scholarly journals Arctic Mission Benefit Analysis: Impact of Sea Ice Thickness, Freeboard, and Snow Depth Products on Sea Ice Forecast Performance

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Kaminski ◽  
Frank Kauker ◽  
Leif Toudal Pedersen ◽  
Michael Voßbeck ◽  
Helmuth Haak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Added Value ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Performance Gain ◽  
Benefit Analysis ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Forecast Performance

Abstract. Assimilation of remote sensing products of sea ice thickness (SIT) into sea ice-ocean models has been shown to improve the quality of sea ice forecasts. Open questions are whether the assimilation of rawer products such as radar freeboard (RFB) can achieve yet a better performance and what performance gain can be achieved by the joint assimilation with a snow depth product. The Arctic Mission Benefit Analysis (ArcMBA) system was developed to address this type of question. Using the quantitative network design (QND) approach, the system can evaluate, in a mathematically rigorous fashion, the observational constraints imposed by individual and groups of data products. We present assessments of the observation impact (added value) in terms of the uncertainty reduction in a four-week forecast of sea ice volume (SIV) and snow volume (SNV) for three regions along the Northern Sea Route by a coupled model of the sea ice-ocean system. The assessments cover seven satellite products, three real products and four hypothetical products. The real products are monthly SIT, sea ice freeboard (SIFB), and RFB, all derived from CryoSat-2 by the Alfred Wegener Institute. These are complemented by two hypothetical monthly laser freeboard (LFB) products (one with low accuracy and one with high accuracy), as well as two hypothetical monthly snow depth products (again one with low accuracy and one with high accuracy). On the basis of the per-pixel uncertainty ranges that are provided with the CryoSat-2 SIT, SIFB, and RFB products, the SIT achieves a much better performance for SIV than the SIFB product, while the performance of RFB is more similar to that of SIT. For SNV, the performance of SIT is only low, the performance of SIFB higher and the performance of RFB yet higher. A hypothetical LFB product with low accuracy (20 cm uncertainty) lies in performance between SIFB and RFB for both SIV and SNV. A reduction in the uncertainty of the LFB product to 2 cm yields a significant increase in performance. Combining either of the SIT/freeboard products with a hypothetical snow depth product achieves a significant performance increase. The uncertainty in the snow product matters: A higher accuracy product achieves an extra performance gain. The provision of spatial and temporal uncertainty correlations with the EO products would be beneficial not only for QND assessments, but also for assimilation of the products.

scholarly journals Arctic Mission Benefit Analysis: impact of sea ice thickness, freeboard, and snow depth products on sea ice forecast performance

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2569-2594 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Kaminski ◽  
Frank Kauker ◽  
Leif Toudal Pedersen ◽  
Michael Voßbeck ◽  
Helmuth Haak ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Added Value ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Benefit Analysis ◽  
Max Planck ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Forecast Performance ◽  
Data Products

Abstract. Assimilation of remote-sensing products of sea ice thickness (SIT) into sea ice–ocean models has been shown to improve the quality of sea ice forecasts. Key open questions are whether assimilation of lower-level data products such as radar freeboard (RFB) can further improve model performance and what performance gains can be achieved through joint assimilation of these data products in combination with a snow depth product. The Arctic Mission Benefit Analysis system was developed to address this type of question. Using the quantitative network design (QND) approach, the system can evaluate, in a mathematically rigorous fashion, the observational constraints imposed by individual and groups of data products. We demonstrate the approach by presenting assessments of the observation impact (added value) of different Earth observation (EO) products in terms of the uncertainty reduction in a 4-week forecast of sea ice volume (SIV) and snow volume (SNV) for three regions along the Northern Sea Route in May 2015 using a coupled model of the sea ice–ocean system, specifically the Max Planck Institute Ocean Model. We assess seven satellite products: three real products and four hypothetical products. The real products are monthly SIT, sea ice freeboard (SIFB), and RFB, all derived from CryoSat-2 by the Alfred Wegener Institute. These are complemented by two hypothetical monthly laser freeboard (LFB) products with low and high accuracy, as well as two hypothetical monthly snow depth products with low and high accuracy.On the basis of the per-pixel uncertainty ranges provided with the CryoSat-2 SIT, SIFB, and RFB products, the SIT and RFB achieve a much better performance for SIV than the SIFB product. For SNV, the performance of SIT is only low, the performance of SIFB is higher and the performance of RFB is yet higher. A hypothetical LFB product with low accuracy (20 cm uncertainty) falls between SIFB and RFB in performance for both SIV and SNV. A reduction in the uncertainty of the LFB product to 2 cm yields a significant increase in performance.Combining either of the SIT or freeboard products with a hypothetical snow depth product achieves a significant performance increase. The uncertainty in the snow product matters: a higher-accuracy product achieves an extra performance gain. Providing spatial and temporal uncertainty correlations with the EO products would be beneficial not only for QND assessments, but also for assimilation of the products.

