scholarly journals Regional county-level housing inventory predictions and the effects on hurricane risk

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline J. Williams ◽  
Rachel A. Davidson ◽  
Linda K. Nozick ◽  
Joseph E. Trainor ◽  
Meghan Millea ◽  
...  

Abstract. Regional hurricane risk is often assessed assuming a static housing inventory, yet a region’s housing inventory changes continually. Failing to include changes in the built environment in hurricane risk modeling can substantially underestimate expected losses. This study uses publicly available data and a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model to forecast the annual number of housing units for each of 1,000 individual counties in the southeastern United States over the next 20 years. When evaluated using testing data, the estimated number of housing units was almost always (97.3 % of the time), no more than one percentage point different than the observed number, predictive errors that are acceptable for most practical purposes. Comparisons suggest the LSTM outperforms ARIMA and simpler linear trend models. The housing unit projections can help facilitate a quantification of changes in future expected losses and other impacts caused by hurricanes. For example, this study finds that if a hurricane with similar characteristics as Hurricane Harvey were to impact southeast Texas in 20 years, the residential property and flood losses would be nearly US$4 billion (38 %) greater due to the expected increase of 1.3 million new housing units (41 %) in the region.

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1822-1827 ◽  

This paper presents a computer vision based emotion recognition system for the identification of six basic emotions among Filipino Gamers using deep learning techniques. In particular, the proposed system utilized deep learning through the Inception Network and Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM). The researchers gathered a database for Filipino Facial Expressions consisting of 74 gamers for the training data and 4 gamer subjects for the testing data. The system was able to produce a maximum categorical validation accuracy of .9983 and a test accuracy of .9940 for the six basic emotions using the Filipino database. The cross-database analysis results using the well-known Cohn -Kanade+ database showed that the proposed Inception-LSTM system has accuracy on a par with the current existing systems. The results demonstrated the feasibility of the proposed system and showed sample computations of empathy and engagement based on the six basic emotions as a proof of concept


Author(s):  
Aini Suri Talita ◽  
Aristiawan Wiguna

Researches involving Artificial Neural Network (ANN) or its derivative have been published all around the world, spesifically to solve data mining problem, classification, clusterinf, or detection problems. Recurrent Neural Network is a class of ANN with Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) as its one of the architecture that commonly used in deep learning problems. On this paper, we use LSTM to detect hate speech on social media related with Indonesia President Election on 2019. There are several steps on this research, we start with literature study, data collection, data preprocessing, training step, and testing step.  The dataset consist of 950 sentences, while the testing data consist of 190 comments on Facebook. The best model performance was reached with recall value 0.7021, which menas that from the whole relevant instances on the testing data, 70.21% were categorized as relevant, on this case as hate speech (HS). The other performance parameter value as in accuracy and precision still quite low due to the testing data that comes directly from social media which highly possible consist of inconsistent choises of words, informal words, or contains grammatically error sentences.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niclas Ståhl ◽  
Göran Falkman ◽  
Alexander Karlsson ◽  
Gunnar Mathiason ◽  
Jonas Boström

<p>In medicinal chemistry programs it is key to design and make compounds that are efficacious and safe. This is a long, complex and difficult multi-parameter optimization process, often including several properties with orthogonal trends. New methods for the automated design of compounds against profiles of multiple properties are thus of great value. Here we present a fragment-based reinforcement learning approach based on an actor-critic model, for the generation of novel molecules with optimal properties. The actor and the critic are both modelled with bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The AI method learns how to generate new compounds with desired properties by starting from an initial set of lead molecules and then improve these by replacing some of their fragments. A balanced binary tree based on the similarity of fragments is used in the generative process to bias the output towards structurally similar molecules. The method is demonstrated by a case study showing that 93% of the generated molecules are chemically valid, and a third satisfy the targeted objectives, while there were none in the initial set.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdolreza Nazemi ◽  
Johannes Jakubik ◽  
Andreas Geyer-Schulz ◽  
Frank J. Fabozzi

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