Earnings management and earnings predictability: A quantile regression approach

This study argues that the managerial choice of earnings management strategy could be contingent upon a firm’s information asymmetry and such a strategy may affect the firm’s earnings predictability. Measuring information asymmetry by earnings predictability based on the subsequent industry-adjusted dispersion in analysts’ forecasts and employing a quantile regression to analyze 28,383 US firm-year observations from 1988 to 2014, this study reports that the effect of earnings management strategies on earnings predictability is nonuniform. Specifically, the amount of absolute discretionary accruals is negatively (positively) related to the subsequent industry-adjusted dispersion in the low (high) quantiles of analysts’ forecasts. These results support the hypothesis that a firm could implement earnings management strategies according to the degree of information asymmetry between the firm’s management and corporate outsiders. JEL Classification: G12, G32

Financial Reporting Quality and Market Performance of Listed Deposit Money Banks (DMB) in Nigeria (2008-2017)

This research studied the association amid financial reporting quality and market performance (TOBINQ) of quoted deposit money banks in Nigeria. Using panel methodology in addition to other econometric tests (descriptive statistics test, correlation analysis, and Hausman test), this study discovered a significant relationship amid financial reporting quality (earnings predictability, timeliness) and market performance (TOBINQ) in listed deposit money banks in Nigeria. Also, timeliness (TML) has a negative and insignificant relationship with market performance (TOBINQ) of quoted deposit money banks in Nigeria. Furthermore, earnings predictability has a negative and significant relationship with performance (TOBINQ) of listed deposit money banks in Nigeria. This study recommended that management of deposit money banks ought to guarantee that they implement best practices in the process of financial reporting.

CEO career horizons and earnings quality in family firms

PurposeThe present study examines the effect of the chief executive officer (CEO) career horizon (CH) problem on earnings quality (ERN) for selected family-controlled firms known to have a unique operational goal.Design/methodology/approachThe generalised method of moment linear regression model was used on a sample of family-controlled firms in Malaysia from 2005 to 2016.FindingsThe study found a negative relationship between CH and ERN, measured by earnings persistence and earnings predictability. However, in the earnings predictability model, the reverse was found to be the case after interacting CH with CEO family affiliation, CEO experience and CEO equity. However, the use of a reputable auditor could not mitigate the CH problem. Also, the study obtained a closely related result in the earnings persistence model. The result aligns with the socio-emotional wealth (SEW) theory, which states that the goals of family-controlled firms go beyond financial objectives to include other non-financial objectives, and hence, their commitment to perpetuating their dynasty encourages them to preserve the quality of their earnings.Originality/valueExisting studies on family firms and ERN have treated family firms as homogeneous entities by comparing family and non-family firms, using the underlying theoretical justification of the agency theory. However, this study departs from the agency theory, by considering those factors (i.e. the extent of CEO alignment with family owners and the choice of auditor), using the SEW theory, which establishes the differences among family firms. This work builds on that of Chen et al., (2018) and Ali and Zhang (2015), which suggested that corporate governance can mitigate the CH problem. Therefore, the strength of a CEO's attachment to the family firm (measured by CEO equity ownership and CEO affiliation to family members in family firms) and the choice of the auditor can explain the variation in the effect of the CH problem in family firms.

Earnings Predictability of Quoted Firms in Nigeria

The inability of investors to predict future earnings of firms exposes them to further risk such that potential investors may be scared away while existing ones may be prompted to withdraw their investment. Thus, it becomes imperative to evaluate the earnings predictability of Nigerian quoted firms with a view to establish the ability or inability of earnings to predict itself. Also, the study examined the impact of volatility on earnings predictability of Nigerian quoted firms. The total number of seventy three (73) quoted Nigerian firms constitutes the population of this study and the entire 73 firms were studied. The causal relationship research design was adopted. The secondary data used were collected from the financial statements of the quoted firms for the period 1996 to 2015. The system generalized method of moment (GMM) was used to estimate the dynamic panel regression models of the study. The study found that earnings of firms are predictable. The study also found that volatility has adverse effect on earnings predictability. It was therefore recommended more interest/investment in Nigerian firms since earnings information is available and is predictable while managements of firms should reduce instability in reported earnings.