The implications of selected processing methods on satellite altimetry derived sea ice thickness state and trends in the seasonal ice zone

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isolde Glissenaar ◽  
Jack Landy ◽  
Alek Petty ◽  
Nathan Kurtz ◽  
Julienne Stroeve
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Satellite Altimetry ◽  
Region Of Interest ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Baffin Bay ◽  
The Impact

<p>The ice cover of the Arctic Ocean is increasingly becoming dominated by seasonal sea ice. It is important to focus on the processing of altimetry ice thickness data in thinner seasonal ice regions to understand seasonal sea ice behaviour better. This study focusses on Baffin Bay as a region of interest to study seasonal ice behaviour.</p><p>We aim to reconcile the spring sea ice thickness derived from multiple satellite altimetry sensors and sea ice charts in Baffin Bay and produce a robust long-term record (2003-2020) for analysing trends in sea ice thickness. We investigate the impact of choosing different snow depth products (the Warren climatology, a passive microwave snow depth product and modelled snow depth from reanalysis data) and snow redistribution methods (a sigmoidal function and an empirical piecewise function) to retrieve sea ice thickness from satellite altimetry sea ice freeboard data.</p><p>The choice of snow depth product and redistribution method results in an uncertainty envelope around the March mean sea ice thickness in Baffin Bay of 10%. Moreover, the sea ice thickness trend ranges from -15 cm/dec to 20 cm/dec depending on the applied snow depth product and redistribution method. Previous studies have shown a possible long-term asymmetrical trend in sea ice thinning in Baffin Bay. The present study shows that whether a significant long-term asymmetrical trend was found depends on the choice of snow depth product and redistribution method. The satellite altimetry sea ice thickness results with different snow depth products and snow redistribution methods show that different processing techniques can lead to different results and can influence conclusions on total and spatial sea ice thickness trends. Further processing work on the historic radar altimetry record is needed to create reliable sea ice thickness products in the marginal ice zone.</p>

Winter Arctic sea ice freeboard, snow depth and thickness variability from ICESat-2 and NESOSIM

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alek Petty ◽  
Nicole Keeney ◽  
Alex Cabaj ◽  
Paul Kushner ◽  
Nathan Kurtz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Cloud ◽  
Ice Drift ◽  
Thickness Variability ◽  
Arctic Ice

<div> <div> <div> <div> <p>National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA's) Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite‐ 2 (ICESat‐2) mission was launched in September 2018 and is now providing routine, very high‐resolution estimates of surface height/type (the ATL07 product) and freeboard (the ATL10 product) across the Arctic and Southern Oceans. In recent work we used snow depth and density estimates from the NASA Eulerian Snow on Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM) together with ATL10 freeboard data to estimate sea ice thickness across the entire Arctic Ocean. Here we provide an overview of updates made to both the underlying ATL10 freeboard product and the NESOSIM model, and the subsequent impacts on our estimates of sea ice thickness including updated comparisons to the original ICESat mission and ESA’s CryoSat-2. Finally we compare our Arctic ice thickness estimates from the 2018-2019 and 2019-2020 winters and discuss possible causes of these differences based on an analysis of atmospheric data (ERA5), ice drift (NSIDC) and ice type (OSI SAF).</p> </div> </div> </div> </div>

Sea Ice Thickness Forecast Performance in the Barents Sea

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Hume-Wright ◽  
Emma Fiedler ◽  
Nicolas Fournier ◽  
Joana Mendes ◽  
Ed Blockley ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Forecast Model ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Forecast Performance ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
The Barents Sea ◽  
Ice Conditions

