Statistical Modeling and Forecasting of Food Grain in Effects on Public Distribution System: An application of ARIMA Model

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 739
Author(s):  
Soumik Ray ◽  
Banjul Bhattacharyya ◽  
Subhadip Pal
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Modeling ◽  
Distribution System ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
Food Grain

scholarly journals Universal Public Distribution System: Food Mountains and Pandemic Hunger in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Swati Narayan
Keyword(s):  
Distribution System ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Family Health ◽  
Economic Recession ◽  
Additional Food ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
Acute Distress ◽  
Universal Expansion ◽  
Acute Increase ◽  
Food Grain

The latest National Family Health Survey (NFHS 5), indicates that even before the pandemic, child stunting in India was severe and has been deteriorating since 2015. But after the stringent lockdown, there has been an acute increase in impoverishment as governmental food policies have further exacerbated rather than mitigated inequalities. Families eligible under the National Food Security Act (NFSA, 2013) have been provided with double food grain rations during two waves of the pandemic. But nearly 45 percent of India’s population without these ration cards have been excluded from any additional food relief from the central government. Simultaneously, India’s food grain stocks in government granaries have accumulated manifold with two years of bumper harvests. Therefore, in light of the acute distress faced by marginalised communities due to the pandemic and unprecedented economic recession, this paper analyses the availability of adequate foodgrain stocks and contends that the time is ripe for the universal expansion of the public distribution system.

Structural mapping of public distribution system using multi-agent systems

2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 1066-1090 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sudhir Ambekar ◽  
Rohit Kapoor ◽  
Peeyush Mehta
Keyword(s):  
Supply Chain ◽  
Distribution System ◽  
Complex Structure ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Multi Agent Systems ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Food Supply Chains ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
Multi Agent ◽  
Food Grain

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to develop a framework for mapping the Indian Public Distribution System (PDS) using multi-agent system (MAS). The entire PDS supply chain from purchase to the distribution is mapped in detail by integrating stages of PDS supply chain. Design/methodology/approach – Literature related to PDS, food grain supply chain (FGSC) and MAS is reviewed and critically assessed. Based on this a framework is proposed which will help in improving functioning of PDS. Findings – The PDS has many shortcomings arising from its complex structure and practices which are used to implement it. The authors propose an MAS to model it in which each entity will be modelled as an agent. The authors propose two stages of supply chain. First stage models the processes from procurement to storage of food grain and second stage model the distribution process. Practical implications – This paper will be of interest to the policy makers and decision makers involved in the PDS by providing the shortfalls in the system and also suggesting a method to model the PDS based on practices of food supply chains. Originality/value – This paper provides the decision makers in the PDS, a framework to model and assess the entire supply chain. This will help them in effective implementation of the PDS and also improve in the areas of concerns which are pointed the study.

scholarly journals Malnutrition and poverty in India: does the use of public distribution system matter?

BMC Nutrition ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Basant Kumar Panda ◽  
Sanjay K. Mohanty ◽  
Itishree Nayak ◽  
Vishal Dev Shastri ◽  
S. V. Subramanian
Keyword(s):  
Distribution System ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
Food Grains ◽  
Poor Households ◽  
Quality Of Food ◽  
Food Grain ◽  
Demographic Covariates

Abstract Background Large scale public investment in Public Distribution System (PDS) have aimed to reduce poverty and malnutrition in India. The PDS is the largest ever welfare programme which provides subsidised food grain to the poor households. This study attempt to examine the extent of stunting and underweight among the children from poor and non-poor households by use of public distribution system (PDS) in India. Methods Data from the National Family and Health Survey-4 (NFHS-4), was used for the analysis. A composite variable based on asset deprivation and possession of welfare card provided under PDS (BPL card), was computed for all households and categorised into four mutually exclusive groups, namely real poor, excluded poor, privileged non-poor and non-poor. Real poor are those economically poor and have a welfare card, excluded poor are those economically poor and do not have welfare card, privileged poor are those economically non-poor but have welfare card, and non-poor are those who are not economically poor and do not have welfare card. Estimates of stunting and underweight were provided by these four categories. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression were used for the analysis. Results About half of the children from each real poor and excluded poor, two-fifths among privileged non-poor and less than one-third among non-poor households were stunted in India. Controlling for socio-economic and demographic covariates, the adjusted odds ratio of being stunted among real poor was 1.42 [95% CI: 1.38, 1.46], 1.43 [95% CI: 1.39, 1.47], among excluded poor and 1.15 [95% CI: 1.12, 1.18], among privileged non-poor. The pattern was similar for underweight and held true in most of the states of India. Conclusions Undernutrition among children from poor households those excluded from PDS is highest, and it warrants inclusion in PDS. Improving the quality of food grains and widening food basket in PDS is recommended for reduction in level of malnutrition in India.

