scholarly journals Drought assessment using a multivariate drought index in the Huaihe River basin of Eastern China

Author(s):  
Q. Li ◽  
M. Zeng ◽  
H. Wang ◽  
P. Li ◽  
K. Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Huaihe River Basin having China's highest population density (662 persons per km2) lies in a transition zone between the climates of North and South China, and is thus prone to drought. Therefore, the paper aims to develop an appropriate drought assessment approach for drought assessment in the Huaihe River basin, China. Based on the Principal Component Analysis of precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture and runoff, the three latter variables of which were obtained by use of the Xin'anjiang model, a new multivariate drought index (MDI) was formulated, and its thresholds were determined by use of cumulative distribution function. The MDI, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (sc-PDSI) time series on a monthly scale were computed and compared during 1988, 1999/2000 and 2001 drought events. The results show that the MDI exhibited certain advantages over the sc-PDSI and the SPI in monitoring drought evolution. The MDI formulated by this paper could provide a scientific basis for drought mitigation and management, and references for drought assessment elsewhere in China.

2015 ◽  
Vol 380-381 ◽  
pp. 22-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Shaoming Pan ◽  
Liguo Cao ◽  
Xun Cai ◽  
Kexin Zhang ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meixiu Yu ◽  
Xiaolong Liu ◽  
Li Wei ◽  
Qiongfang Li ◽  
Jianyun Zhang ◽  
...  

Accurate and reliable drought monitoring is of primary importance for drought mitigation and reduction of social-ecological vulnerability. The aim of the paper was to propose a multiscale composited drought index (CDI) which could be widely used for drought monitoring and early warning in China. In the study, the upper Huaihe River basin above the Xixian gauge station, which has been hit by severe droughts frequently in recent decades, was selected as the case study site. The newly built short-term/long-term CDI comprehensively considered three natural forms of drought (meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural) by selection of different variables that are related to each drought type. The short-term/long-term CDI was developed using the Principle Component Analysis of related drought components. The thresholds of the short-term/long-term CDI were determined according to frequency statistics of different drought indices. Finally, the feasibility of the two CDI was investigated against the self-calibrating Palmer drought severity index, the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index, and the historical drought records. The results revealed that the short-term/long-term CDI could capture the onset, severity, and persistence of drought events very well with the former being better at identifying the dynamic evolution of drought condition and the latter better at judging the changing trend of drought over a long time period.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ilyas Abro ◽  
Dehua Zhu ◽  
Ehsan Elahi ◽  
Asghar Ali Majidano ◽  
Bhai Khan Solangi

2006 ◽  
Vol 330 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 249-259 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles A. Lin ◽  
Lei Wen ◽  
Guihua Lu ◽  
Zhiyong Wu ◽  
Jianyun Zhang ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chenkai Cai ◽  
Jianqun Wang ◽  
Zhijia Li

Recently, the use of the numerical rainfall forecast has become a common approach to improve the lead time of streamflow forecasts for flood control and reservoir regulation. The control forecasts of five operational global prediction systems from different centers were evaluated against the observed data by a series of area-weighted verification and classification metrics during May to September 2015–2017 in six subcatchments of the Xixian Catchment in the Huaihe River Basin. According to the demand of flood control safety, four different ensemble methods were adopted to reduce the forecast errors of the datasets, especially the errors of missing alarm (MA), which may be detrimental to reservoir regulation and flood control. The results indicate that the raw forecast datasets have large missing alarm errors (MEs) and cannot be directly applied to the extension of flood forecasting lead time. Although the ensemble methods can improve the performance of rainfall forecasts, the missing alarm error is still large, leading to a huge hazard in flood control. To improve the lead time of the flood forecast, as well as avert the risk from rainfall prediction, a new ensemble method was proposed on the basis of support vector regression (SVR). Compared to the other methods, the new method has a better ability in reducing the ME of the forecasts. More specifically, with the use of the new method, the lead time of flood forecasts can be prolonged to at least 3 d without great risk in flood control, which corresponds to the aim of flood prevention and disaster reduction.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Fan ◽  
Shengdi Zhang ◽  
Zongyi He ◽  
Biao He ◽  
Haicong Yu ◽  
...  

The spatial pattern and evolution of urban system have been hot research issues in the field of urban research. In this paper, the network analysis method based on the gravity model and the related measurements were used to reveal the properties of the spatial pattern and evolution of the urban system in the HRB (Huaihe River Basin) of China. The findings of this study are as follows: During the period from 2006 to 2014, the economic contact between the HRB cities has been strengthened, but the differences between cities have been expanding. In general, the HRB cities have not yet formed a close network structure, and a trend of economic integration has not been found. This paper expresses the spatial pattern and evolution of urban system in an intuitive way and helps to explain the evolution mechanism of urban system. The method was confirmed by empirical research. Because of the operational and visual expression, this method has broad application prospects in the urban system research.


2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 1123-1137
Author(s):  
SUN Peng ◽  
◽  
SUN Yuyan ◽  
ZHANG Qiang ◽  
YAO Rui ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document