scholarly journals Predictors for a Cure Rate of Severe Acute Malnutrition 6-59 Month Children in Stabilizing Center at Pawe General Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia: Retrospective Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-43
Author(s):  
Fassikaw Kebede ◽  
◽  
Nemera Eticha ◽  
Belete Negese ◽  
Mastewal Giza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
General Hospital ◽  
Retrospective Cohort Study ◽  
Retrospective Cohort ◽  
Severe Acute Malnutrition ◽  
Northwest Ethiopia ◽  
Acute Malnutrition ◽  
Cure Rate ◽  
Under Five ◽  
Under Five Children

Malnutrition (over and undernutrition) is a major public health problem across the globe, especially undernutrition is responsible for one-third of the death of children in underprivileged populations. Each year more than 25 to 35 million under-five children have suffered from Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM). The sub-Saharan African countries account for the lion's share of this case fatality rate. The case in Ethiopia is not different from other countries. This study's main aim is to assess predictors for the cure rate of Severe Acute Malnutrition in 6-59 month Children in stabilizing center at Pawe General Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia. A retrospective cohort study. Methods: Hospital-based retrospective cohort study was employed among 454 admitted under-five SAM children from Januarys1st 2015-to December 30, 2019. Data were cleaned, coded, and entered into Epi-Data 3.1; then exported to STATA/SE- 14/R for analysis. Survival analysis was used to check each variable's proportional hazard assumption and no variable Schoenfield test <0.05. Variable with AHR at 95 % CI at P-value less than 0.05 considered as significant. Final model adequacy was checked by Nelson Alana and Cox Snell residual plot test. Result: Totally 454 (90.4%) individual data were included for final analysis; Sixty-five percent of 65.4% (95%CI: 50.1- 69.2) admitted children declared as cured, 16.52 % of them defaulted and 11.5% of children reported as dead. The median age and median cure time of SAM children were found at 2.2 years and 13 days (±7), respectively. Children diagnosed marasmus (AHR=1.56: 95% CI 1.08--2.2, p<0.018), with No nasal-gastric intubation (NGT) during admission (AHR= 1.31: 95%CI (1.04 --1.67, P<0.029) and taking F-100 milk (AHR=5.42 95% CI (2.92--9.85, p<0.001) were associated with treatment cure rate. The conclusions: The overall treatment cure rate of this study was remaining low at 65.4% compared to the sphere standard sets reference (i.e., >75-77.9 %). Concerning associated factors addressing F-100 milk, making SAM under-five children with no NGT and increased treatment cure rate was independently associated with treatment cure rate.

scholarly journals SURVIVAL ANALYSIS OF UNDER-FIVE CHILDREN WITH SEVERE ACUTE MALNUTRITION IN WOLDIA HOSPITAL: RETROSPECTIVE COHORT STUDY

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Aragaw Asfaw
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Survival Analysis ◽  
Survival Time ◽  
Retrospective Cohort Study ◽  
Retrospective Cohort ◽  
Severe Acute Malnutrition ◽  
Acute Malnutrition ◽  
Time To Death ◽  
Under Five ◽  
Under Five Children

Abstract Background: Globally, 52 million children of age under five years were affected by acute malnutrition from which 17 million were severely wasted. In Ethiopia every month over 25,000 children with severe acute malnutrition are admitted to hospitals, if not identified early and treated properly, these children could die. Therefore this study aimed to assess the determinants of time to death of under-five children with SAM admitted to inpatient therapeutic feeding center in Woldia General Hospital.   Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The study population were children with severe acute malnutrition aged from 0 to 59 months who have been admitted to woldia general hospital from September 2017 to August 2019.The sample was 150 that fulfils the inclusion criteria were included. Non parametric survival analysis was used to estimate survival time to death and Cox PH model was carried out to determine independent predictors.   Results: The accounted proportion of death of under-five children in the study period was 10%. And the estimated mean survival time of the patient was 4.48 weeks. Both estimates was almost on the recommended Sphere standard which should < 10% and <4 weeks respectively. In the estimated model HR for age groups (24-35 months) is 0.000 with 95% CI [0.000-4.591], wasting  is 0.010 with 95% CI [0.000-0.065], referred from is 0.000 with 95% CI [0.000-0.061], cough 133.04 with 95% CI [3.596-4922.83], HIV is 1209.61 with 95% CI [1.137-1286998.42], Iv antibiotic treatment is 0.000 with 95% CI [0.000-0.037] and amoxicillin is 0.001 with 95% CI [0.000-0.736] were significant predictors for time to death of under-five children with SAM.   Conclusions: From the fitted model, age of the children, admission criteria, children referred from,cough, HIV, IV antibiotic treatment and Amoxicillin are the covariates that have significant effect on time to death of under five children by SAM at 5% level of significance. Early identifying cases and giving special attention for children with co morbidities such as HIV and cough is vital for decrease child mortality Ethiopia.    Keywords: Severe acute malnutrition, inpatient, semi parametric, non parametric, death

scholarly journals Time to develop severe acute malnutrition and its predictors among children living with HIV in the era of test and treat strategies at South Gondar hospitals, northwest, Ethiopia, 2021: a multicentre retrospective cohort study

2022 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ermias Sisay Chanie ◽  
Getasew Legas ◽  
Shimeles Biru Zewude ◽  
Maru Mekie ◽  
Dagne Addisu Sewyew ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Treatment Failure ◽  
Retrospective Cohort Study ◽  
Retrospective Cohort ◽  
Severe Acute Malnutrition ◽  
Acute Malnutrition ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard ◽  
Living With Hiv ◽  
South Gondar

Abstract Background Although severe acute malnutrition is a major public issue among HIV infected children, there is no prior evidence in Ethiopia. Hence, this study aims to assess the time to develop severe acute malnutrition and its predictors among children living with human immunodeficiency virus in Ethiopia, 2012. Methods An institution based retrospective cohort study was conducted in South Gondar hospitals among 363 HIV infected children from February 10, 2014, to January 7, 2021. Epi-data version 3.1 was used to enter data, which was then exported to STATA version 14 for analysis. Besides, WHO (World Health Organization) Anthro Plus software was used to assess the nutritional status of the children. A standardized data extraction tool was used to collect the data. The Kaplan Meier survival curve was used to estimate the median survival time. The Cox-proportional hazard model assumption was checked via the Schoenfeld residual ph test and a stph plot. Bivariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were employed at 95% confidence intervals (CI). A variable having a p-value < 0.05 was considered a statistically significant predictor of severe acute malnutrition. Results A total of 363 children living with HIV, 97 (26.72%) developed severe acute malnutrition during the follow-up period. The overall incidence rate was 5.4 (95% CI: 4.7–5.9) person per year with a total of 21, 492 months or 1791 years of observation. Moreover, the median survival time was 126 months. Treatment failure [AHR =3.4 (95% CI: 2.05–5.75)], CD4 count below threshold [AHR =2.5 (95% CI: 1.64–3.95)], and WHO stage III & IV [AHR =2.9 (95% CI: 1.74–4.73)] were all significant predictors of severe acute malnutrition. Conclusion The time to develop severe acute malnutrition was found to be very low. Treatment failure, CD4 count below threshold, and WHO stage III were all significant predictors of severe acute malnutrition. Hence, emphasizing those predictor variables is essential for preventing and controlling the occurrence of severe acute malnutrition among HIV infected children.

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