Abstract The presence of sea ice has a major impact on the safety, operability and efficiency of Arctic operations and navigation. While satellite-based sea ice charting is routinely used for tactical ice management, the marine sector does not yet make use of existing operational sea ice thickness forecasting. However, data products are now freely available from the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS). Arctic asset managers and vessels’ crews are generally not aware of such products, or these have so far suffered from insufficient accuracy, verification, resolution and adequate format, in order to be well integrated within their existing decision-making processes and systems. The objective of the EU H2020 project “Safe maritime operations under extreme conditions: The Arctic case” (SEDNA) is to improve the safety and efficiency of Arctic navigation. This paper presents a component focusing on the validation of an adaption of the 7-day sea ice thickness forecast from the UK Met Office Forecast Ocean Assimilation Model (FOAM). The experimental forecast model assimilates the CryoSat-2 satellite’s ice freeboard daily data. Forecast skill is evaluated against unique in-situ data from five moorings deployed between 2015 and 2018 by the Barents Sea Metocean and Ice Network (BASMIN) Joint Industry Project. The study shows that the existing FOAM forecasts produce adequate results in the Barents Sea. However, while studies have shown the assimilation of CryoSat-2 data is effective for thick sea ice conditions, this did not improve forecasts for the thinner sea ice conditions of the Barents Sea.

Sea Ice Enhancements to Polar WRF*

2015 ◽  
Vol 143 (6) ◽  
pp. 2363-2385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith M. Hines ◽  
David H. Bromwich ◽  
Lesheng Bai ◽  
Cecilia M. Bitz ◽  
Jordan G. Powers ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
The Arctic Ocean

Abstract The Polar Weather Research and Forecasting Model (Polar WRF), a polar-optimized version of the WRF Model, is developed and made available to the community by Ohio State University’s Polar Meteorology Group (PMG) as a code supplement to the WRF release from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). While annual NCAR official releases contain polar modifications, the PMG provides very recent updates to users. PMG supplement versions up to WRF version 3.4 include modified Noah land surface model sea ice representation, allowing the specification of variable sea ice thickness and snow depth over sea ice rather than the default 3-m thickness and 0.05-m snow depth. Starting with WRF V3.5, these options are implemented by NCAR into the standard WRF release. Gridded distributions of Arctic ice thickness and snow depth over sea ice have recently become available. Their impacts are tested with PMG’s WRF V3.5-based Polar WRF in two case studies. First, 20-km-resolution model results for January 1998 are compared with observations during the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean project. Polar WRF using analyzed thickness and snow depth fields appears to simulate January 1998 slightly better than WRF without polar settings selected. Sensitivity tests show that the simulated impacts of realistic variability in sea ice thickness and snow depth on near-surface temperature is several degrees. The 40-km resolution simulations of a second case study covering Europe and the Arctic Ocean demonstrate remote impacts of Arctic sea ice thickness on midlatitude synoptic meteorology that develop within 2 weeks during a winter 2012 blocking event.

scholarly journals Assimilation of sea ice thickness derived from CryoSat-2 along-track freeboard measurements into the Met Office’s Forecast Ocean Assimilation Model (FOAM)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma Kathleen Fiedler ◽  
Matthew Martin ◽  
Ed Blockley ◽  
Davi Mignac ◽  
Nicolas Fournier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Sampling Error ◽  
Mean Difference ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Along Track ◽  
Assimilation Model

