Assessing Public Debt and Economic Growth Nexus in Cote D’ivoire Using the Threshold Autoregressive Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 121-138
Author(s):  
Koffi Pokou
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Koffi Pokou

The development of Ivorian public debt in recent years has raised concerns. Is its current level capable of boosting the economy or, on the contrary, being at the source of a recession? This paper analyzes the effect of the level of indebtedness on economic growth in Côte d’Ivoire using the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model over the period 1970-2018. The results obtained in the short run shed light on the no relationship between public debt and economic growth. In the long run, on the other hand, there is a bi-directional granger causality between public debt and the sustainability of economic growth. The non-linearity between the variables of interest has been studied and the results show the presence of a threshold effect: beyond 48.03 percent of GDP, any increase in public debt by 1% should reduce economic growth by 0.28%. Thus, the study questions the relevance of the criterion set by the WAEMU: public debt <70% of GDP.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. p94
Author(s):  
Kando Serge Gbagbeu

In this study, we concern mainly about the short and long-run relationship between economic growth and financial development. We use a multi-steps methodology, namely the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach to test this relationship in Côte d’Ivoire from 1980 to 2014. Following our results, we conclude that there is a unidirectional causal relationship, both long run and short run, between GDP per capita and financial development index in Côte d’Ivoire running from economic growth to financial development.


Author(s):  
Diby Kassi ◽  
Alireza Nasiri ◽  
A Jean Roland Edjoukou

This paper examines the relationship between financial development, economic growth and energy consumption in Cote d’Ivoire over the period 1971-2011. To do so, the study first built a synthetic indicator of financial development through the principal component analysis technique (PCA) and used four energy sources such as electric power consumption, electricity production from renewable sources, electricity production from oil sources and electricity production from hydroelectric sources. Then, employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration, we find that there is a long run relationship between financial development, economic growth and energy consumption sources. Furthermore, the results of the vector error correction models (VECM) reveal unidirectional causality running from financial development to energy consumption sources, bidirectional causality between economic growth and energy consumption and unidirectional causality from financial development to economic growth in the long run. The mixed results are due to the use of different proxies for energy consumption. Accordingly, this paper recommends that policy makers should solicit the support of financial sector in order to solve energy problems and further the diversification of the energy consumption sources since financial development has a positive effect on energy consumption in long run. Moreover, government should develop public-private partnership (PPP) to stimulate economic growth, improve the access to energy and maintain a sustainable development in Cote d’Ivoire.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document