scholarly journals Time for Universal Public Distribution System: Food Mountains and Pandemic Hunger in India

2021 ◽  
pp. 097370302110490
Author(s):  
Swati Narayan
Keyword(s):  
Distribution System ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Family Health ◽  
Additional Food ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
Adequate Food ◽  
Acute Distress ◽  
Universal Expansion ◽  
Acute Increase ◽  
Food Grain

The latest National Family Health Survey (NFHS 5) indicates that child stunting in India was severe and has been deteriorating since 2015. This trend could have worsened since the pandemic and the stringent lockdowns meant to contain it. There has been an acute increase in impoverishment as governmental food policies have further exacerbated rather than mitigated inequalities. Families eligible under the National Food Security Act (NFSA), 2013, have been provided with double food grain rations during two waves of the pandemic. However, nearly 45% of India’s population without these ration cards have been largely excluded from additional food relief from the central government. Simultaneously, India’s food grain stocks in government granaries have accumulated to their all-time peak with 2 years of bumper harvests. Therefore, in light of the acute distress faced by marginalised communities due to the pandemic, this article analyses the availability of adequate food grain stocks and contends that the time is opportune for the universal expansion of the public distribution system.

scholarly journals THE SAGA OF FOOD SECURITY IN WEST BENGAL

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 189-202
Author(s):  
Ranjan Basu
Keyword(s):  
Food Security ◽  
Distribution System ◽  
West Bengal ◽  
Poverty Line ◽  
Welfare Programs ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
The People ◽  
Bank Transfer ◽  
Support Price ◽  
Food Grain

Undivided Bengal in India was struck by series of famines during the pre-colonial and colonial periods. In post partition era though there is no record of famine, starvation and malnutrition are not unknown in West Bengal among the people lying below the poverty line. Lacunae in the public distribution system might be one major hurdle. Implementation of several welfare programs and National Food Security Act, 2013 seems to be conducive to control the menace of starvation. But the concept of food security has been deduced to food grain security only without any provision of protein, minerals and vitamins, the essential ingredients of nutrition. Nutrition of mothers, children and senior citizens along with male bias of nutrition—all are in question now. Throughout India while farmers are living in debt from hand to mouth, agriculture is no more a lucrative occupation. Several measures have been introduced to combat such a disastrous situation viz. efficient storage and marketing system, loan waiver, bank transfer of grant-in-aid, minimum support price and efficient public distribution system, apart from targeted nutrition schemes. But no one can be considered as effective action so far to break the ice.

Public Distribution System in India: The Problems and Dimensions

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aditi Dubey ◽  
Aditi Garg ◽  
Asif Nasim ◽  
Madhvendra Misra ◽  
Vijayshri Tiwari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Distribution System ◽  
Public Distribution System

Economic impact of initial period of lockdown in Kolkata and suburbs

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Bandana Sen ◽  
Aloke Kar
Keyword(s):  
Distribution System ◽  
Small Businesses ◽  
Initial Period ◽  
Decisive Role ◽  
Income Group ◽  
Free Food ◽  
The Public ◽  
Public Distribution System ◽  
Food Grains ◽  
On Line

The present study provides a snapshot of the level of degradation of economic and living conditions of middle-class households of Kolkata and its neighbourhood during ‘lockdown’. It is based on an on-line survey of households of students of five purposively-selected colleges carried out during the second half of May 2020. The survey reveals that inflow of regular normal income had ceased altogether for over 40% of the sample households. About 15% of the households suffered from outright job loss or complete denial or withholding of wages and salaries payments of their members in paid employment and another about 27% reported complete closure of small businesses run by them. The normal-times income had altogether ceased for over a half of the households of the lowest income group. Predictably, the worst hit group was the wage labourers. Over four-fifths households with their prime earning member in wage employment reported job and earnings related problems, with over a fourth reporting job losses. Households with self-employed prime earners too were severely affected, with about three-fourths of them reporting such problems. Even the households with regular-salaried prime earners were badly hit. About a half of them reported job and earnings related problems. The results suggest that food grains distribution through the Public Distribution System (PDS) played a decisive role in averting an imminent famine-like situation. About 60% of the sample households were found to have procured food stuff from the PDS. Among the wage-labourers’ households, well over 80% reported dependence on the PDS, with ostensibly a large proportion of them receiving food altogether free. Despite free food grains distribution, about 5% of the sample households could not arrange three meals a day for all its members.

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