yu Xu ◽  
Jun Xia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Parameter Uncertainty ◽  
Climate Change Impact ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Snowmelt Runoff ◽  
Climate Change Impact Assessment ◽  
Sources Of Uncertainty ◽  
Change Impact ◽  
Runoff Model

The impacts of climate change on water resources in snow- and glacier-dominated basins are of great importance for water resource management. The Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) was developed to simulate and predict daily streamflow for high mountain basins where snowmelt runoff is a major contributor. However, there are many sources of uncertainty when using an SRM for hydrological simulations, such as low-quality input data, imperfect model structure and model parameters, and uncertainty from climate scenarios. Among these, the identification of model parameters is considered to be one of the major sources of uncertainty. This study evaluates the parameter uncertainty for SRM simulation based on different calibration strategies, as well as its impact on future hydrological projections in a data-scarce deglaciating river basin. The generalized likelihood uncertainty estimation (GLUE) method implemented by Monte Carlo sampling was used to estimate the model uncertainty arising from parameters calibrated by means of different strategies. Future snowmelt runoff projections under climate change impacts in the middle of the century and their uncertainty were assessed using average annual hydrographs, annual discharge and flow duration curves as the evaluation criteria. The results show that: (1) the strategy with a division of one or two sub-period(s) in a hydrological year is more appropriate for SRM calibration, and is also more rational for hydrological climate change impact assessment; (2) the multi-year calibration strategy is also more stable; and (3) the future runoff projection contains a large amount of uncertainty, among which parameter uncertainty plays a significant role. The projections also indicate that the onset of snowmelt runoff is likely to shift earlier in the year, and the discharge over the snowmelt season is projected to increase. Overall, this study emphasizes the importance of considering the parameter uncertainty of time-varying hydrological processes in hydrological modelling and climate change impact assessment.

Framework for high-resolution climate change impact assessment on grapevines at a regional scale

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 553-567 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Moriondo ◽  
Marco Bindi ◽  
Claudio Fagarazzi ◽  
Roberto Ferrise ◽  
Giacomo Trombi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Climate Change Impact ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Climate Change Impact Assessment ◽  
Change Impact

scholarly journals High-resolution meteorological forcing data for hydrological modelling and climate change impact analysis in the Mackenzie River Basin

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 629-645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zilefac Elvis Asong ◽  
Mohamed Ezzat Elshamy ◽  
Daniel Princz ◽  
Howard Simon Wheater ◽  
John Willard Pomeroy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Impact Assessment ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Climate Change Impact ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Historical Record ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Climate Change Impact Assessment ◽  
Change Impact

Abstract. Cold region hydrology is very sensitive to the impacts of climate warming. Impacts of warming over recent decades in western Canada include glacier retreat, permafrost thaw, and changing patterns of precipitation, with an increased proportion of winter precipitation falling as rainfall and shorter durations of snow cover, as well as consequent changes in flow regimes. Future warming is expected to continue along these lines. Physically realistic and sophisticated hydrological models driven by reliable climate forcing can provide the capability to assess hydrological responses to climate change. However, the provision of reliable forcing data remains problematic, particularly in data-sparse regions. Hydrological processes in cold regions involve complex phase changes and so are very sensitive to small biases in the driving meteorology, particularly in temperature and precipitation, including precipitation phase. Cold regions often have sparse surface observations, particularly at high elevations that generate a large amount of runoff. This paper aims to provide an improved set of forcing data for large-scale hydrological models for climate change impact assessment. The best available gridded data in Canada are from the high-resolution forecasts of the Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) atmospheric model and outputs of the Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA), but these datasets have a short historical record. The EU WATCH ERA-Interim reanalysis (WFDEI) has a longer historical record but has often been found to be biased relative to observations over Canada. The aim of this study, therefore, is to blend the strengths of both datasets (GEM-CaPA and WFDEI) to produce a less-biased long-record product (WFDEI-GEM-CaPA) for hydrological modelling and climate change impact assessment over the Mackenzie River Basin. First, a multivariate generalization of the quantile mapping technique was implemented to bias-correct WFDEI against GEM-CaPA at 3 h ×0.125∘ resolution during the 2005–2016 overlap period, followed by a hindcast of WFDEI-GEM-CaPA from 1979. The derived WFDEI-GEM-CaPA data are validated against station observations as a preliminary step to assess their added value. This product is then used to bias-correct climate projections from the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Canadian Regional Climate Model (CanRCM4) between 1950 and 2100 under RCP8.5, and an analysis of the datasets shows that the biases in the original WFDEI product have been removed and the climate change signals in CanRCM4 are preserved. The resulting bias-corrected datasets are a consistent set of historical and climate projection data suitable for large-scale modelling and future climate scenario analysis. The final historical product (WFDEI-GEM-CaPA, 1979–2016) is freely available at the Federated Research Data Repository at https://doi.org/10.20383/101.0111 (Asong et al., 2018), while the original and corrected CanRCM4 data are available at https://doi.org/10.20383/101.0162 (Asong et al., 2019).

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