Abstract. The feasibility of assimilating SIT (sea ice thickness) observations derived from CryoSat-2 along-track measurements of sea ice freeboard is successfully demonstrated using a 3D-Var assimilation scheme, NEMOVAR, within the Met Office’s global, coupled ocean-sea ice model, FOAM (Forecast Ocean Assimilation Model). The Arctic freeboard measurements are produced by CPOM (Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling) and are converted to SIT within FOAM using modelled snow depth. This is the first time along-track observations of SIT have been used in this way, with other centres assimilating gridded and temporally-averaged observations. The assimilation greatly improves the SIT analysis and forecast fields generated by FOAM, particularly in the Canadian Arctic. Arctic-wide observation-minus-background assimilation statistics show improvements of 0.75 m mean difference and 0.41 m RMSD (root-mean-square difference) in the freeze-up period, and 0.46 m mean difference and 0.33 m RMSD in the ice break-up period, for 2015–2017. Validation of the SIT analysis against independent springtime in situ SIT observations from NASA Operation IceBridge shows improvement in the SIT analysis of 0.61 m mean difference (0.42 m RMSD) compared to a control without SIT assimilation. Similar improvements are seen in the FOAM 5-day SIT forecast. Validation of the SIT assimilation with independent BGEP (Beaufort Gyre Exploration Project) sea ice draft observations does not show an improvement, since the assimilated CryoSat-2 observations compare similarly to the model without assimilation in this region. Comparison with Air-EM (airborne electromagnetic induction) combined measurements of SIT and snow depth shows poorer results for the assimilation compared to the control, which may be evidence of noise in the SIT analysis, sampling error, or uncertainties in the modelled snow depth, the assimilated observations, or the validation observations themselves. The SIT analysis could be improved by upgrading the observation uncertainties used in the assimilation. Despite the lack of CryoSat-2 SIT observations over the summer due to the effect of meltponds on retrievals, it is shown that the model is able to retain improvements to the SIT field throughout the summer months, due to previous SIT assimilation. This also leads to regional improvements in the July SIC (sea ice concentration) of 5 % RMSD in the European sector, due to slower melt of the thicker modelled sea ice.

Optimizing Observations of Sea Ice Thickness and Snow Depth in the Arctic

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge ◽  
Sinead L. Farrell
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness

Using CloudSat snowfall rate observations to constrain and characterize the uncertainties of Arctic snow-on-sea-ice

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Cabaj ◽  
Paul Kushner ◽  
Alek Petty ◽  
Stephen Howell ◽  
Christopher Fletcher
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
Ice Model

<p><span>Snow on Arctic sea ice plays multiple—and sometimes contrasting—roles in several feedbacks between sea ice and the global climate </span><span>system.</span><span> For example, the presence of snow on sea ice may mitigate sea ice melt by</span><span> increasing the sea ice albedo </span><span>and enhancing the ice-albedo feedback. Conversely, snow can</span><span> in</span><span>hibit sea ice growth by insulating the ice from the atmosphere during the </span><span>sea ice </span><span>growth season. </span><span>In addition to its contribution to sea ice feedbacks, snow on sea ice also poses a challenge for sea ice observations. </span><span>In particular, </span><span>snow </span><span>contributes to uncertaint</span><span>ies</span><span> in retrievals of sea ice thickness from satellite altimetry </span><span>measurements, </span><span>such as those from ICESat-2</span><span>. </span><span>Snow-on-sea-ice models can</span><span> produce basin-wide snow depth estimates, but these models require snowfall input from reanalysis products. In-situ snowfall measurements are a</span><span>bsent</span><span> over most of the Arctic Ocean, so it can be difficult to determine which reanalysis </span><span>snowfall</span><span> product is b</span><span>est</span><span> suited to be used as</span><span> input for a snow-on-sea-ice model.</span></p><p><span>In the absence of in-situ snowfall rate measurements, </span><span>measurements from </span><span>satellite instruments can be used to quantify snowfall over the Arctic Ocean</span><span>. </span><span>The CloudSat satellite, which is equipped with a 94 GHz Cloud Profiling Radar instrument, measures vertical radar reflectivity profiles from which snowfall rate</span><span>s</span><span> can be retrieved. </span> <span>T</span><span>his instrument</span><span> provides the most extensive high-latitude snowfall rate observation dataset currently available. </span><span>CloudSat’s near-polar orbit enables it to make measurements at latitudes up to 82°N, with a 16-day repeat cycle, </span><span>over the time period from 2006-2016.</span></p><p><span>We present a calibration of reanalysis snowfall to CloudSat observations over the Arctic Ocean, which we then apply to reanalysis snowfall input for the NASA Eulerian Snow On Sea Ice Model (NESOSIM). This calibration reduces the spread in snow depths produced by NESOSIM w</span><span>hen</span><span> different reanalysis inputs </span><span>are used</span><span>. </span><span>In light of this calibration, we revise the NESOSIM parametrizations of wind-driven snow processes, and we characterize the uncertainties in NESOSIM-generated snow depths resulting from uncertainties in snowfall input. </span><span>We then extend this analysis further to estimate the resulting uncertainties in sea ice thickness retrieved from ICESat-2 when snow depth estimates from NESOSIM are used as input for the retrieval.</span></p>

scholarly journals On retrieving sea ice freeboard from ICESat laser altimeter

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 2329-2346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirill Khvorostovsky ◽  
Pierre Rampal
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Laser Altimeter ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Along Track ◽  
Multiyear Ice

Abstract. Sea ice freeboard derived from satellite altimetry is the basis for the estimation of sea ice thickness using the assumption of hydrostatic equilibrium. High accuracy of altimeter measurements and freeboard retrieval procedure are, therefore, required. As of today, two approaches for estimating the freeboard using laser altimeter measurements from Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat), referred to as tie points (TP) and lowest-level elevation (LLE) methods, have been developed and applied in different studies. We reproduced these methods for the ICESat observation periods (2003–2008) in order to assess and analyse the sources of differences found in the retrieved freeboard and corresponding thickness estimates of the Arctic sea ice as produced by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) and Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC). Three main factors are found to affect the freeboard differences when applying these methods: (a) the approach used for calculation of the local sea surface references in leads (TP or LLE methods), (b) the along-track averaging scales used for this calculation, and (c) the corrections for lead width relative to the ICESat footprint and for snow depth accumulated in refrozen leads. The LLE method with 100 km averaging scale, as used to produce the GSFC data set, and the LLE method with a shorter averaging scale of 25 km both give larger freeboard estimates comparing to those derived by applying the TP method with 25 km averaging scale as used for the JPL product. Two factors, (a) and (b), contribute to the freeboard differences in approximately equal proportions, and their combined effect is, on average, about 6–7 cm. The effect of using different methods varies spatially: the LLE method tends to give lower freeboards (by up to 15 cm) over the thick multiyear ice and higher freeboards (by up to 10 cm) over first-year ice and the thin part of multiyear ice; the higher freeboards dominate. We show that the freeboard underestimation over most of these thinner parts of sea ice can be reduced to less than 2 cm when using the improved TP method proposed in this paper. The corrections for snow depth in leads and lead width, (c), are applied only for the JPL product and increase the freeboard estimates by about 7 cm on average. Thus, different approaches to calculating sea surface references and different along-track averaging scales from one side and the freeboard corrections as applied when producing the JPL data set from the other side roughly compensate each other with respect to freeboard estimation. Therefore, one may conclude that the difference in the mean sea ice thickness between the JPL and GSFC data sets reported in previous studies should be attributed mostly to different parameters used in the freeboard-to-thickness conversion.

scholarly journals Simultaneous estimation of wintertime sea ice thickness and snow depth from space-borne freeboard measurements

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hoyeon Shi ◽  
Byung-Ju Sohn ◽  
Gorm Dybkjær ◽  
Rasmus Tage Tonboe ◽  
Sang-Moo Lee
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Interface Temperature ◽  
Depth Information ◽  
Simultaneous Estimation ◽  
Snow Layer ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Comparison Results

Abstract. A method of simultaneously estimating snow depth and sea ice thickness using satellite-based freeboard measurements over the Arctic Ocean during winter was proposed. The ratio of snow depth to ice thickness (referred to as α) was defined and used in constraining the conversion from the freeboard to ice thickness in satellite altimetry. Then, α was empirically determined using the ratio of temperature difference of the snow layer to the difference of the ice layer, to allow the determination of α from satellite-derived snow surface temperature and snow–ice interface temperature. The proposed method was validated against NASA's Operation IceBridge measurements, and comparison results indicated that the algorithm adequately retrieves snow depth and ice thickness simultaneously: retrieved ice thickness was found to be better than the current satellite retrieval methods relying on the use of snow depth climatology as input, in terms of mean bias and RMSE. The application of the proposed method to CryoSat-2 ice freeboard measurements yields similar results. In conclusion, the developed α-based method has the capacity to derive ice thickness and snow depth, without relying on the snow depth information as input to the buoyancy equation for converting freeboard to ice thickness.

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